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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 30, 2022 16:48:48 GMT -6
Positive snow mean depth from the 18z GEFS Damn  |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 30, 2022 16:49:05 GMT -6
To have GEFS look that good is awesome. Don’t get all bent out of shape Over the 18z nam at the last 25% of its run.
GEFS has slowly but surely looked better every single run almost.
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Post by dmbstl on Jan 30, 2022 16:51:51 GMT -6
My wife already booked a hotel for this week so she can get down town to children’s for work before the hospital fills it up. Sorry, storm is canceled. 2 more weeks Children’s Hospital is not downtown. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jan 30, 2022 16:53:13 GMT -6
My wife already booked a hotel for this week so she can get down town to children’s for work before the hospital fills it up. Sorry, storm is canceled. 2 more weeks Children’s Hospital is not downtown. Sorry, that’s what it’s referred to by Peds in the area and we live in eureka lol. But yes. It’s centra west end. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 30, 2022 16:56:44 GMT -6
The mean QPF is up to 2.6” for the metro on the 18z GEFS
Ya were going to lose some of that to rain on the front end but that’s a ton of moisture
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 30, 2022 17:01:03 GMT -6
I don't think I've ever seen the GEFS print out that much snow for St. Louis. If we end up with less than 6" then it's going to happen as a notable failure by that model.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 30, 2022 17:02:07 GMT -6
The mean QPF is up to 2.6” for the metro on the 18z GEFS Ya were going to lose some of that to rain on the front end but that’s a ton of moisture The steady feed of Gulf and subtropical jet moisture into a sharp baroclinkc zone is something we rarely see. That's the 1982-ish aspect of this to me...we'll see if persistent banding or TSSN develops. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 30, 2022 17:05:34 GMT -6
wow! history does repeat itself. Visiting team lost the OT coin toss. go chiefs!
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Post by bororug on Jan 30, 2022 17:15:28 GMT -6
wow! history does repeat itself. Visiting team lost the OT coin toss. go chiefs! Not so fast Beaker! |
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Post by dmbstl on Jan 30, 2022 17:16:00 GMT -6
Children’s Hospital is not downtown. Sorry, that’s what it’s referred to by Peds in the area and we live in eureka lol. But yes. It’s centra west end. Ted Drewes: downtown The Hill: downtown Galleria: downtown |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 30, 2022 17:17:57 GMT -6
wow! history does repeat itself. Visiting team lost the OT coin toss. go chiefs! Not so fast Beaker! well crap |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 30, 2022 17:38:25 GMT -6
Tonight’s predictions
Niners (good to see all the red in that stadium)
Epic Model Runs
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 30, 2022 17:41:07 GMT -6
Definitely rooting for the niners tonight
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 30, 2022 17:45:48 GMT -6
Same. Clearly more red in the stands than blue lol. Though I’m not sure Jimmy G/John Stamos can get it done.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 30, 2022 17:50:38 GMT -6
Who is going to be bold enough in here and admit they are rooting for the Rams?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 17:53:54 GMT -6
Who is going to be bold enough in here and admit they are rooting for the Rams? Why would you possibly root for the Rams? |
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Post by mchafin on Jan 30, 2022 17:54:06 GMT -6
Who is going to be bold enough in here and admit they are rooting for the Rams? Never. |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 30, 2022 17:54:10 GMT -6
I don't care who wins... just have SF +3.5 and over 45.5
Had Cincy and the under which was nice
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 30, 2022 17:55:55 GMT -6
I would root for the Blackhawks and Cubs before ever rooting for the Rams.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 17:59:22 GMT -6
I would root for the Blackhawks and Cubs before ever rooting for the Rams. Cruel and unusual punishment |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 30, 2022 18:00:20 GMT -6
I don't care who wins... just have SF +3.5 and over 45.5 Had Cincy and the under which was nice I had the opposite. And have the opposite of you here as well. If niners cover and go over please let us know snow amounts for this week. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 18:21:19 GMT -6
18z euro is a lot of rain to a ton of ice to a nice snow for a lot of the metro. Northwestern metro gets a bunch of ice and snow.
Wave #2 is alive and well on this run
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 30, 2022 18:24:07 GMT -6
Consensus has the metro falling below freezing 3am ish Wed morning.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 30, 2022 18:24:27 GMT -6
18z euro is a lot of rain to a ton of ice to a nice snow for a lot of the metro. Northwestern metro gets a bunch of ice and snow. Wave #2 is alive and well on this run That’s some significant icing it drops in the metro Wednesday. Yuck |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 30, 2022 18:26:47 GMT -6
Has about .5 zr, 1" sleet and looks to be a significant amount of snow
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Post by weatherj on Jan 30, 2022 18:29:30 GMT -6
Probably pure ZR for SE areas after the switch from rain.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 18:30:25 GMT -6
I’m a huge believer that this kicker wave delivers. The euro has clearly caved to the gfs with it developing and making it north (not quite as far north).
That thing could really clobber the area and bring strong winds.
Can’t wait to see the mesoscales really get a stab at this thing.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 30, 2022 18:32:47 GMT -6
If you cut the metro in thirds I’d say best guess going into 00z tonight
southern 1/3: .25-.5 ice, 1-3” sleet and 2-4” snow
Middle 1/3: .25-.5 ice, 1-2” sleet and 4-8” snow
Northern 1/3: up to an inch of mix, 8-12” snow
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 18:33:37 GMT -6
Has about .5 zr, 1" sleet and looks to be a significant amount of snow A line from Farmington to Mount Vernon is virtually all ZR and sleet after the rain on this particular run. Doesn’t mean it is right, but just reporting what the 18z euro shows. ** However, the run only goes out 90 hours and there is a major deformation band swinging through that would change to snow for you dropping several inches |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 30, 2022 18:33:47 GMT -6
I’m a huge believer that this kicker wave delivers. The euro has clearly caved to the gfs with it developing and making it north (not quite as far north). That thing could really clobber the area and bring strong winds. Can’t wait to see the mesoscales really get a stab at this thing. I agree completely. This storm has unreal potential with moisture coming into it. |
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