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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 7, 2021 17:14:17 GMT -6
Record highs for Dec 10-17: 10: 73 (1889) 11: 70 (1979) 12: 72 (2015) 13: 73 (1948) 14: 70 (1975) 15: 76 (1948) 16: 70 (1889) 17: 72 (1908) That Dec 10th record is in jeopardy. Wow from 1889! At least one of the Dec 14-17 records could be in play as well. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 7, 2021 17:42:55 GMT -6
The 2 records from 1889 seem to be the best chance we have at breaking, Interesting.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 7, 2021 18:21:15 GMT -6
Ok... anyone interested in last minute Billiken tickets for tonight? Tipoff is 7pm. My son picked up two tickets but he had a last minute obligation that came up. I'm trying to help him get rid of them. They are free.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 7, 2021 18:44:10 GMT -6
Record highs for Dec 10-17: 10: 73 (1889) 11: 70 (1979) 12: 72 (2015) 13: 73 (1948) 14: 70 (1975) 15: 76 (1948) 16: 70 (1889) 17: 72 (1908) Just for sh*#% and grins..... Since 1889 and 1948 showed up twice 1889-90 Season.....32.5" including a whopping 21" for March 1908-09 Season.....19.1" including 14.2" in Jan. 1948-49 Season.....22.7" including 14.9" In March 1979-80 Season.....25.6" including 8" in Nov. we can write this one off...but 1979 is a Top 35 year with 25.5" 1975-76 Season.....25.3" of note here 1975 was a Top 9 Year with 34"...not sure how with a total of 25.3", maybe 74-75 season??? 2015-16 Season.....10.9" of note here 10.6" fell in Jan. and Feb. This was the only 'below average' year of the years posted. Optimism is a wonderful thing  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 7, 2021 18:56:34 GMT -6
Record highs for Dec 10-17: 10: 73 (1889) 11: 70 (1979) 12: 72 (2015) 13: 73 (1948) 14: 70 (1975) 15: 76 (1948) 16: 70 (1889) 17: 72 (1908) Just for sh*#% and grins..... Since 1889 and 1948 showed up twice 1889-90 Season.....32.5" including a whopping 21" for March 1908-09 Season.....19.1" including 14.2" in Jan. 1948-49 Season.....22.7" including 14.9" In March 1979-80 Season.....25.6" including 8" in Nov. we can write this one off...but 1979 is a Top 35 year with 25.5" 1975-76 Season.....25.3" of note here 1975 was a Top 9 Year with 34"...not sure how with a total of 25.3", maybe 74-75 season??? 2015-16 Season.....10.9" of note here 10.6" fell in Jan. and Feb. This was the only 'below average' year of the years posted. Optimism is a wonderful thing So our best analog is 2015-2016 |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 7, 2021 19:54:22 GMT -6
I could definitely see a backloaded winter again. Hopefully not the 2 week ice age we had this past Feb and maybe a little more spread out. Also I doubt we see an inch of snow on April 20th again!
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Post by amstilost on Dec 7, 2021 21:43:39 GMT -6
Just for sh*#% and grins..... Since 1889 and 1948 showed up twice 1889-90 Season.....32.5" including a whopping 21" for March 1908-09 Season.....19.1" including 14.2" in Jan. 1948-49 Season.....22.7" including 14.9" In March 1979-80 Season.....25.6" including 8" in Nov. we can write this one off...but 1979 is a Top 35 year with 25.5" 1975-76 Season.....25.3" of note here 1975 was a Top 9 Year with 34"...not sure how with a total of 25.3", maybe 74-75 season??? 2015-16 Season.....10.9" of note here 10.6" fell in Jan. and Feb. This was the only 'below average' year of the years posted. Optimism is a wonderful thing So our best analog is 2015-2016  |
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Post by jeepers on Dec 7, 2021 23:09:45 GMT -6
😂😂😂
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 7, 2021 23:23:31 GMT -6
Chris did I read your forecast right for Monday? I could had swore it said 40° for the high. That seems very low unless I looked at the wrong 7 day.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 8, 2021 0:00:56 GMT -6
Wow, the 384 hours of 0z GFS never gets below 32*. I do believe in snowflakes, I do believe in snowflakes, I do, I do, I do believe in snowflakes. (Kind of paraphrasing the Cowardly Lion)  |
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 8, 2021 6:26:34 GMT -6
Friday does not look as warm now, however the risk of severe is inching closer no with se metro now in small risk
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 8, 2021 10:23:44 GMT -6
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bgff
Weather Weenie
Location: Hillsboro, MO
Posts: 43 
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Post by bgff on Dec 8, 2021 10:59:40 GMT -6
To bad sharks weren't involved. It could be the next Emmy awarding winning movie "Sharksnownado" |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 8, 2021 11:23:30 GMT -6
Wow factoring in next week and after what we have had, this Dec will end up in the top 20 or even top 10 warmest Dec on record if we can't get a different pattern just before and around Christmas.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 8, 2021 11:47:59 GMT -6
There’s blowtorch patterns, then there’s whatever this monstrosity is next week  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 8, 2021 12:05:05 GMT -6
Toasty
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 8, 2021 12:10:06 GMT -6
To bad sharks weren't involved. It could be the next Emmy awarding winning movie "Sharksnownado" That would just be silly... and unrealistic- We all know there are no sharks in Lake Erie |
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 8, 2021 12:17:36 GMT -6
I have no idea what you would call the heat dome next week except absolutely 1000 percent ridiculous.
