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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2021 16:36:21 GMT -6
None of this was to really begin until after dark..after 6pm even. Come on people.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 10, 2021 16:44:51 GMT -6
Small storms firing up by kirksville now.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 10, 2021 16:45:42 GMT -6
Last few frames in SW Mo look like it’s starting to fire up.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2021 16:50:06 GMT -6
Last few frames in SW Mo look like it’s starting to fire up. That’s the area we really need to watch this evening. Anything that forms there will move NE within a very supportive Tornadic environment. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 10, 2021 16:50:24 GMT -6
None of this was to really begin until after dark..after 6pm even. Come on people. Not completely true...models had suggested that the shortwave lifting NE towards us would break the CAP and initiate convection across Central MO but that hasn't been the case. The lack of gusty winds at the surface suggests there's still a low/mid-level inversion in place. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 10, 2021 16:57:25 GMT -6
None of this was to really begin until after dark..after 6pm even. Come on people. Not completely true...models had suggested that the shortwave lifting NE towards us would break the CAP and initiate convection across Central MO but that hasn't been the case. The lack of gusty winds at the surface suggests there's still a low/mid-level inversion in place. Yea, it is quite calm here but breeze is starting to kick up a little. Having said what I did in the last post, I am a bit surprised to see the storms firing in SW MO like they are. Not sure any models had that. |
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 10, 2021 16:58:49 GMT -6
Winds are gusty with the rain in st.peters at the moment
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Dec 10, 2021 17:20:21 GMT -6
Just starting to fire up down here at the farm, in Vienna Illinois down in the Shawnee.
Not really ideal situations. Staying in the motorhome. It is deer season still.. Lol
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 10, 2021 17:23:31 GMT -6
Tornado watch up and strongly worded
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 10, 2021 17:24:01 GMT -6
Looks like the CAP is finally eroding across MO along the leading edge of stronger height falls ahead of the primary trof. Things could get nasty quickly...
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2021 17:33:48 GMT -6
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 10, 2021 17:41:18 GMT -6
You can feel the difference outside now. Something clicked. Windy and more humid now. Everything is soaked from the humidity.
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Post by thechaser on Dec 10, 2021 17:42:55 GMT -6
Mesoanalysis shows 400-600 0-1km SRH across eastern Missouri, 80kt+ effective bulk shear. Won't take much to get this storms to start rotating.
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Post by mchafin on Dec 10, 2021 17:46:30 GMT -6
What do you think about timing for metro? 10-11p?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 10, 2021 17:57:49 GMT -6
I’m thinking that Springfield cell will be tornado warned any second.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 10, 2021 18:02:12 GMT -6
Tornado warn near springfield, rolling up 44
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Post by John G -west belleville on Dec 10, 2021 18:03:49 GMT -6
Looks like the CAP is finally eroding across MO along the leading edge of stronger height falls ahead of the primary trof. Things could get nasty quickly... Winds up. Inversion is gone |
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 10, 2021 18:14:40 GMT -6
One of the storms by the lake is moving at 90 mph, it will be here in hour and a half at that speed
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Post by fojginmo on Dec 10, 2021 18:17:00 GMT -6
On radar scope, what velocity do I want? I have Tilt 1 but it looks different than usual.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 10, 2021 18:21:36 GMT -6
On radar scope, what velocity do I want? I have Tilt 1 but it looks different than usual. I noticed that too...seems like they might have changed the color scale? Definitely looks different than before. Tilt 1 is the best for detecting potential tornadoes. |
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Post by thechaser on Dec 10, 2021 18:23:55 GMT -6
On radar scope, what velocity do I want? I have Tilt 1 but it looks different than usual. I noticed that too...seems like they might have changed the color scale? Definitely looks different than before. Tilt 1 is the best for detecting potential tornadoes. Agreed, velocity data looks odd on some of the radars. LSX looks odd, but EAX it looks normal. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 10, 2021 18:24:27 GMT -6
Looks like the CAP is finally eroding across MO along the leading edge of stronger height falls ahead of the primary trof. Things could get nasty quickly... Winds up. Inversion is gone Still eerily calm here but I bet that changes quickly. Storms really ramping up out west, but they look a bit strung out due to the intense shear. |
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Post by thechaser on Dec 10, 2021 18:28:31 GMT -6
Tornado warnings being issued along the line now.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2021 18:29:47 GMT -6
Maybe the very fast storm motions are playing tricks of the radar velocity. Only thing I can think of
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 10, 2021 18:31:31 GMT -6
Metro is in real danger with this line. Almost qlcs like
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 10, 2021 18:32:30 GMT -6
If you know anyone in Weiner, AR now would be the time to give them a heads up.
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 10, 2021 18:36:42 GMT -6
Storm north of Bowling Green should be warned. Not sure it didn't just drop a quick tornado already.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2021 18:39:36 GMT -6
that escalated quickly.
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Post by dschreib on Dec 10, 2021 18:41:18 GMT -6
On radar scope, what velocity do I want? I have Tilt 1 but it looks different than usual. I noticed that too...seems like they might have changed the color scale? Definitely looks different than before. Tilt 1 is the best for detecting potential tornadoes. LSX is on 12 vs 212. I think that’s better for near the radar vs distant. But also not completely sure about that. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2021 18:49:19 GMT -6
Ya this is looking very worrisome if current trends hold. The environment around here is only going to get more supportive for tornadoes and severe weather the next 2-3 hours |
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