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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 2, 2021 15:17:24 GMT -6
The deformation band out west looks way better than modeled. Maybe we can get a small surprise tonight if that translates east I didn't have a lot of expectations with this system this morning but looking at recent trends I'm wondering if we'll be able to get a ground covering snowfall from this. Radar shows the low-level conveyor belt wrapping in towards the deepening mid-level low with better returns developing out towards COU ahead of it and showers along the flank...looks like a weak TROWAL developing in response to the negative tilt. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 2, 2021 15:31:38 GMT -6
100 pages for a Thanksgiving thread, lmao, Me thinks it's time for a fresh one. Get the stink of 2020 out of here.
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Post by bear1 on Jan 2, 2021 15:48:51 GMT -6
I second that motion!!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 2, 2021 15:53:14 GMT -6
Light snow has been falling in Waterloo for about an hour .... light dusting on the grass and roof tops .... very pretty
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 2, 2021 16:13:23 GMT -6
Maybe this is where our winter weather is,
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 2, 2021 16:40:24 GMT -6
The deformation band out west looks way better than modeled. Maybe we can get a small surprise tonight if that translates east It looks like it falls apart as it passes through. Should see the radar come alive along the river with returns moving NNNW with a slight Eastward trajectory |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 2, 2021 16:42:51 GMT -6
I will try and get a new thread going tomorrow. Working thhis shift it's harder to get things like that done. Im always whicked tired.
As for this evening... It would not surprise me at all to see the snow over Western Missouri fade and dissipate while a new zone of wrap-around precipitation expands over Southern Illinois. This could leave many on the Missouri side of the river in more of a drizzly pattern while the light accumulating snow focuses just East of downtown.
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iceman
Wishcaster
Arnold, MO
Posts: 104 
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Post by iceman on Jan 2, 2021 16:43:31 GMT -6
HRRR really doesn't pick up on what radar has been showing last few hours. Hope it stays together on the northern end like it has.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 2, 2021 16:45:31 GMT -6
This thing is looking better all the time on water vapor...cooling cloud tops and a pivot point developing across the W counties towards COU. Gonna be a close call with the dry slot towards the Metro and SE though...but the precip developing out 70 looks banded with instability showers feeding into it. That should continue to fill in through this evening and hopefully get some decent snow rates going.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 2, 2021 16:46:16 GMT -6
I wish everyone good luck.
These kinds of systems can over perform.
However if I get skunked which I will....
And I feel like ANYONE of YOU are gloating over your 5/8" snowfall jackpot.
I will come to your house with a blow torch and pliers...
And melt awkward looking snow holes in your otherwise pristine pack.
Have a nice night....
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 2, 2021 17:12:10 GMT -6
Yayyyyyy dry slotted by a storm!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 2, 2021 17:12:38 GMT -6
If I miss out on my .3 of an inch my head might explode lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 2, 2021 17:12:59 GMT -6
HRRR really doesn't pick up on what radar has been showing last few hours. Hope it stays together on the northern end like it has. Ya the short range models are having a tough time with this one. Both the Colombia and Jeff City airports are reporting snow with 1 mile visibility and the latest hrrr has them getting nothing tonight |
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 2, 2021 17:18:59 GMT -6
As bgwx and others may have alluded to, it seems like some of the snow growth is below the radar beam so that's why it's not showing up.
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Post by weatherj on Jan 2, 2021 17:19:53 GMT -6
I will try and get a new thread going tomorrow. Working thhis shift it's harder to get things like that done. Im always whicked tired. As for this evening... It would not surprise me at all to see the snow over Western Missouri fade and dissipate while a new zone of wrap-around precipitation expands over Southern Illinois. This could leave many on the Missouri side of the river in more of a drizzly pattern while the light accumulating snow focuses just East of downtown. It would be nice if there were no dry slots, misses, or fizzles tonight for anyone. |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 2, 2021 17:20:12 GMT -6
I wish everyone good luck. These kinds of systems can over perform. However if I get skunked which I will.... And I feel like ANYONE of YOU are gloating over your 5/8" snowfall jackpot. I will come to your house with a blow torch and pliers... And melt awkward looking snow holes in your otherwise pristine pack. Have a nice night.... Got to admit it.....this would be alot more fun to 'track' than any storm we have had lately.  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 2, 2021 17:45:46 GMT -6
Nice size flakes falling here in chesterfield.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 2, 2021 17:57:26 GMT -6
We have small flakes with a steady mist in wentzville, definitely below the radar
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 2, 2021 18:06:29 GMT -6
love this drizzle here
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Post by mchafin on Jan 2, 2021 18:16:40 GMT -6
It’s still spritzing out my window
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 2, 2021 18:24:02 GMT -6
Of course the stuff out west seems to be losing its punch ....... I’m sure it will blow back up about one country to our east
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 2, 2021 18:41:37 GMT -6
Just drove down gravois for about a mile from grants farm to the east- I’m guessing close to an inch- gravois was covered. Where I live about a 1/4 mile west of grants farm not a flake
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Post by mchafin on Jan 2, 2021 18:43:44 GMT -6
Just drove down gravois for about a mile from grants farm to the east- I’m guessing close to an inch- gravois was covered. Where I live about a 1/4 mile west of grants farm not a flake Near Saint Anthony’s - nada here |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 2, 2021 18:46:49 GMT -6
Gravois and laclede
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Post by mchafin on Jan 2, 2021 18:49:18 GMT -6
Looks like it’s snowing on 55 at Bates based on MODOT cams.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 2, 2021 18:51:51 GMT -6
It's coming down good in Arnold right now. There's just a tiny 20dbz return overhead but its ripping
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 2, 2021 18:55:00 GMT -6
Talk about right spot right time  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 2, 2021 18:56:31 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 2, 2021 19:09:22 GMT -6
Doesn't look like this system is going to do much. It's a mess on radar
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 2, 2021 19:32:12 GMT -6
These must be some very isolated showers. My yard hasn't had anything but 1000 feet up the road got a light dusting. I wouldn't have thought that is even possible!
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