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Post by jmg378s on Jul 7, 2019 16:30:06 GMT -6
Should it play out like the Euro on D5 as below it would be tricky forecast from there. If so, dual high pressures in the 4-corners and Bahamas could yield some nebulous steering currents. Not guaranteed we even get a full-blown tropical system, though it is trending that direction.  |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 7, 2019 20:49:22 GMT -6
GEFS and EPS have the potential TC near the TX/LA coast at D6.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 8, 2019 7:57:06 GMT -6
Chris amazing video of the flash flood in Calhoun County on Facebook.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 8, 2019 8:38:36 GMT -6
EURO sure is making a strong case for a landfalling TS/hurricane in the central Gulf and recurving it across the region next week...
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Post by jmg378s on Jul 8, 2019 11:48:17 GMT -6
The Euro scenario could even carry an inland embedded tropical supercell threat into our region as well.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 8, 2019 12:39:06 GMT -6
The Euro scenario could even carry an inland embedded tropical supercell threat into our region as well. Yeah...obviously way out there at D7+ but it definitely holds the core together with lots of vorticity and shear. |
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Post by tedrick65 on Jul 8, 2019 21:13:37 GMT -6
New KPLR met?
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Post by unclesam6 on Jul 8, 2019 21:22:11 GMT -6
Probably Brigit. She was the morning met here at KMIZ for a couple years. |
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 8, 2019 22:51:08 GMT -6
Just looking at this evening's runs... dcape looks interesting around here Wednesday afternoon. If we are storm free Wednesday AM may be something to watch  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 9, 2019 0:01:25 GMT -6
Probably Brigit. She was the morning met here at KMIZ for a couple years. Yep, that's her. Started about a month ago and has been filling in on shows here and there with vacations of the veteran folks as well as generally learning the ropes of the Power of Two |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 9, 2019 0:04:41 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 9, 2019 4:24:33 GMT -6
Few isolated showers out there, one of them was right on top of me. It got wet out, lol.
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Post by Tilawn on Jul 9, 2019 8:08:20 GMT -6
Heavy downpour in Washington just a bit ago(8:45). This weather is getting old and making it impossible to get things done in a timely manner.
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 9, 2019 10:39:18 GMT -6
Is the low over the Gulf yet?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 9, 2019 11:02:56 GMT -6
Is the low over the Gulf yet? It looks like there may be a circulation developing just off the FL panhandle looking at satellite...quite a bit of deep convection around it so further development seems likely. The GFS has trended strongly towards the EURO so odds of that system having an impact on our weather next week are increasing. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 9, 2019 11:07:55 GMT -6
Angela Hutti had "tropical rains" posted for Tuesday on her forecast at 1145.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jul 9, 2019 12:04:30 GMT -6
Angela Hutti had "tropical rains" posted for Tuesday on her forecast at 1145. UGHHHHHHH. (that is all) |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 9, 2019 13:37:39 GMT -6
Angela Hutti had "tropical rains" posted for Tuesday on her forecast at 1145. Hey now... she stole that from me! I used that all morning  |
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Post by bear1 on Jul 9, 2019 13:40:22 GMT -6
Well Now, Chris, it's share & share alike...
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 9, 2019 13:40:41 GMT -6
I must admit that storm coverage is a little less than I expected today.
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Post by REB on Jul 9, 2019 13:41:00 GMT -6
waves This is a very cool graphic of how the 7.1 earthquake waves moved across the U.S. and the world.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 9, 2019 13:51:18 GMT -6
Have to say the potential for a tropical system riding up the MS valley is a worst case scenario for the major/historic flooding that's still occurring to our south.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jul 9, 2019 14:00:19 GMT -6
Angela Hutti had "tropical rains" posted for Tuesday on her forecast at 1145. AND... since it isnt winter, and it's not snow, more than likely, it will happen! |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jul 9, 2019 14:03:15 GMT -6
Have to say the potential for a tropical system riding up the MS valley is a worst case scenario for the major/historic flooding that's still occurring to our south. Any thoughts on how much moisture it will be bringing with it, and how fast will it move out of here? The Meramec in Arnold is finally going down. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Jul 9, 2019 14:24:19 GMT -6
KCOU 91*/75*
disgusting.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 9, 2019 14:39:45 GMT -6
Angela Hutti had "tropical rains" posted for Tuesday on her forecast at 1145. AND... since it isnt winter, and it's not snow, more than likely, it will happen! Especially given the way this spring and first part of summer have gone. Although it has slowed some in the last few weeks. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 9, 2019 18:20:47 GMT -6
Just had a brief shower
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Post by jeepers on Jul 9, 2019 20:23:31 GMT -6
Of course it's going to happen. Moving my eldest daughter into her first apartment in Ohio this weekend and driving back on Monday afternoon. Maybe someone needs to put a snowplow on their truck or do a dance under the Arch to ward this stuff off? No one in the mid section of the country needs more water. :/
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 9, 2019 21:00:37 GMT -6
The spread on the ensemble members of the cyclone are unusually large. 5 days of useful skill is about all I can get out of the GEFS and EPS and even that is stretch. The cyclone models are all over the map as well. HWRF has it in Oklahoma while COAMPS has it in South Carolina.
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 9, 2019 21:07:41 GMT -6
HWRF and UKMET are pretty aggressive with intensification. UKMET has it moving into OK and then turning into MO by D7.
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