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Post by weatherj on Jan 29, 2022 11:35:35 GMT -6
You can lock in the 12 GFS ….. downtown gets a foot and 35 miles southeast down here we get no snow and an inch plus if freezing rain …… this has played out many times before….. we usually get sleet instead of the freezing rain though lol The amount of ZR for the S/E counties on that run of the GFS is extremely concerning for sure. Hopefully models slowly push that off to the SE. At least we have the GEM to hold on to....lol. It even prints out 1/4 in of accretion before the snow over our way. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 29, 2022 11:42:37 GMT -6
Well, that escalated quickly...
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 29, 2022 11:45:58 GMT -6
You can lock in the 12 GFS ….. downtown gets a foot and 35 miles southeast down here we get no snow and an inch plus if freezing rain …… this has played out many times before….. we usually get sleet instead of the freezing rain though lol The amount of ZR for the S/E counties on that run of the GFS is extremely concerning for sure. Hopefully models slowly push that off to the SE. At least we have the GEM to hold on to....lol. It even prints out 1/4 in of accretion before the snow over our way. Im just having fun with it ….. I know the models will change 10 times between now and then …..you are so right about the freezing rain though If somebody gets half of that it will be brutal |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 29, 2022 11:48:31 GMT -6
That would be an understatement......one could only clear that much with heavy equipment and pusher boxes, which out here in my area is few and far between especially the pusher boxes. Heavy equipment is there but most of those guys have already done their snow removal career and most likely stay home regardless if they are needed. Add on the cold and it’d be a half a month. Heck, schools took off for a week when we got a 10-12” in 2014 with severe cold after. Schools down here were just off two days for a light dusting lol |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 29, 2022 12:02:59 GMT -6
If you look at the satellite off imagery off the east coast it looks like an eye has formed pretty amazing
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:03:11 GMT -6
Come on, Euro. Continue the excitement.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:07:10 GMT -6
Some of these models coughing up a meter of snow (32-36"), forget inches, heck even feet. bring out the meter sticks. We're gonna need a refrigerator sized box to measure that in. If it were to verify (very slim chance of that) it would be a St. Louis first in recorded history.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 29, 2022 12:07:42 GMT -6
Ice ice baby.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:09:28 GMT -6
GFS beyond next week's system still has a few storms in or around our wheelhouse through Valentines Day, if even one or 2 of these produce we could be having snow on the ground through April or at least the start of it.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:09:32 GMT -6
 Can someone remind me again how to insert picture? I use to use photobucket now that doesn't work. I have imagur |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 29, 2022 12:10:51 GMT -6
lol april
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:13:21 GMT -6
They better play that song on Fox 2 in the morning or Power of 2 @ 6AM on the 2nd or 3rd. Bommarito Skyfox can also be flying while it's playing for bonus points (if safe to do so).  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:14:06 GMT -6
Again, hypothetically not an 'actual' forecast that it will.
We can always get screwed. It is St. Louis after all. It's not a done deal till it's actually on the ground.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 29, 2022 12:18:51 GMT -6
Can ya'll guess what my #1 analogue is after looking at the 12z data rolling in?
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 29, 2022 12:19:08 GMT -6
even hypothetically...no way
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:19:26 GMT -6
I copied the link and pasted it into the box after clicking the little picture. Not working.
Anyways, The difference at H5 between GEM and Ukmet at hours 114-126 is something else. Gem is literally perfect. Ukmet is much more sheered out which suppresses the moisture south for wave 2/3.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:19:28 GMT -6
12Z EURO now up to the moment when the storm starts.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:19:44 GMT -6
Can ya'll guess what my #1 analogue is after looking at the 12z data rolling in? GHD 2011 Edit : 2nd guess is 82 which should've been my first guess. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 29, 2022 12:19:46 GMT -6
Can ya'll guess what my #1 analogue is after looking at the 12z data rolling in? 82.. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:20:08 GMT -6
Can ya'll guess what my #1 analogue is after looking at the 12z data rolling in? 82?, 2014? Farther south 06? Now wait, Feb 2011 when we had Sleetageddon? |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:22:40 GMT -6
Looking at upper levels, Euro is going to be a monster.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 29, 2022 12:22:46 GMT -6
euro is about 6 hours slower getting it below freezing than 0z. way over an inch of rain
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:24:53 GMT -6
Most of Earth is cloudy on my Birthday, only the Tropics are relative cloud free...
The Planet looks angry in general most of February.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:25:22 GMT -6
Yeah, Juiced but a little warmer than we'd like
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 29, 2022 12:27:35 GMT -6
HP is getting too close for my liking.
Euro trying to go big for part 2
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 29, 2022 12:29:33 GMT -6
south mo and se mo get hammered..northern edge here
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:31:43 GMT -6
HP is getting too close for my liking. Euro trying to go big for part 2 Wouldn't sneeze at a 4-6" er with quarter to half inch of ice, still borderline warning, and biggest storm of the year to date. HP is a buzz kill from epicnessville however as mentioned. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 29, 2022 12:32:33 GMT -6
Looks like it's as usual... Steady as she goes for the time being.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 29, 2022 12:37:41 GMT -6
I think the euro is not amping up the kicker wave enough still.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 29, 2022 12:42:10 GMT -6
I think the euro is not amping up the kicker wave enough still. Considering how amped some of the GEFS members are I don’t mind the Euro being alittle subdued. The euro is still a rather significant storm for the area verbatim |
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