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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 6, 2021 14:32:21 GMT -6
Have had several brief downpours today. Some with the sun out. Very tropical like day
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 6, 2021 14:37:12 GMT -6
Gave up on rain and turned on sprinkler for our newly re-planted maples!
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 6, 2021 14:41:48 GMT -6
My god, the updated forecast is atrocious. Near 90 all weekend. 80s when it's not. As summer hangs on. Mind numbing heat. Lol. Hopefully we go from persistent ridging now to persistent troughing down the road. Because, ewww.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 6, 2021 15:40:45 GMT -6
I had a morning shower 7 miles west of De Soto and a few drops here and there since. I would quantify this area as a 'have not' today.....so far.đ«đ«đ« Yep. Just finished mowing, was expecting to be interrupted by rain but never got a drop. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 6, 2021 15:47:30 GMT -6
We got like 30" of snow in 2007/2008 with three whopper defo zones...just saying!
I already like the trend of digging waves into the 4 corners and ejecting out into the Plains. And early signs of blocking, which is supported by the easterly QBO. We can hope...
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 6, 2021 18:17:50 GMT -6
Mid 90s now forecasted for Sunday. Records will crumble this weekend. Oh I'd love to have it be a bit hotter and hit 100 on Sunday just to destroy and crush the all time record high for the month. Also trends pointing towards a 2016-2017/2011-2012 type Winter season. In other words trends look grave for Winter weather lovers but awesome for heat lovers. Usual caveats could be completely wrong as a pattern can change very quickly when it wants to, but nothing really showing that in any range. Northwest and Alaska into western Canada look to be the big winners this Winter with pretty much nothing south of I-80 cold and or snow-wise, even Chicago struggles.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 6, 2021 19:10:33 GMT -6
lol
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Post by cozpregon on Oct 6, 2021 19:13:18 GMT -6
Amazing
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 6, 2021 21:13:23 GMT -6
Man getting up for work at 5am everyday changes you. Itâs a real struggle to stay up and watch this game đŽ
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 6, 2021 21:53:30 GMT -6
This game is shredding my nerves.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 6, 2021 23:03:11 GMT -6
Ya thatâs about right on schedule for the first âcancel winterâ post
Also bringing in Reyes there was a very poor choice.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 7, 2021 7:34:28 GMT -6
Lol at the long, long range GFS. First digital snow of the year!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 7, 2021 7:55:57 GMT -6
Lol at the long, long range GFS. First digital snow of the year! Looks great, must be catching on to the potential PV displacement. I assume accumulating snow before Halloween would be a record |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 7, 2021 8:12:57 GMT -6
Day 4 30% risk area defined by the SPC.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 7, 2021 8:18:28 GMT -6
Lol at the long, long range GFS. First digital snow of the year! Looks great, must be catching on to the potential PV displacement. I assume accumulating snow before Halloween would be a record I think the NW viewing area had accumulating snow late last October. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 7, 2021 8:39:28 GMT -6
It wouldn't surprise me if we got a strong shot of cool air and maybe even a few flakes later this month considering how amplified the pattern has been. Seems to make sense if you buy into the "rubber band theory".
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 7, 2021 9:22:57 GMT -6
Looks great, must be catching on to the potential PV displacement. I assume accumulating snow before Halloween would be a record I think the NW viewing area had accumulating snow late last October. Obviously, it didnât snow enough because I didnât remember đ |
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Post by jmg378s on Oct 7, 2021 10:54:17 GMT -6
That SPC extended outlook Day 4 30% area is about the size of or even smaller than many watch boxes. The outlooks aren't necessarily intended to convey the counter-hypothesis (low threat or no threat) from the un-delineated area but I can imagine some people view them that way. Anyway these high probability small coverage extended outlooks may portray to some consumers a level of skill in extended range severe forecasting that I'm not sure is actually there.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 7, 2021 11:50:21 GMT -6
Would agree...SPC likes to get cute with their forecasts sometimes.
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 7, 2021 13:59:21 GMT -6
I feel like we are in the eye of a hurricane today in the metro with rain circulation all around us
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Oct 7, 2021 17:37:39 GMT -6
I think the NW viewing area had accumulating snow late last October. Obviously, it didnât snow enough because I didnât remember đ It snowed oct 27th last year in Macon mo I was in it and October 29 I was in a hurricane that hit Gulfport Mississippi |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 7, 2021 19:22:27 GMT -6
Mid 90s now forecasted for Sunday. Records will crumble this weekend... where are mid 90s forecasted, and by whom? cite sources. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 7, 2021 21:27:00 GMT -6
Mid 90s now forecasted for Sunday. Records will crumble this weekend... where are mid 90s forecasted, and by whom? cite sources. Removed with the evening package, NWS had it for downtown, now just upper 80s. Models have backed off as well last few cycles with mainly low to mid 80s. yesterday they were on fire, less so today likely as climatological factors have kicked in. Regardless whether it's 85 or 95, point is it's steamy for mid October. |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 8, 2021 10:13:34 GMT -6
Im going with 95 tomorrow, +22 850s is sweltering this time of year.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 8, 2021 11:53:03 GMT -6
i'm going with not 95 tomorrow
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 8, 2021 11:59:10 GMT -6
Heck today seems tonbe over achieving temp wise
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 8, 2021 13:13:09 GMT -6
81 at 2pm . Seems to be right where expected, may go up another 2 or 3 degrees
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Post by cozpregon on Oct 8, 2021 13:34:29 GMT -6
Where 850 temps are 20-22* range this afternoon... temps are in the 87-90 range.
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Post by tedrick65 on Oct 8, 2021 19:49:41 GMT -6
I'll throw it out there...Reed Timmer vs. Ryan Hall
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 8, 2021 20:16:23 GMT -6
I'll throw it out there...Reed Timmer vs. Ryan Hall I must have missed it. Whatâs going on between those two? |
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