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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 20, 2021 15:55:45 GMT -6
Henri (ahn-REE), I'm going to go out on a limb and say it gets to 100mph. May weaken a little before landfall because of cooler water but still hurricane at landfall. Landfall probably not too far from NYC.
This is snowman's (A#s-hole) official forecast
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 20, 2021 18:59:55 GMT -6
Local news and weather updates from CT tv stations available on YouTube. Expecting landfall in that area about 3 PM Sunday at this point.
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 20, 2021 21:10:38 GMT -6
May see some historic flooding SE NY
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 21, 2021 0:56:11 GMT -6
Rain/storms seem to be struggling. Doubt we get much thunder. Guess we will see what happens.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2021 5:03:24 GMT -6
Not a drop yet. Sure hope some of these holds together.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 21, 2021 5:16:01 GMT -6
Looks like the Arch effect is working
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2021 5:41:04 GMT -6
Ya sad watching it die every frame
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Post by amstilost on Aug 21, 2021 6:24:00 GMT -6
I am sure glad I got the rain that I did here yesterday. I heard one rumble thunder around 3:30 or so. Fell asleep before I heard any more. Really sad over this miss. Just planted some stuff Thursday and couldn't believe how dry the dirt was. The grass is still growing like gangbusters though.
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Post by yypc on Aug 21, 2021 7:56:11 GMT -6
Could be the hottest day of the year next week in the last week of August
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Aug 21, 2021 9:53:43 GMT -6
Flash flood emergency to the west of Nashville TN ….. 10 plus inches of rain this morning…… crazy
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 21, 2021 11:01:21 GMT -6
And the line of storms has filled in nicely now that it's east of STL.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2021 12:52:05 GMT -6
I thought it was suppose to be cooler today… it’s not lol.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 21, 2021 13:05:04 GMT -6
The "cooler" and less humid day is Sunday. Before we bake.
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Post by weatherj on Aug 21, 2021 13:20:05 GMT -6
A lot of flash flooding going on over here in Salem, IL due to 2 inches of rain falling over a very short period of time.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 21, 2021 18:27:25 GMT -6
Mowed today and it was the most dusty so far this year. Ready for some cooler weather.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 21, 2021 19:08:06 GMT -6
good day to clear away a ton of thorn bushes. Not.
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 22, 2021 12:53:34 GMT -6
Hot the next several days... but tomorrow/Tuesday look very unstable with virtually no cap. Shouldn't take much to kick off any storms... is so may see some downburst potential.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 22, 2021 14:03:10 GMT -6
Heat Advisory now up technically till Thursday, but looking at the extended it might as well be 'Until Farther Notice'...
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 22, 2021 19:22:00 GMT -6
Well, I'm already sick and tired of the heat next week.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 22, 2021 19:25:01 GMT -6
Well, I'm already sick and tired of the heat next week. ME TOO! |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 22, 2021 19:29:15 GMT -6
Hot the next several days... but tomorrow/Tuesday look very unstable with virtually no cap. Shouldn't take much to kick off any storms... is so may see some downburst potential. At 5 PM Glen showed a futurecast radar for Monday evening that looked suspiciously like the July 2006 deracho |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 23, 2021 6:30:28 GMT -6
If we can trudge through the heat this week, models continue to indicate a large scale pattern change starting in a week. Like everyone else, I'm done with the heat.
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 23, 2021 9:33:24 GMT -6
So far there are 21 confirmed dead from the Tennessee flood.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 23, 2021 9:44:42 GMT -6
That has to be one of the worst flash floods in US history. Just unfathomable. Hard to imagine that creek could swell to those proportions....I've seen figures of 15-17" of rain in that area. I hope they get the help they need - the media has been focused more on the minor issues caused by Henri given that it is in the NE.
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Post by amstilost on Aug 23, 2021 10:21:22 GMT -6
I just looked at the forecast for today because my remote unit says 97*. No way. So I get on the NWS site and it says 88*. I can tolerate that. This is a forecast I have never seen, or at least don't remember. A "20% chance of heavy rain." Has anyone else seen this? Also looks like the storms are building/backbuilding south. Please, no 2006 Derecho here.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 23, 2021 10:32:38 GMT -6
The most likely scenario is that convection to our north dies out over the course of the day. But there is a small chance it organizes into a SSW moving MCS
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 23, 2021 11:37:02 GMT -6
I just looked at the forecast for today because my remote unit says 97*. No way. So I get on the NWS site and it says 88*. I can tolerate that. This is a forecast I have never seen, or at least don't remember. A "20% chance of heavy rain." Has anyone else seen this? Also looks like the storms are building/backbuilding south. Please, no 2006 Derecho here. Seems like I've seen that once or twice...sounds like they expect isolated, slow moving and water loaded storms. Radar seems to confirm that with some pop up storms firing. |
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Post by yypc on Aug 23, 2021 11:59:31 GMT -6
Mid 90s with 75+ dews is nothing to sneeze at. Impressive for late august.
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Post by scmhack on Aug 23, 2021 12:20:46 GMT -6
Mid 90s with 75+ dews is nothing to sneeze at. Impressive for late august. Impressive? This is how the weather always seems to be around my birthday |
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Post by amstilost on Aug 23, 2021 12:36:48 GMT -6
I just looked at the forecast for today because my remote unit says 97*. No way. So I get on the NWS site and it says 88*. I can tolerate that. This is a forecast I have never seen, or at least don't remember. A "20% chance of heavy rain." Has anyone else seen this? Also looks like the storms are building/backbuilding south. Please, no 2006 Derecho here. Seems like I've seen that once or twice...sounds like they expect isolated, slow moving and water loaded storms. Radar seems to confirm that with some pop up storms firing. Thanks, I am in the outbuilding trying to stay cool and I hear thunder to my north northwest. I think my that was faster than anticipated. But the cells are forming west southwest of me. I thought they were going to come from the north northeast. Not a whole lot of movement yet. |
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