Some good looking hodographs around here Monday morning
Yeah, we may want to watch Monday AM/mid-day for strong storms. That's a compact and potent shortwave pivoting through. Time of day isn't ideal, but it doesn't take much instability with those kind of dynamics.
This bro lives a stones throw NNW of Brighton, IL.
"The trouble with weather forecasting is that it's right too often for us to ignore it and wrong too often for us to rely on it." ~Patrick Young
As mentioned by some others already may need to pay close attention to possibility of severe weather Monday. I don't want to dismiss Sunday night / Monday morning time period, but I think the higher threat may be midday Monday onward from St. Louis and especially areas north and east. It's possible some supercells could develop in this area as the system moves through. If so storm morphology may be closer to the mini / low top supercell end of the spectrum. Much is going to depend on just how much instability develops. Illustrating Euro 925mb winds for Monday with approximate surface features sketched on below. When winds this close to ground are screaming at 35-45kts over the warm sector it doesn't take much to tilt and stretch vorticity into a tornado.
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2021 14:54:14 GMT -6
Kind of surprised that’s not a PDS with this kind of wording in the watch:
Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely
while I am still waiting for some raindrops here are a few pics from an awesome sunset 10/9
Last Edit: Oct 11, 2021 6:31:45 GMT -6 by amstilost
7 Miles West of De Soto
Welcome to the shout box. Just trying this feature out.
gonefishin - WashMO: We have Grandparents Day/Open House at school on Sunday. Getting nervous about the idea of our grandparents walking between church and school with icy conditions. Glad it’s not my call. Hoping the ice holds off.
Jan 26, 2023 9:16:44 GMT -6
bellevillewxguy: The RAP has seen the light! 21Z run is back on course for a major winter storm for almost the entire area!
Jan 23, 2023 16:20:25 GMT -6
ajd446: Is it me or does it appear the 21z sref had a decent shift NW.
Jan 22, 2023 18:29:06 GMT -6
bfsmith81: Christmas Edition thread seems to be broken? Last page of the thread won't load now, with an HTTP 410 error.
Jan 15, 2023 12:29:29 GMT -6
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6