|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 30, 2022 18:36:04 GMT -6
I’m a huge believer that this kicker wave delivers. The euro has clearly caved to the gfs with it developing and making it north (not quite as far north). That thing could really clobber the area and bring strong winds. Can’t wait to see the mesoscales really get a stab at this thing. The jet dynamics of that kicker wave are phenomenal. It has unreal moisture to work with as well. Sky is the limit. |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 18:43:29 GMT -6
Madogchief in Springfield, Illinois might be ground zero for this thing. Likely to see overlap from Wave #1 and #2.
|
|
|
|
Post by mchafin on Jan 30, 2022 19:01:41 GMT -6
I would root for the Blackhawks and Cubs before ever rooting for the Rams. Cruel and unusual punishment I’d always go for the opposing team over: Rams, Cubs, Blackhawks, Astros, RedSox. So if it was Cubs vs RedSox, I’d be forced to not care, which is hard for a baseball fan. |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 19:03:43 GMT -6
Cruel and unusual punishment I’d always go for the opposing team over: Rams, Cubs, Blackhawks, Astros, RedSox. So if it was Cubs vs RedSox, I’d be forced to not care, which is hard for a baseball fan. Rams vs. Patriots was brutal |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Jan 30, 2022 19:10:12 GMT -6
Why is there not even a Hazardous Weather Outlook on the NWS site. Why would you not put SOMETHING on the main page to suggest something MIGHT be here in 3 days.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 30, 2022 19:11:06 GMT -6
18z EPS  |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 30, 2022 19:14:08 GMT -6
Looks like that’s the control run 99
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on Jan 30, 2022 19:19:17 GMT -6
Man... what's 99 doing
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 30, 2022 19:29:58 GMT -6
this better? lol  |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 30, 2022 19:31:28 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Jan 30, 2022 19:32:25 GMT -6
this was posted on NWS page at 5:45 PM  |
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 30, 2022 19:40:04 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 30, 2022 19:40:50 GMT -6
The 00z model run will either break hearts or bring joy. The NAM is rolling... everyone play nice.
|
|
|
|
Post by thechaser on Jan 30, 2022 19:42:43 GMT -6
0z NWS NBM looking solid still.
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Jan 30, 2022 19:43:58 GMT -6
this was posted on NWS page at 5:45 PM I missed that. When the page opens all I see is the map and News Headlines if I don't scroll down. Just seems counter-intuitive to have that important info that far down on the page. JMHO |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Jan 30, 2022 19:48:47 GMT -6
62* on Tues from the HRRR, you have got to be kidding me.
Edit: Nam only out to Hr9, and this was the most current info.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 30, 2022 19:53:46 GMT -6
 NBM 0z |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Jan 30, 2022 19:59:13 GMT -6
I sure would like a 100-150 mile south jog on the center axis of the snow map. I'm not complaining about a projected 7-8" snowfall. I have seen this enough times to know that does not mean 7-8" of snow for me here, 7 miles west of De Soto. I could be wrong but I'm pretty nervous down here.
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 30, 2022 20:04:58 GMT -6
If you live in:
These two cities are 40 miles North North East & 60 MILES NW OF STL
Brighton
Troy, MO
THESE CITIES ARE GONNA GET 8-14"
Moscow Mills
Jerseyville
Hardin
Calhoun county
(including...
swamp lake,
NUTWOOD
12 Mile Island
Winfield
Litchfield
Montgomery Gentry City
So yeah that's the cities off the top of my head that are in the Goldilocks zone.
Then there is:
Warrenton
WINTERZZZZVILLE
OFFALON, mo
Saint "EXAGGERATION" PETERS
Brussels
NORTH SAINT CHUCKY
GRAFTON
Pier MARQUETTE
COON CREEK ROAD
ALTON
EASTERN ALTON
WOOD RIVER(STINKY TOWN)
FLORISSANT
NORTH CHEATERFELD.
THOSE Cities are like gods looking down on the losers in RAINSBURG
The folks North of 70 have a winter storm watch level icy event(sleet) coming...
They also have the MOST CHERISHED(HEAVY SNOW WARNING) coming...
Yeah I am jealous. This sucks
I am playing nice. Anyone up North enjoy the event.
My people's down here know those bloated totals on the Southern edge are 80 percent to high.
