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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 26, 2019 14:45:17 GMT -6
Outflow boundary has reappeared...
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Post by amstilost on Jun 26, 2019 14:47:32 GMT -6
Had some pea sized hail 10-15 minutes ago with huge drops of rain but then the hail stopped and it just let loose pouring. it looks like it's stopped and quite calm right now
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Jun 26, 2019 14:56:32 GMT -6
This will be the first 4th in about 20 years, where I won't be forecast watching 24/7, since this is the first year I'm not doing a pyro show, trust me, home office is begging, but it's not happening. I had already made plans to race at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a Kart Team, that I'm Manage for a family
With Fourth of July just a week away just wondering how does the forecast look for that so far?
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 26, 2019 15:05:01 GMT -6
Rain cooled air is here... 25 degree difference
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 26, 2019 15:06:05 GMT -6
I've had thunder for the last hour but not a drop of rain.
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Post by cozpregon on Jun 26, 2019 15:17:06 GMT -6
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320
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Post by Jeke on Jun 26, 2019 15:21:36 GMT -6
TVS East of Collinsville...
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woody
Weather Weenie
NoCoMo.. New Halls Ferry and Patterson
Posts: 47
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Post by woody on Jun 26, 2019 15:26:32 GMT -6
Drive home from Granite City to Florissant was quite the event.... I-270/Chain of Rocks to 367 to S. Lindbergh... Not much rain, some bursts of wind that you had to be ready for, and WICKED lightning.....Several CG's within a few hundred feet....Flash/Bangs that rattled my teeth....
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 26, 2019 15:53:08 GMT -6
Little storm that popped up west of union is fishy looking
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 26, 2019 15:56:29 GMT -6
So there’s some photos going around Facebook of a “tornado” in town in festus . Anyone got any radar velocity shots from there when the storms rolled through?
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jun 26, 2019 15:57:14 GMT -6
Watching that westward propogating outflow and that storm in franklin county interact.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jun 26, 2019 16:00:49 GMT -6
That franklin cnty storm...got to wonder if theres flash flooding as slow as it is moving.
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Post by cozpregon on Jun 26, 2019 16:17:55 GMT -6
Water rescues in Crestwood
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Post by Tilawn on Jun 26, 2019 16:40:15 GMT -6
Great call today Chris, BRTN, and Coz!! Unfortunately you all were correct and I’m now 6 more hours behind schedule for the week. 😂
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 26, 2019 16:49:16 GMT -6
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 26, 2019 16:49:21 GMT -6
Great call today Chris, BRTN, and Coz!! Unfortunately you all were correct and I’m now 6 more hours behind schedule for the week. 😂 Not sure I qualify. As recently as yesterday I only had a verbal mention of a few spot storms in the ozarks. Even this AM I was going for more of a spotty to scat coverage...but at least I added the lightning bolts and rain symbols for this afternoon. I still think the ridging wins out more tomorrow. But then it is a real mystery for the weekend.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 26, 2019 16:52:01 GMT -6
Here’s a few of those photos I was talking about. Not my pictures just what’s been being shared on social media in festus. Just a tornado lookalike. Seems to be located behind the initial shelf cloud/gust front. Looks more like stretched out scud clouds to me.
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bgff
Weather Weenie
Location: Hillsboro, MO
Posts: 43
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Post by bgff on Jun 26, 2019 17:20:32 GMT -6
I was at 21 and M/MM headed south towards Hillsboro, when the gust front came through. I absolutely agree with Chirs and can confirm lots of scud clouds with the gust front, but not tornadic. The main storm was 10 to 15 minutes behind the gust front.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jun 26, 2019 17:40:51 GMT -6
That’s what I thought too
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jun 27, 2019 10:32:33 GMT -6
Angela going pretty dry for the weekend just now. I really hope she's right, we're owed a dry weekend run going on months now.
Yesterday was kinda crazy where I sit, we barely got a small 10 minute light rain shower, while a pretty hefty storm reformed JUST east of me in Florissant/Spanish Lake.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 28, 2019 6:04:54 GMT -6
The MCS in WI/MN is turning south... I am keeping a slight chance for storms in the forecast for Saturday... but pulling for Sunday. The ridge does look to expand enough Sunday to turn off the MCS train for a couple of days.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jun 28, 2019 7:44:27 GMT -6
That MCS seems to be doing the splits in Iowa
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 28, 2019 8:43:27 GMT -6
GFS toys with the idea of the NW flow again by next weekend. Wouldn't mind that. Would likely be accompanied by an MCS pattern.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 28, 2019 9:09:20 GMT -6
Yeah... the eastern portion following the strong flow... the southwest portion in search of higher CAPE as it follows the high cape gradient to the southwest....forced by a respectable cold pool.
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Post by cozpregon on Jun 28, 2019 9:59:54 GMT -6
61mph at Ottumwa
METAR: KOTM 281553Z AUTO 05035G53KT 10SM -RA BKN027 BKN035 OVC060 21/18 A3013 RMK AO2 PK WND 04053/1552 WSHFT 1510 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB37 PRESRR SLP195 P0000 T02110178
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 28, 2019 10:00:51 GMT -6
Starting to get concerned the complex in SE Iowa will never die and may survive all the way to STL. The CAPE gradient...ample available instability...well developed outflow/cold pool...limited capping...and steep mid and low level lapse rates indicate there may be an increasing wind threat as complex drops south...assuming it does hold its own. In fact, after a weakening trend for a while... it appears to be on the increase...with even a bit of an easterly componenet to the propagation.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 28, 2019 10:13:31 GMT -6
I’d say that Iowa complex found the CAPE and is using it
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Post by cozpregon on Jun 28, 2019 10:32:03 GMT -6
Have to think... even if it slides to the west of the metro it's going to lay some boundaries around.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jun 28, 2019 10:37:07 GMT -6
what's the appx ETA on that bad boy if it makes it here?
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Post by cozpregon on Jun 28, 2019 10:58:19 GMT -6
300ish
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