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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 1, 2021 17:53:28 GMT -6
Frivs may be on to something about a possible advisory level snowfall for parts of the area tomorrow evening per the last paragraph of the short term section in the evening disco. Although, it says IF the storm can strengthen earlier than what current models have it. ![]()  Yeah I agree! If the neg tilt of the lowest closed off 500mb heights associated with the vorticity maximum here at 06z Sun on the 18z NAM happens only 2-3 hours earlier over central MO that could make a difference IMO. 1+ in amounts would then be more common. I think you, FRIV, and the eastern burbs will be the winners in terms of snowfall tomorrow into Sun. |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 1, 2021 20:06:13 GMT -6
Gulf just doesn't want to hook up with the damn thing until it's east  |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 1, 2021 20:09:47 GMT -6
The dynamics literally come together right on top of St. Louis. If we could get things 2-3 hours earlier that would really help with the snow . Still looks like 1/2” or less with 1” or less on the Illinois side
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 1, 2021 20:18:18 GMT -6
My expectation for tomorrow’s event is a light dusting. That might be asking to much
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 1, 2021 20:18:25 GMT -6
Gulf just doesn't want to hook up with the damn thing until it's east This has happened a few times already this winter |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 1, 2021 20:23:23 GMT -6
Yes I’m not excited about it, sure looked better a day or two ago .
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 1, 2021 20:26:53 GMT -6
Yes I’m not excited about it, sure looked better a day or two ago . Something finally in our wheelhouse and still doesn’t come together |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 1, 2021 20:37:13 GMT -6
The 00Z nam for tomorrow is funny.
Just totally taking a dump on us.
If you run the simulation radar from the NAMNEST on COD WEATHER MODELS...
it's truly be a pinwheel to nothing tomorrow
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Post by mchafin on Jan 1, 2021 21:10:24 GMT -6
What a pisser.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 1, 2021 21:35:00 GMT -6
We have to beg and plead to get an inch of snow around here anymore..... I say uncle .....enough is enough
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 1, 2021 21:46:40 GMT -6
January is here Feb is coming yet! Hopefully more storms with cold! It’s early yet in the winter!
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Post by mchafin on Jan 1, 2021 21:53:30 GMT -6
What’s that we say? Plenty more winter to go?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 1, 2021 22:17:23 GMT -6
Some models are hinting at a band of snow across central Mo tomorrow that falls apart as it moves east and precipitation to begin blossoming to our east as the system tries to strengthen. That would leave STL in a snow hole lol
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snowcat
Junior Forecaster
Bowling Green, MO
Posts: 280 
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Post by snowcat on Jan 1, 2021 22:28:28 GMT -6
 Bowling Green, MO--New Year's Day, 2021 Many thanks to ndolan for his patience in helping me figure out how to post a photo! |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 1, 2021 22:33:11 GMT -6
RAP suggest a period of freezing drizzle/rain tomorrow before the potential snow. Surface temps are right at freezing, but the droplets would be cold with well below freezing mid level temps  |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 1, 2021 22:53:46 GMT -6
Had a good hour of snow falling today but nothing would stick. Just to warm. Still sitting at 33 here. I just want enough to coat the ground lol
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 1, 2021 23:12:58 GMT -6
And to top it off and continue the atmosphere's bad habits from 2020 in STL...the 00z GFS looks too warm for the Thurs system next week, but it's a long 6 days out haha
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 1, 2021 23:41:47 GMT -6
Weirdly enough the ukmet actually favors the western counties for snow tomorrow
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 2, 2021 0:07:17 GMT -6
00z GEM has the snow hole over STL too like Snowstorm920 is talking about.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 2, 2021 4:16:22 GMT -6
Well we went from almost an inch of snow in our point forecast to now .2 ........just great
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Post by landscaper on Jan 2, 2021 6:06:37 GMT -6
The 6z NAM looks better than 0z more moisture. The HRRR and RAP look ok, not as good as the NAM . Still looking like the 1/2” or less type storm maybe a little more in spots. There’s some spotty fog and drizzle/freezing drizzle out right now, I was out doing refreeze salting and noticed it.
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bgff
Weather Weenie
Location: Hillsboro, MO
Posts: 43 
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Post by bgff on Jan 2, 2021 6:24:16 GMT -6
Surprisingly we are getting a decent snow shower in Hillsboro MO right now. Light dusting.
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 2, 2021 7:36:05 GMT -6
Woke up to a dusting of snow in Festus, I was shocked! Roofs are kinda white and our red truck the same, but the branches on the trees went from shiny to somewhat white! I was thrilled! Maybe we’ll get more? Hope hope
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 2, 2021 7:55:05 GMT -6
I’ll never take another fzdr event lightly after that debacle a few years ago Big difference this time over the last time that happened. Ground was frozen and there wasn’t any salt brine or left over salt residue unlike this time there isn’t frozen ground and plenty of residual salt on roads, parking lots, sidewalks etc. |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 2, 2021 7:55:59 GMT -6
The 6z NAM looks better than 0z more moisture. The HRRR and RAP look ok, not as good as the NAM . Still looking like the 1/2” or less type storm maybe a little more in spots. There’s some spotty fog and drizzle/freezing drizzle out right now, I was out doing refreeze salting and noticed it. All my lots dried off overnight. |
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Post by bororug on Jan 2, 2021 7:56:37 GMT -6
Solid dusting of snow on the grass & trees, just SW of Desoto. Not much but w/ the way the winter has gone we will take it!
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sals20
Wishcaster
Imperial, MO.
Posts: 92
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Post by sals20 on Jan 2, 2021 8:01:29 GMT -6
Woke up to a light dusting in Imperial.
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WeatherLes
Weather Weenie
Posts: 18
Member is Online
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Post by WeatherLes on Jan 2, 2021 8:02:49 GMT -6
![]() ![]() Nice dusting in Barnhart and still snowing lightly. Sure wish I knew how to post pictures on here. |
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 2, 2021 8:04:10 GMT -6
Little dusting of snow in WashMO. Still snowing now. Where’d this come from?!?
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 2, 2021 8:37:27 GMT -6
Still light flurries in Festus, amazing! So pretty!
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