This is how I'm coping with the huge disappointment that's coming
|
|
|
|
Post by Jeffmw on Jan 30, 2022 20:05:29 GMT -6
The 00z model run will either break hearts or bring joy. The NAM is rolling... everyone play nice. Why what do they show? |
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 30, 2022 20:06:52 GMT -6
If you live in: These two cities are 40 miles North North East & 60 MILES NW OF STL Brighton Troy, MO THESE CITIES ARE GONNA GET 8-14" Moscow Mills Jerseyville Hardin Calhoun county (including... swamp lake, NUTWOOD 12 Mile Island Winfield Litchfield Montgomery Gentry City So yeah that's the cities off the top of my head that are in the Goldilocks zone. Then there is: Warrenton WINTERZZZZVILLE OFFALON, mo Saint "EXAGGERATION" PETERS Brussels NORTH SAINT CHUCKY GRAFTON Pier MARQUETTE COON CREEK ROAD ALTON EASTERN ALTON WOOD RIVER(STINKY TOWN) FLORISSANT NORTH CHEATERFELD. THOSE Cities are like gods looking down on the losers in RAINSBURG The folks North of 70 have a winter storm watch level icy event(sleet) coming... They also have the MOST CHERISHED(HEAVY SNOW WARNING) coming... Yeah I am jealous. This sucks Let me guess, arks for Belleville? (Due to Flash Flooding?) lolz. |
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 30, 2022 20:07:59 GMT -6
That said the NBM says Ice is the big concern here, basically a Groundhog Day 2011 sleetaggeddon/redux.
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 30, 2022 20:09:54 GMT -6
The 00z model run will either break hearts or bring joy. The NAM is rolling... everyone play nice. Why what do they show? They are just starting to run now… Hence his statement that they could be good or bad. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 30, 2022 20:10:11 GMT -6
The 00z model run will either break hearts or bring joy. The NAM is rolling... everyone play nice. Why what do they show? nothing, they arent out yet |
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 30, 2022 20:10:30 GMT -6
My early more logical guess is 1 to 1.5" of Rain, .25 to .3" of Glaze, then 1.5 to 2" of sleet with a nice hit of 4 to 8" of snow at the end for effectively 6-10" of 'stuff' on the ground. This is for Belleville, IL. Northwest half will do better then southeast half as usual.
Realize it's still a bit early for numbers, especially this exact but it looks like the most sound guess ATM.
|
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 30, 2022 20:14:13 GMT -6
i think the important thing tonight, is the rams vs sf game. i will never dignify kroenke by watching a rams superbowl. go san francisco!
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 30, 2022 20:16:08 GMT -6
I think it's the 49'ers and Chiefs for 2022 Superbowl with Chiefs winning but it could be close. Not a football fan, just my guess looking the the W/L of all the remaining teams and both of those are really great teams this season.
|
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 30, 2022 20:16:20 GMT -6
My early more logical guess is 1 to 1.5" of Rain, .25 to .3" of Glaze, then 1.5 to 2" of sleet with a nice hit of 4 to 8" of snow at the end for effectively 6-10" of 'stuff' on the ground. This is for Belleville, IL. Northwest half will do better then southeast half as usual.
Realize it's still a bit early for numbers, especially this exact but it looks like the most sound guess ATM.
good luck with that. |
|
mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
|
Post by mccarthb on Jan 30, 2022 20:16:41 GMT -6
If you live in: These two cities are 40 miles North North East & 60 MILES NW OF STL Brighton Troy, MO THESE CITIES ARE GONNA GET 8-14" Moscow Mills Jerseyville Hardin Calhoun county (including... swamp lake, NUTWOOD 12 Mile Island Winfield Litchfield Montgomery Gentry City So yeah that's the cities off the top of my head that are in the Goldilocks zone. Then there is: Warrenton WINTERZZZZVILLE OFFALON, mo Saint "EXAGGERATION" PETERS Brussels NORTH SAINT CHUCKY GRAFTON Pier MARQUETTE COON CREEK ROAD ALTON EASTERN ALTON WOOD RIVER(STINKY TOWN) FLORISSANT NORTH CHEATERFELD. THOSE Cities are like gods looking down on the losers in RAINSBURG The folks North of 70 have a winter storm watch level icy event(sleet) coming... They also have the MOST CHERISHED(HEAVY SNOW WARNING) coming... Yeah I am jealous. This sucks I am playing nice. Anyone up North enjoy the event. My people's down here know those bloated totals on the Southern edge are 80 percent to high. This is how I'm coping with the huge disappointment that's coming Lmao… I gotta save this post. Epic! |
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 30, 2022 20:16:59 GMT -6
I think it's the 49'ers and Chiefs for 2022 Superbowl with Chiefs winning but it could be close. Not a football fan, just my guess looking the the W/L of all the remaining teams and both of those are really great teams this season. chiefs lost. its bengals |
|
