We are suppose to have our fence installed Monday morning. Do we think the rain will be out of here sometime early Monday?
That will hinge upon the convective trends overnight.
From the NWS disco:
The upper-level shortwave will begin to exit the area Monday morning, pulling synoptic support for precipitation with it. Some guidance is more sluggish in clearing the shortwave, and if convective activity can sustain itself through the night along the nose of the LLJ, it could help reinvigorate showers and storms Monday. While bulk shear looks a bit more robust later Monday morning across southwest/west-central IL, the quality of the airmass is in question after the activity overnight. Given this, while an isolated strong storm cannot be ruled out before the system exits the CWA, most of the robust convection should be east of us. Decreasing clouds from west to east will help central MO warm a degree or two higher than eastern MO and western IL, but we should still reach at least the upper 80s areawide. At this point, the greatest chance for 100F+ heat indices rests in central/northeast MO, where warmer temperatures and higher humidity will overlap.
This bro lives a stones throw NNW of Brighton, IL.
"The trouble with weather forecasting is that it's right too often for us to ignore it and wrong too often for us to rely on it." ~Patrick Young
Hearing from a friend in Council Bluffs of massive amounts of flash flooding after thunderstorms dropped more than 5 inches of rain in a very short time.
Is that in our future tomorrow?
Luckily our house is in the middle of the neighborhood on a slope, plus we only got 1.5 inches. Downtown Omaha got spanked, with cars getting moved around in the Old Market area. That was one wicked thunderstorm, it's been a long time since I've heard heavy rain like that.
Support bacteria, they're the only culture some people have!
Just 30 to 35 mph? Ripped apart what is left of our Bradford pear. We give up! Part of its on our truck and we’ll be taking down the rest before vacation next weekend
that sucks.....that is why I am not a big fan of chances for severe weather anymore. I am tired of fixing stuff or having it fixed. I had heard that MO Conservation will help/pay for replacement of Bradford's because they are invasive. Not sure if that was BS or not.
Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 8, 2021 22:53:58 GMT -6
Looks like I-70 will be favored for storms overnight as action starts to fill in across central Missouri moving east into the metro in the next hour or 2. Should see storms pivot or sink more southward over the night especially as they move through Illinois. Also as I type this a cells are forming in the metro now. Should be noisy for the next few hours.
Location: Unincorporated West Belleville @ Stookey Township between IL Route 15 and Old St. Louis Rd/Route 13.
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6
snowday_lover: So weird.... sun is really out here right now. I just expected it to be full cloud cover by now. Hopefully the clouds move in soon. I'm ready to see what we get down here.
Feb 6, 2018 12:15:23 GMT -6
tk: Wagons East- Never was close....I'm with Snowman for once even though he is crazy negative but I get it....
Jan 9, 2018 20:50:54 GMT -6