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Post by maddogchief on Feb 5, 2022 22:52:24 GMT -6
I think tonorrow we may make a run. At 50 I know it is tough with the snow, but it is currently 57 in Omaha, while we are 27.t Tomorrow will be very favorable west to sw winds. Now come mud season lol. That does not happen very often!!! “Bold move Cotton, let’s see how this plays out.” Weather on the Ocho. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 5, 2022 23:11:26 GMT -6
It sure was fun watching it snow when it finally arrived! Hope we have one more storm before spring! Na I’m good. I’m ready for Spring. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 6, 2022 9:46:54 GMT -6
Dr. Cohen is tweeting about the strong stratospheric PV finally coupling with the troposphere. Given where we are at in the winter season, that could effectively shut the door on winter if it happens.
Something to watch closely this week.
The one saving grace is even a strong PV is susceptible to “stretching” which was a primary driver for the cold month of January we just had.
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 6, 2022 11:02:02 GMT -6
Dr. Cohen is tweeting about the strong stratospheric PV finally coupling with the troposphere. Given where we are at in the winter season, that could effectively shut the door on winter if it happens. Something to watch closely this week. The one saving grace is even a strong PV is susceptible to “stretching” which was a primary driver for the cold month of January we just had. If I recall, he’s stated this winter we haven’t actually had a split, but just some “stretches”. One in November and one in January. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 6, 2022 11:17:00 GMT -6
Dr. Cohen is tweeting about the strong stratospheric PV finally coupling with the troposphere. Given where we are at in the winter season, that could effectively shut the door on winter if it happens. Something to watch closely this week. The one saving grace is even a strong PV is susceptible to “stretching” which was a primary driver for the cold month of January we just had. If I recall, he’s stated this winter we haven’t actually had a split, but just some “stretches”. One in November and one in January. Multiple stretches in January. The really unusual thing has been how long the stratosphere and troposphere have remained “decoupled.” It has saved us from a very mild winter. Add in the stretch events in January and you can see how we salvaged a good month of winter. Now, if the coupling occurs, we may be in some trouble. Nothing is locked in yet of course, just something to watch for where the back half of February might end up. The other caveat is that if the coupling happens, there will likely be a brief transition period that could yield material winter weather. |
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Post by amstilost on Feb 6, 2022 11:21:21 GMT -6
Pretty sure that my 47* reading on the front porch is another bogus remote temp. Sensor is hanging on a post/column away from morning sun. Apparently the sun warms the concrete porch.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 6, 2022 11:45:03 GMT -6
PNA taking a dive next week... GEFS and EPS have been looking favorable in this time frame.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 6, 2022 11:46:49 GMT -6
I have 42 right now, gutters are rushing like a rainstorm. Unfortunately the sumppump pipe is froze and I am about 1 inch from going over the pit. But atleast the basement is not finished. I still feel a strong run at 50 today. I have lost atleast half the snow sofar.
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Post by amstilost on Feb 6, 2022 12:58:23 GMT -6
I love seeing the animal tracks as the only evidence trespassing. I noticed going down to Farmington yesterday that the snow looked much like there was much less than at the house off the side of the Hwy 67 across the many fields down there. I thought they had more ice/sleet but about the same amount of snow as I had in De Soto. Lots of animal tracks heading out into the fields. Notice: There will be a "Grass Watch" hoisted today. Be on the lookout for possible blades of grass trying to make an appearance around the area. A subtle reminder to cut your grass shorter next fall.  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 6, 2022 13:19:04 GMT -6
I have 42 right now, gutters are rushing like a rainstorm. Unfortunately the sumppump pipe is froze and I am about 1 inch from going over the pit. But atleast the basement is not finished. I still feel a strong run at 50 today. I have lost atleast half the snow sofar. Time to set up a garden hose with a siphon or start bailing. |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Feb 6, 2022 13:41:09 GMT -6
Sitting at 40 right now. Yard still covered. Lots of compaction going on too. The snow is good for packing now too. Get out and get a snowperson built today! ❄️❄️☃️🙂
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 6, 2022 13:51:50 GMT -6
The thaw-freeze cycle of the next few days... and the presence of a dense layer or sleet below...and widespread nature of the snow shield may make this slower to melt than you might normally think.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 6, 2022 13:53:09 GMT -6
Guyatacomputer I have a small pump running to the basement floor drain. Seems to be working since that drain is connected to the city sewer
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 6, 2022 14:35:49 GMT -6
The thaw-freeze cycle of the next few days... and the presence of a dense layer or sleet below...and widespread nature of the snow shield may make this slower to melt than you might normally think. With this storm pretty much behind us and a new week think it's time for a fresh thread? |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 6, 2022 16:02:13 GMT -6
The thaw-freeze cycle of the next few days... and the presence of a dense layer or sleet below...and widespread nature of the snow shield may make this slower to melt than you might normally think. With this storm pretty much behind us and a new week think it's time for a fresh thread? This will do just fine until I have time to spare. Catching up on a week's worth of work, bills and family time now. |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 6, 2022 16:35:57 GMT -6
No need to start a fresh thread with no real threat of a storm for the next 15 days , if something pops up and becomes a watcher then start a new thread. Looks pretty quiet around here for a while. Hopefully we’re not done with winter.
