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Post by scmhack on Feb 2, 2022 14:38:31 GMT -6
The NWS radar is hard to work with. I need something else. It is a bit of a monstrosity. lol. Use weather underground and click nexrad or buy grlevel2/3 |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 14:40:19 GMT -6
it snowed
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 14:41:50 GMT -6
it gonna snow more
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 2, 2022 14:41:59 GMT -6
That little band is producing a steady snow in st.peters ofallon area on radar still.
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Post by stlweatherguy - Hillsboro, MO on Feb 2, 2022 14:42:34 GMT -6
The NWS radar is hard to work with. I need something else. It is a bit of a monstrosity. lol. Use weather underground and click nexrad or buy grlevel2/3 Thank you scmhack! Much better. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 2, 2022 14:44:01 GMT -6
The RAP has the heaviest snow tonight and tomorrow right through southern St.Clair county …. Would could possibly go wrong lol
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 2, 2022 14:44:06 GMT -6
For MBY at this point in time the 2/01 00Z cycle (45 hour forecast) snow depth product on both the ECMWF and NAM did well. The Kuchera maps were a bit too high. The GFS was way too high on both the Kuchera and snow depth products.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 2, 2022 14:49:41 GMT -6
The GFS was probably the most aggressive in cooling the column, hence some of its ludacris snow forecast
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Post by landscaper on Feb 2, 2022 14:58:01 GMT -6
Gfs was to aggressive below the I44 corridor but it was way better with air temps and the snow line north of I44 most other models had sleet all day north of that line. Along I 70 we received about 4” , we’re plowing a second time now. And it’s 19-20 degrees way colder than Euro/NAM and Gem had all day
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Feb 2, 2022 14:58:29 GMT -6
Would love to get the yard covered before round 2. Will have to mow the lawn shorter next year lol I have to admit, the last mowing of the season I always think about when (if) it snows, and I cut the grass a little shorter. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Feb 2, 2022 15:02:49 GMT -6
Wave one, IMBY, 2 tenths of an inch of ice followed by 1/2 inch of sleet. Flurries on the very back for 5 minutes. Nothing currently falling.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 2, 2022 15:04:41 GMT -6
Gfs says we do this all over again 2 weeks. See you guys them. Got 8" of pure powder by where I am at in the Springs
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 15:07:20 GMT -6
RAP centering heaviest snowfall right along 44 and S of 64 for tonight.
Hrrr is a tick north of that.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 2, 2022 15:10:05 GMT -6
It has been a looooong day so I am calling it a day. See you all in the morning!
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 15:10:08 GMT -6
Solid band developing right over st Charles into Brighton.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 2, 2022 15:10:17 GMT -6
SHORT TERM... (Through Late Thursday Night) Issued at 229 PM CST Wed Feb 2 2022 Key Messages: 1. Event Occurrence: We`re highly confident that a second round of snow will move into the area late this evening and overnight, lasting into Thursday. 2. Impacts: There will be a band of heavy snowfall along the I-44 corridor in Missouri and the I-70 corridor in Illinois. Travel along and in the vicinity of these interstates will be very difficult, especially during the morning commute. Lesser snowfall amounts further north may also cause travel difficulties, but they will be less severe. 3. P-Type: We`re confident that the second round will be comprised of mostly snow, though we may see some sleet mixed with the snow toward far SE MO and southern IL. 4. Longevity/Timing: The second round of snow will move into the area around 9pm in south central MO, quickly pushing northeast through much of the rest of the area by midnight. Snow will last through the morning hours, tapering off in the afternoon. 5. What`s Changed: The first round of wintry precipitation is ending. Little has changed with respect to the second round. 6. Remaining Uncertainty: While we`re confident that a band of heavy snow will become established overnight along the I-44(MO)/I-70(IL) corridor, the exact location of the heaviest snow may shift a bit. Additionally, there is some uncertainty regarding when any lingering sleet in SE MO and SW IL will change over to snow. Rest can be found here: forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LSX&issuedby=LSX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 15:13:36 GMT -6
RAP centering heaviest snowfall right along 44 and S of 64 for tonight. Hrrr is a tick north of that. rap looks about 50 miles south of 44 to me on the 20z |
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 2, 2022 15:19:20 GMT -6
Its just keeps up in st.peters. there must be a small boundary through st.charles county
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 15:19:48 GMT -6
RAP centering heaviest snowfall right along 44 and S of 64 for tonight. Hrrr is a tick north of that. rap looks about 50 miles south of 44 to me on the 20z Yeah it’s even more south than i thought |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 15:20:47 GMT -6
This frontogenetical band will result in snowfall rates in excess of
0.5" per hour and perhaps brief periods of 1.5" per hour, and will
last through much of the morning rush hour. All total, we`re
expecting and additional 4-6 inches of snow anywhere within
roughly 50 miles of I-44(MO)/I-70(IL), with localized amounts as
high 9" in the heart of the band. Further south into SE MO and SW
IL, it does still look like we may see sleet persist into the
early morning hours and it`s uncertain when these areas will
change over to entirely snow.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 2, 2022 15:21:49 GMT -6
One thing I wonder however is if everything shifted too far south than what will happen, even the 540 line looks a bit aout of where it actually is when the rap and hrr initialized. And wondering if this enhanced band through the northwest metro is a sign at all for later tonight. I dont know. Just wondering
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Post by RyanD on Feb 2, 2022 15:24:29 GMT -6
Looks like Reed Timmer retweeted Chris' tweet showing the car driving down the integrate with his rear left wheel stuck in place.
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 2, 2022 15:24:45 GMT -6
Hrrr fits what was just posted in AFD perfectly.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 2, 2022 15:26:23 GMT -6
Most models are now suggesting light snow may persist into Friday morning for the southerners.
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 2, 2022 15:27:24 GMT -6
So is the second wave shifting south of the metro St. Louis area?
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 15:28:13 GMT -6
yeah hrrr is better than rap
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2022 15:29:11 GMT -6
So is the second wave shifting south of the metro St. Louis area? NO NO and also NO |
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Post by cozpregon on Feb 2, 2022 15:32:25 GMT -6
So is the second wave shifting south of the metro St. Louis area? NO NO and also NO Cutter? |
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Feb 2, 2022 15:34:49 GMT -6
Is anyone else concerned the Earth might change rotational direction on it's axis before wave II, and this thing might move west, away from us? Or would that be the new east?
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 2, 2022 15:36:18 GMT -6
Also please please please, if someone is very near the quick trip and mid rivers area and willot, please let me know a good measurement, as I know many of you dont believe me and I understand why because of my past and I am being very upfront now, however everywhere I measure is between 4.9 and 7 averageing out its 5.5 and still snowing.
I just want to see if there is genuinely a pocket of 5 to 6 from cottleville to alton. Illois area.
Im not going to post any official measurements because wind has been whipping all over.
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