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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 5, 2021 12:41:47 GMT -6
Saint Louis metro a bullseye of 0.00" of precip next 2 weeks on pretty much all models. Feels like 2012 all over again minus the death defying heat.
2021: 2012 Drought strikes again...
Might not last into Summer but if we remain dry rest of Winter into Spring then we might be on a crash course for a repeat of a Summer from 'you know where'. Of course all speculation and no science to really back it up. Other then current signs aren't looking too good long term.
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Post by snowday_lover on Jan 5, 2021 12:44:41 GMT -6
For once I'm rooting for the Euro. Southerners still in play according to it. This one fits the theme of the season - relatively small swath of snow with a local jackpot. Odds of that right now are roughly from Springfield into the central Ozarks. I'm right there with you! Do you think that the "mix" will include sleet? If so, couldn't that help to cool the surfaces so that any snow that falls will maybe stick? I'm grasping at straws here! Lol! |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 5, 2021 13:00:42 GMT -6
Where is “laugh” option for some comments?!?!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 13:02:59 GMT -6
Where is “laugh” option for some comments?!?! I'm out here wallowing in the mud but there's a raging drought developing. What a world... |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 5, 2021 14:24:40 GMT -6
18z nam is a gigglefest. You guys may have been right - going to get screwed again! That's what I get for being optimistic...gets me every time.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 14:26:38 GMT -6
18z nam is a gigglefest. You guys may have been right - going to get screwed again! That's what I get for being optimistic...gets me every time. I may take a break from model land until I see snow falling and piling up...my psyche can't take much more of this! |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2021 14:28:42 GMT -6
18z nam is a gigglefest. You guys may have been right - going to get screwed again! That's what I get for being optimistic...gets me every time. Ya I think it’s about time to throw this one in the trash bin |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 5, 2021 14:35:06 GMT -6
18z nam is a gigglefest. You guys may have been right - going to get screwed again! That's what I get for being optimistic...gets me every time. I may take a break from model land until I see snow falling and piling up...my psyche can't take much more of this! I hear you. I have tried to take a break but there I am 6 hours later looking at hour 300 of the parallel GFS... |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 5, 2021 14:35:15 GMT -6
Yep - this ones been done for days ...
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 14:35:48 GMT -6
Enjoy, Mountain Home residents!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2021 14:41:31 GMT -6
Good news is that it looks like the EPO will finally go negative beginning mid month. Both the EPS and GEFS are showing this. So it might be a boring few days ahead but we should hopefully have something to track soon  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 14:51:26 GMT -6
I still think the 2nd half of the winter will make up for the 1st...but it's got a loooooong way to go, lol.
If we can get the Pacific to play ball, it'll be a whole different story.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 5, 2021 14:59:48 GMT -6
Some pretty impressive rime icing in DeKalb, IL yesterday
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 5, 2021 15:38:29 GMT -6
Best. Winter. Ever.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 5, 2021 17:00:54 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 5, 2021 17:23:41 GMT -6
Well that was a first. Just got caught under a wicked graupel shower and an obs of 47*. Grains must have been the size of peas
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 5, 2021 18:15:55 GMT -6
Well that was a first. Just got caught under a wicked graupel shower and an obs of 47*. Grains must have been the size of peas Are you back home or still in Colorado? |
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 5, 2021 19:31:46 GMT -6
Some pretty impressive rime icing in DeKalb, IL yesterday Freezing rain followed by snow and then 3 or so nights of freezing fog has really locked onto the trees. It’s beautiful. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 20:17:58 GMT -6
The pics from up north are pure winter wonderland...must be nice!
I fell in a mud hole and twisted my ankle today, so there's that...
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 5, 2021 20:23:27 GMT -6
The pics from up north are pure winter wonderland...must be nice! I fell in a mud hole and twisted my ankle today, so there's that... Good thing a drought coming |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2021 20:35:08 GMT -6
At least we have the gfs turning in pure winter consistently by mid month.
Would make it all worth it.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 5, 2021 20:36:30 GMT -6
Well that was a first. Just got caught under a wicked graupel shower and an obs of 47*. Grains must have been the size of peas Are you back home or still in Colorado? In colorado for good. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 6, 2021 2:38:56 GMT -6
Are you back home or still in Colorado? In colorado for good. How did I miss that? Still TV weather or some other aspect of the field? |
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 6, 2021 7:28:35 GMT -6
Covid symptoms finally starting to subside. Got a negative test this week too. S/O has spent every day with me since Xmas... no symptoms and no positive tests. This virus is so strange. Anyone else have weird experiences with it? I feel like it might just be a bias... perhaps this pandemic has made us hyper-focused on a communicable disease that we're starting to realize the course of illness' is less linear than we thought? Very strange past 2 or 3 weeks.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2021 7:45:24 GMT -6
Covid symptoms finally starting to subside. Got a negative test this week too. S/O has spent every day with me since Xmas... no symptoms and no positive tests. This virus is so strange. Anyone else have weird experiences with it? I feel like it might just be a bias... perhaps this pandemic has made us hyper-focused on a communicable disease that we're starting to realize the course of illness' is less linear than we thought? Very strange past 2 or 3 weeks. Glad you are feeling better....... my daughter in law had it with some symptoms but thankfully my son and two grandsons did not get it..... very strange virus for sure |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 6, 2021 7:52:20 GMT -6
glad youre starting to do better sam. weatherwise, looks like nw flow being picked up by models in long range with potential for noreasters in that time period. cant let our guard down either but i think we wld hv to pump the ridge out west just a bit more for us to see some clipper or digging goods. never was a fan of ssw, too quick and dry for the intensity but they say ssw's are never the same. we shall see. i wld like to see more snow pack in nw canada.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 6, 2021 8:42:28 GMT -6
glad youre starting to do better sam. weatherwise, looks like nw flow being picked up by models in long range with potential for noreasters in that time period. cant let our guard down either but i think we wld hv to pump the ridge out west just a bit more for us to see some clipper or digging goods. never was a fan of ssw, too quick and dry for the intensity but they say ssw's are never the same. we shall see. i wld like to see more snow pack in nw canada. The impacts of a SSW can last weeks or even months. You seem to have a bias driven by the 2019 PV event, where impacts were short lived in STL. SSW can lead to more snowy than cold patterns for us too. It’s pretty complicated |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 6, 2021 12:51:49 GMT -6
Well, at this rate we’ll be taking the Thanksgiving thread into spring. ZZZZZZZZZ
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 6, 2021 13:00:05 GMT -6
Euro almost tries to bring a few flakes here on Monday after dumping 4-8 inches in Dallas. Remarkable.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 6, 2021 13:02:21 GMT -6
A little bit of mood flurries/snow Fri looks possible overnight (after midnight) especially near the Mississippi River and east into IL. A suprise if we get anything more than flurries.
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