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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 29, 2021 8:53:05 GMT -6
What roads would you suggest Jaime check? She is coming down in the Storm Runner! Can she reach out to you? |
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 29, 2021 9:13:04 GMT -6
So sick of the plain old rain. I want some storms here. We didn't get any this go around either. Other than a couple lower key events under marginal-ish conditions this year has been fairly quite in the severe department. Things are bound to ramp up in May, but there's nothing synoptically evident with high confidence on the horizon yet. May have to keep an eye on early next week but current indications in global models is that the warm sector may remain just to our south for the next system...though the GFS is very close and perhaps puts the southern half in the game. Many people, including myself, thought this year was going to be very active severe-wise in our neck of the woods. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Apr 29, 2021 9:52:56 GMT -6
Unfortunately I am working.
I know the bridge inspectors are on calico creek. Bridges are damaged. Would surprise me if they closed them.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 29, 2021 10:03:03 GMT -6
Unfortunately I am working. I know the bridge inspectors are on calico creek. Bridges are damaged. Would surprise me if they closed them. That's great information… I will pass it along. Thank you for all your help! |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Apr 29, 2021 10:04:53 GMT -6
Anytime!
Funny story.
Another news station was just out here a couple weeks ago because the pot holes were so bad. The next day the county “fixed” them. All those patches are now torn up and broken from the water this morning lol.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 29, 2021 11:32:32 GMT -6
Anytime! Funny story. Another news station was just out here a couple weeks ago because the pot holes were so bad. The next day the county “fixed” them. All those patches are now torn up and broken from the water this morning lol. Want to tell that story on the air (except for the other station part)? Jaime is trying to get somebody on camera and not having a ton of luck. Shoot me a private message in the off chance you can talk. |
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 29, 2021 11:41:52 GMT -6
Updated US Drought Monitor. Continued incremental expansion & severity in drought, especially in western US. May be another rough fire season out there.  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 29, 2021 14:36:26 GMT -6
The west is going to BURN
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 29, 2021 14:49:04 GMT -6
In-ACCUWX Shows us having a typical Summer temp-wise with waves of Severe Storms including 'rare' "Landocanes" No sure 100% about the frequent severe storms, but I do believe the Temps a pretty good bet. Seeing some very hot days, but also a lot of periodic 'cool downs' and backdoor fronts from persistent troughing over the Great Lakes/Upper/Mid-Mississippi River Valleys. This should keep any thoughts of drought far away for us locally.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 30, 2021 11:02:39 GMT -6
Looks like another dreary half of the weekend coming up. At least Sat will be nice.
Plus another rainy, no storms setup next week.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 30, 2021 12:10:16 GMT -6
Severe weather guidance dashboard starting to look spicy towards the end of its run  |
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Post by jeepers on Apr 30, 2021 13:58:59 GMT -6
76 degrees and gorgeous out there.
Plants arriving in the mail, in the ground manana!
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 1, 2021 7:04:40 GMT -6
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Post by jmg378s on May 1, 2021 7:52:38 GMT -6
It has been quite uncommon to see a hatched outlook even on Day 1 for any part our area over the last year (and longer even) let alone on Day 3.
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Post by jmg378s on May 1, 2021 8:30:55 GMT -6
Models are showing rather impressive EML moving over MO/AR Monday with ECM/GFS/NAM showing lapse rates up to 9.0C/km (or even higher). If the midlevel jet streak arrives in time to boost up shear someone could see some gigantic hail Monday.
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Post by cozpregon on May 1, 2021 10:12:22 GMT -6
Been awhile since I have seen this loaded gun sounding around here  |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 1, 2021 11:52:52 GMT -6
It has been quite uncommon to see a hatched outlook even on Day 1 for any part our area over the last year (and longer even) let alone on Day 3. Guess the storm Gods heard me whining. Lol |
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Post by mosue56 on May 1, 2021 13:35:56 GMT -6
Next week looks off and on rainy! Sigh!
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 2, 2021 5:47:41 GMT -6
Rainfall today is going to spotty to scattered this afternoon. I definitely expect to have more dry time than wet.
Interesting setup tomorrow and significant bust potential. I can see a day where not much happens here at all because the CAP holds strong. Or I could see a day with the CAP breaking and everything blows up near or just south of I-44. Tough messaging. The ingredients for some rough storms are there... just a matter of whether mother nature decides to turn on the oven and cook it all up.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 2, 2021 9:55:17 GMT -6
Let’s keep it dry as long as possible. Nice day to do yard work.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on May 2, 2021 11:41:02 GMT -6
Seems t-storms have been a lot less frequent the last 5-10 years...
Maybe it's just me but I remember watches and warnings regularly now it's a few times a year...
O well it's good for me selling flowers out in this weather! Hail/wind = bad 🌺
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2021 15:18:14 GMT -6
Seeing about 60dm 500mb height rises throughout the day Monday in the wake the the departing shortwave bring us weather today. This implies slow large scale descent and we can perhaps see a little that effect in forecast soundings with T/Td profiles appearing to subside just a tad in the mid levels. An EML will also be advecting into the area as well with the net affect being that 700mb temps may warm at least a couple of degrees. Despite the low technical convective inhibition (almost near 0 j/kg) this is going to make it tough for storms trying to initiate in the frontal convergence zone to fight through the cap and mature tomorrow afternoon. The added problem is that the trailing shortwave will still be way back in the AZ/NM area and won't arrive until later in the night as the front is pushing through the area and focusing storm develop well to our south. Many global and mesoscale models seem to be thusly stingy with convection tomorrow afternoon as a result.
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2021 15:34:04 GMT -6
Seems t-storms have been a lot less frequent the last 5-10 years... Maybe it's just me but I remember watches and warnings regularly now it's a few times a year... O well it's good for me selling flowers out in this weather! Hail/wind = bad 🌺 I posted something about this several weeks ago. In the years prior to 2012 we were averaging about 9 tornado watch days per year. Since then...just 3. I didn't bother to check t-storm watch days but it's probably declined as well. As I noted then part of that may be better forecasts (i.e. less busts), but I seriously doubt if that's the primary reason. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 2, 2021 17:51:26 GMT -6
Looks like a strong tornado passed just to the south of Yazoo City moments ago from a pretty unremarkable looking supercell on radar  |
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Post by unclesam6 on May 2, 2021 18:44:50 GMT -6
holy hell this video is insane.
1:18 is crazy. You can literally see the condensation being sucked up from the trees ahead of the circulation.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 2, 2021 19:07:54 GMT -6
Drone footage of tornadoes is some really cool stuff. We will probably be seeing more and more of it in the coming years
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 2, 2021 20:43:57 GMT -6
That is incredible footage. I wonder what happened after video ended..?
Also, that cell is rejuvenated and has a confirmed tornado heading into Tupelo now.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 2, 2021 20:56:37 GMT -6
Tornado emergency for Tupelo.
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2021 20:57:50 GMT -6
That's not good, headed right into town.
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2021 21:04:21 GMT -6
Circulation broadened out and almost lost the TDS entering Tupelo, but it's tightened up with a new CC drop. Likely some damage in Tupelo.
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