Something like that could pop an 80 degrer temp which is obsurd this time of year.
My wife and I will be in orlando for a dog competition as she is a trainer and looks like Orlando and st.louis will have nearly the same weather.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 8, 2021 12:20:16 GMT -6
Looks like I'm getting a 'steak dinner' next month @ home with my record warm December prediction. Hey, even a broken clock is right once. XD
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Post by dschreib on Dec 8, 2021 12:35:05 GMT -6
Looks like I'm getting a 'steak dinner' next month @ home with my record warm December prediction. Hey, even a broken clock is right once. XD Twice, actually...but who's counting? |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 8, 2021 12:44:39 GMT -6
The historical event next week is nothing short of unprecedented. Near Minimum Solar Angle and near shortest daylight length, but yet still getting temps into the upper 70s and yes even a few 80s with a meh ground temp in the 50s to lower 60s by that time is pretty impressive. Lots of pieces have to line up for this kind of extreme record breaking, and while I know people would rather see cold and snow then September/late August like temps. It's a only possible because of Climate Change event, even though they won't nor can directly attribute it to it. Hopefully January and especially February pan out colder, and overall thinking does seem to be shifting that way.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 8, 2021 12:45:11 GMT -6
Looks like I'm getting a 'steak dinner' next month @ home with my record warm December prediction. Hey, even a broken clock is right once. XD Twice, actually...but who's counting? Going with a digital clock there, not an Analog Clock (Clock with hands). |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 8, 2021 12:46:24 GMT -6
Friday could be a decent storm and possible tornado outbreak southeast of us, but it's too close for comfort.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 8, 2021 13:39:37 GMT -6
We need to watch Friday closely for sure...the biggest limiting factor appears to be the intense wind shear...models are forecasting 100kts+ at 500mb and 70kt+ bulk shear values. It will be tough to sustain updrafts in that environment, but any that do poses a risk for tornadoes.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 8, 2021 16:16:50 GMT -6
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Post by amstilost on Dec 8, 2021 16:40:45 GMT -6
That was a great write-up. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Dec 8, 2021 16:46:46 GMT -6
I love this format!
Any timing on the storms on Friday? I'm driving down Friday morning to go to a concert at Delmar Hall Friday night. As long as I make it through the VIP part I'll be happy.  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 9, 2021 6:24:57 GMT -6
The gfs has the first half of the mega ridge with a straight Southerly flow.
We won't see 70s until that turns SW.
But things are shaping up for one possible frontal compression day with sun.
Might reach 80
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 9, 2021 8:55:49 GMT -6
This is fantastic, I wish they did it like this for all of them! Still very thankful the Fredericktown storm lifted when it entered Perry county. Had it stayed on the ground like the St. Mary storm did, it would have been a direct hit on Perryville. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 9, 2021 9:56:42 GMT -6
The gfs has the first half of the mega ridge with a straight Southerly flow. We won't see 70s until that turns SW. But things are shaping up for one possible frontal compression day with sun. Might reach 80 Wednesday looks like full blown torch...wouldn't be surprised to see U70s/~80* for highs across the Metro. |
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