|
|
Post by snowjunky on Jan 13, 2021 17:23:16 GMT -6
I would love to see this phrase just once in my life for the STL forecast.
“MORE REGULAR PLOWABLE SNOW”
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2021 17:49:29 GMT -6
Impressive digital snow bomb for Nebraska on the 18z GFS. Drops 40” next Friday
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 13, 2021 19:26:33 GMT -6
Impressive digital snow bomb for Nebraska on the 18z GFS. Drops 40” next Friday Lock that in. Anywhere but here will get what models are saying 7+ days out. |
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 13, 2021 19:52:15 GMT -6
EPO looking good... troughing in the SW US- polar low just west of Hudson Bay. If we don't get anything from this... come on spring.  The -NAO/-EPO combo is about as favorable as it gets...if that doesn't produce, I just don't know what will! good. my earlier message worked. i was hoping once i posted negatively, that things would come around. the epo needs to stay neg for more than a week though. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2021 20:31:38 GMT -6
NAM looks solid Friday with a shield of light snow rotating through the area around the low. Lapse rates still look very steep through the DGZ so snow growth should be good
|
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2021 20:34:03 GMT -6
Yes NAM looks pretty good, should be a nice steady light snow . It would be great to see an inch or so
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Jan 13, 2021 20:40:32 GMT -6
The 0z 12km NAM sure has an explosive development from hour 10 to hour 36 then appears to weaken as it gets close to STL. It goes from no snow in MN or IA to practically both states being 90% covered in snow in 11 hours. When will 'WE' get that kind of development over us?  |
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2021 20:46:51 GMT -6
NAM looks really good for Sunday with another clipper moving , could be another shot at light accumulation
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 13, 2021 20:52:03 GMT -6
Better hope temps stay cold enough on friday, or it all just melts. Maybe adds up , then when it lightens up it melts. I'm sure roads will be wet. At least until sunset, then it could get whiter.
Hires NAM looks decent
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2021 20:57:34 GMT -6
I really doubt we get above 32 on Friday. Cloudy skies + CAA + snow falling is going to make it awfully tough
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 13, 2021 21:03:53 GMT -6
WRF really going to town with moderate to heavy snow showers Friday afternoon into the early evening. Spits out 1-3" in the the more persistent bands especially along and east of the Mississippi. Steep Lapse Rates and even some CAPE's up to 100 j/kg here and there. Friday might shape up to be a fun day. Flurries to scattered light snow showers will likely take us to Saturday mid morning to lunchtime before ending and clearing out. If the low deepens a bit more I could see this slow down a bit and possibly last through Saturday as well.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 13, 2021 21:05:38 GMT -6
Also not sure if it helps any but more and more models now want to bring the surface low to or around Saint Louis Friday afternoon, might add in some extra lift maybe?
|
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2021 21:07:56 GMT -6
Bellville I noticed that to , such a big shift from earlier in the week
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 13, 2021 21:14:58 GMT -6
As of right now the heaviest looks to fall later in the afternoon and into the night so that should help. What an odd setup. Oh well, take it how we can get it. Seems we owe the euro a tip of the cap.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 13, 2021 21:23:59 GMT -6
Sunday's Clipper also comes in and deepens on both the NAM and at the very end of the 0Z RGEM/RDPS might deepen as much as the Friday system at least aloft. Likely would keep snow showers around off and on through Monday if that's the case. Would also act to delay the warmup/moderating trend till Tuesday if not Wednesday. Either way as mentioned before it's gonna be a wintry several day ahead. Might not amount to much, but at least flakes will fly for most if not all at some point by the time this is all said and done.
|
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2021 21:35:19 GMT -6
RGEM came in a little beefier than earlier. This could end up being a very strange storm and set up, something we don’t see very often. And yes the Euro had it for one run on Monday and we all thought it was crazy
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 13, 2021 22:09:15 GMT -6
00z gfs trying to setup an ice storm midweek
Edit: but fails
|
|
|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 13, 2021 22:41:11 GMT -6
GEM just rolled in hot tonight with 2” to 4” totals for everyone north of the Missouri River which isn’t in my opinion totally off the table. Wish we could just lock in that solution and call it a day.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2021 23:27:04 GMT -6
GFS next weekend. Lock it in
|
|
|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 14, 2021 0:08:47 GMT -6
EURO looks purdy as well with 2” to 4” for everyone along and North of the Missouri River.
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 14, 2021 4:40:52 GMT -6
It's going to look wintry Friday... but temperatures will not get as cold as the pattern may appear. Mostly because the source region air mass is not very cold at all. Looking up into Canada... there is very little truly "cold" air anywhere near the CONUS. These temps are way above normal by Canada standards.  |
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 14, 2021 4:42:07 GMT -6
As for Friday...
I'm thinking a few flurries in the morning up through noonish... then the activity ramps up with scattered bursts of snow in the afternoon and evening.
Broadbrushing the region with 1" or less.... but I do see some potential for a little more over central Missouri as a trowal of sorts sets up out that way.
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 14, 2021 6:18:01 GMT -6
Some crazy wind speeds across parts of Wyoming yesterday.
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 14, 2021 7:49:08 GMT -6
Models look pretty solid for a ground covering snowfall tomorrow nearly area-wide...might be some "5 minute blizzards" with the stronger squalls.
Sunday still shows potential as well...
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 14, 2021 9:09:22 GMT -6
The 12Z NAM is almost to far SW with the wrap-around. If this trend continues it would truly be the final kick in the (donkey)
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 14, 2021 9:12:13 GMT -6
Models look pretty solid for a ground covering snowfall tomorrow nearly area-wide...might be some "5 minute blizzards" with the stronger squalls. Sunday still shows potential as well... Models are still showing some CAPE through the DGZ tomorrow. If any squalls get going tomorrow it could absolutely rip under them |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 14, 2021 9:27:13 GMT -6
The 12Z NAM is almost to far SW with the wrap-around. If this trend continues it would truly be the final kick in the (donkey) Some of the models definitely favor central into SE MO... |
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 14, 2021 9:31:40 GMT -6
rain
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 14, 2021 9:34:50 GMT -6
The 12Z NAM is almost to far SW with the wrap-around. If this trend continues it would truly be the final kick in the (donkey) Some of the models definitely favor central into SE MO... It appears to be a psuedo-trowal feature that focuses northwest to southeast in that area. I went ahead and posted 1-2 inches in that region...with 1" or less pretty much everywhere else.  |
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 14, 2021 9:34:52 GMT -6
The 12Z NAM is almost to far SW with the wrap-around. If this trend continues it would truly be the final kick in the (donkey) idk abt this particular setup, but it seems to me in the past, models tend to come back to a less southerly impact. |
|
