Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 11, 2022 15:15:24 GMT -6
HOWEVER, THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE A POSSIBLE MULTIFACETED STORM SYSTEM ANTICIPATED TO TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER-LEVEL CLOSED LOW POSITIONED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BE EJECTED NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDWEST BEFORE INTERACTING WITH A NORTHERN STREAM UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CONUS. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE STILL EXHIBITED CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY BETWEEN ONE ANOTHER AS WELL AS FROM RUN TO RUN, NAMELY IN HOW QUICKLY AN ATTENDANT LOW-LEVEL/ATTENDANT SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS AND WHERE IT TRACKS. THERE IS VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT VIGOROUS ASCENT WILL INTERACT WITH INCREASINGLY ANOMALOUS MOISTURE (PW IN EXCESS OF 2") FEEDING INTO THE REGION AND RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT PRECIP EVENT LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED VARIABILITY CASTS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT IMPACTS ACROSS THE CWA WHICH COULD RANGE FROM STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO A WINTER STORM. THIS VARIABILITY IS NOT UNEXPECTED AT THIS LEAD TIME AND SHOULD DECREASE AS LEAD TIME DECREASES GOING FORWARD.
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6
snowday_lover: So weird.... sun is really out here right now. I just expected it to be full cloud cover by now. Hopefully the clouds move in soon. I'm ready to see what we get down here.
Feb 6, 2018 12:15:23 GMT -6
tk: Wagons East- Never was close....I'm with Snowman for once even though he is crazy negative but I get it....
Jan 9, 2018 20:50:54 GMT -6