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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 25, 2021 10:53:40 GMT -6
I'm thankful we're not getting this winter weather.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 25, 2021 10:53:45 GMT -6
12z gfs continues trend of advertising a large storm around D10.
Way out there, but it’s all we have for now.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 25, 2021 13:01:46 GMT -6
day9 -10 euro lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 25, 2021 13:33:01 GMT -6
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 25, 2021 13:40:21 GMT -6
Do tell……
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 25, 2021 13:59:01 GMT -6
Just your standard fantasy rage snowstorm.
There actually is a decent signal on the EPS for a storm system around that time, although it looks like it would favor areas east of here
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 25, 2021 14:10:40 GMT -6
Gotta love it, the Euro has a snowstorm and the GFS has a severe wx setup. But there does seem to be building support for a more active pattern emerging towards next weekend.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 25, 2021 15:08:06 GMT -6
Gotta love it, the Euro has a snowstorm and the GFS has a severe wx setup. But there does seem to be building support for a more active pattern emerging towards next weekend. Agreed. I’ve been watching that setup for awhile and keeping stats on the guidance. They are definitely on to something in my opinion somewhere from Dec 4-9 timeframe. Has a winter looking setup if you ask me but models have done very poor with the temps profiles beyond 6 days so that’s the big question. I’d bet there will be a big winter storm somewhere during that time. Hopefully it’s our turn. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 25, 2021 22:16:57 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving weather gang!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 26, 2021 14:44:50 GMT -6
12z euro control is pretty awesome. The operational run needs some work though.
I think we have something worth watching.
12z euro ensembles are basically divided into 3 camps:
1. STL to Chicago special
2. Ohio Valley/Rust Belt
3. Interior Northeast
I vote camp one
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Post by mchafin on Nov 26, 2021 14:56:21 GMT -6
12z euro control is pretty awesome. The operational run needs some work though. I think we have something worth watching. 12z euro ensembles are basically divided into 3 camps: 1. STL to Chicago special 2. Ohio Valley/Rust Belt 3. Interior Northeast I vote camp one “I’ll take option 1 for 800 Alex” |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 26, 2021 16:48:00 GMT -6
12z euro control is pretty awesome. The operational run needs some work though. I think we have something worth watching. 12z euro ensembles are basically divided into 3 camps: 1. STL to Chicago special 2. Ohio Valley/Rust Belt 3. Interior Northeast I vote camp one EPS has my attention
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 27, 2021 7:47:42 GMT -6
Well, the storm on the EC sure didn't last long, lol. The operational run went pretty much zonal on the 00z run...yawn
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 27, 2021 8:59:28 GMT -6
Well, the storm on the EC sure didn't last long, lol. The operational run went pretty much zonal on the 00z run...yawn That was a big change from 12z to 00z on the EPS. Went from interesting to snoozeville |
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 27, 2021 9:15:38 GMT -6
Be thankful for eachother. We all know we do not live in an area that gets a ton of snow, so just take the little we get. I would like personally get to christmas befor anything then let a nice white christmas happen. Models are almost always pointless until 3 days out, i would actually take some good rains befor snow to get our ponds filled again, it is getting dry.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 27, 2021 9:31:04 GMT -6
Well, the storm on the EC sure didn't last long, lol. The operational run went pretty much zonal on the 00z run...yawn That was a big change from 12z to 00z on the EPS. Went from interesting to snoozeville I guess it's not surprising, there hasn't been much if any support for any S stream storms for a while...just a parade of clippers across the N tier. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 27, 2021 10:16:40 GMT -6
That was a big change from 12z to 00z on the EPS. Went from interesting to snoozeville I guess it's not surprising, there hasn't been much if any support for any S stream storms for a while...just a parade of clippers across the N tier. We really need a whole sale pattern change to get anything interesting going around here. That persistent ridging out west is a killer for both cold and southern stream storms. Teleconnections aren’t showing much hope |
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 27, 2021 12:35:05 GMT -6
Days like today are beautiful. Highs in the 60s lows in the 40s would not be bad to hang onto until we get our first snow
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 27, 2021 13:03:04 GMT -6
Maybe we get the Colorado low to dig more next weekend. Otherwise, it might be time for a weekend trip to Wisconsin.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 28, 2021 8:44:23 GMT -6
here's winter
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 28, 2021 9:16:18 GMT -6
Also here
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 28, 2021 9:30:00 GMT -6
blah. We always get screwed. lol.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 28, 2021 11:59:13 GMT -6
We have seen this movie before
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 28, 2021 13:56:59 GMT -6
Yeah it seems like to cold always settles over in Europe and Asia. We get the 1-2 cold winters were they get the 7-8 out of 10. Along with plenty of snow.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 28, 2021 14:40:14 GMT -6
The pattern is just as crappy as it gets. NW to zonal flow. Get the very back edge of a cold airmass that lasts a day or so then it warms right back up. And basically completely dry. No change in sight. This is gross, and boring.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491 
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Nov 28, 2021 14:41:01 GMT -6
If we aren’t going to get snow, it may as well be in the 60s all week. Warm and dry always beats cold and dry.
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Post by bear1 on Nov 28, 2021 14:52:49 GMT -6
If we aren’t going to get snow, it may as well be in the 60s all week. Warm and dry always beats cold and dry. 
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 28, 2021 14:59:26 GMT -6
But we do need the rain. Getting drier!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 28, 2021 15:17:01 GMT -6
Sunset for today and tomorrow is at 441 PM. I think that's the earliest it gets (it may get to 440 pm; I'm not 100% certain). It doesn't change for 2 weeks or so and then starts getting later. So we've essentially reached bottom on that.
Sunrise, however, is currently just before 7 AM. It continues to get later through much of December, flattening out at about 720 AM. So we still have a few weeks to go on that.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 28, 2021 15:40:44 GMT -6
I would like it to at least feel like the holidays instead of early spring. We get enough of that crap.
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