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 6, 2022 16:41:44 GMT -6
No need to start a fresh thread with no real threat of a storm for the next 15 days , if something pops up and becomes a watcher then start a new thread. Looks pretty quiet around here for a while. Hopefully we’re not done with winter. Yup. Most models are pretty MEH for the next week at least. |
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 6, 2022 16:46:52 GMT -6
We got darn close to 50 today. Probable would of been 70 with no snow cover. I have bare grass where drifting caused the snow to be less.deep. id say 60 percent is gone. It was a very successful meltdown today. I think we are melting soo efficiently in the st.charles area becasue we did not have nearly much if any sleet as compared to down south.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 6, 2022 16:49:17 GMT -6
I was in the upper 30’s most of the afternoon…. It did get up to 42 for a little bit
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 6, 2022 17:09:00 GMT -6
I don't think I got above 40 today. The highest I saw was 38.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 6, 2022 17:30:17 GMT -6
I had 47 on my thermometer today, which was exactly the same as lambert.
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 6, 2022 17:37:22 GMT -6
Amazing amount of warmth here at the homestead today. Touched 8° for a short period this morning right before sunrise and rose up to 47° this afternoon. Still sitting at 44° as the sun goes down.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 6, 2022 17:48:02 GMT -6
Boston had their 2 feet of snow melt in 48 hours. It’s hard to keep a snowpack for most of the country.
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 6, 2022 18:17:20 GMT -6
Snowpacks can be held, but it usually helps if they are at the beginning of the pattern change and not at the end. That happened with Boston’s and to some degree is what is happening to ours.
Overnight lows below freezing will help keep the pack somewhat as well.
Just about time to start tapping the maples.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Feb 6, 2022 20:03:43 GMT -6
Snowpacks can be held, but it usually helps if they are at the beginning of the pattern change and not at the end. That happened with Boston’s and to some degree is what is happening to ours. Overnight lows below freezing will help keep the pack somewhat as well. Just about time to start tapping the maples. Several guys I know have been tapping since 1st of the year. A fellow I know has boiled down almost 600 gallons of sap so far. The sap should be pouring out of them this week. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 6, 2022 20:20:06 GMT -6
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 6, 2022 20:57:18 GMT -6
Interesting, but certainly doesn’t disprove the relationship between warmer waters and stronger storms. Similar logic could be applied to lung cancer and cigarettes. Not everyone who gets lung cancer smokes, but that doesn’t mean the causal relationship is broken. |
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cowboy
Wishcaster
10 miles west of rolla
Posts: 197 
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Post by cowboy on Feb 7, 2022 3:03:05 GMT -6
Good find Chris. Very interesting |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 7, 2022 9:11:20 GMT -6
Models showing a pretty active southern jet starting middle of next week through end of month.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 7, 2022 9:40:20 GMT -6
Models showing a pretty active southern jet starting middle of next week through end of month. The 17th-18th still looks like an interesting time frame on the GEFS and EPS |
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