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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 6, 2022 1:07:21 GMT -6
Surprised nobody has mentioned the euro for next Friday-Saturday
Talk about a dream run
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2022 1:15:53 GMT -6
Surprised nobody has mentioned the euro for next Friday-Saturday Talk about a dream run Yeah, that's a pretty good look...5 days out |
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Post by cardsnweather on Mar 6, 2022 6:05:59 GMT -6
Surprised nobody has mentioned the euro for next Friday-Saturday Talk about a dream run I looked at the GFS real quick on my phone and was about to exit out and clicked on the euro and my eyes almost popped out of my head. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2022 6:47:43 GMT -6
The GFS tries to get a lil something going, but it's firmly planted in the N stream and there is no secondary like the EURO shows. Not sure which way to lean yet...need to dig in a bit I guess.
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Post by birddog on Mar 6, 2022 6:53:11 GMT -6
.49" rain last night.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2022 8:21:32 GMT -6
00z GEFS throws some support to the EC with some semblance of a secondary developing and post-frontal snowfall tied to it looking at the mean mass fields.
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399 
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Post by lunchladyd on Mar 6, 2022 9:35:07 GMT -6
Daughter that lives about 5 minutes from here, close to Davis, said they had one heck of a storm. They had crazy wind and hail.we had some wind and rain, but no hail.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 6, 2022 9:54:25 GMT -6
06z EPS looks encouraging for snow chances Friday-Saturday
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 6, 2022 10:24:57 GMT -6
Icon is supportive of the euro with a good hit of snow Friday. Also gfs is a little closer to this at 12z.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 6, 2022 10:49:02 GMT -6
Gfs, gem and ukmet all have decent snow here later this week. Watcher?
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 6, 2022 11:10:41 GMT -6
looking like it's something we need to keep an eye on for sure now...end of week that is. At this point, I personally would like to see how things transpire after we get this pretty strong system past us tonight...Haven't seen the latest forecasts, but I know last night was a bit of an overperformer in terms of rainfall. ams is moving pretty fast, so I wouldn't expect a long duration, but rather a quick hit of wintry weather end of week. Hopefully we start to get some consensus in the next day or two on impact/amounts. I do think we'll get snowfall, but whether we are talking about impacts or not, will depend on factors that other smarter people can weigh in on as we get closer.
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331 
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Post by bob on Mar 6, 2022 13:00:40 GMT -6
What does 12z Euro show?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 6, 2022 13:07:35 GMT -6
Big winter storm on Friday |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 6, 2022 13:15:29 GMT -6
Hopefully the Euro camp can sniff this one out  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 6, 2022 15:37:09 GMT -6
12z euro ensembles have quite a few absolute bombs in there for late week.
From a pressure standpoint, equivalent to a borderline CAT 3 hurricane as the low reaches Detroit.
Maybe we get another Cleveland Superbomb.
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Post by bororug on Mar 6, 2022 16:49:27 GMT -6
18z GFS is interesting. Something is brewing for late week. Hope the nice trends continue.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 6, 2022 17:56:03 GMT -6
Appears there are 3 confirmed tornadoes in progress in AR and MO.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Mar 6, 2022 18:07:44 GMT -6
Looks like its all mostly done by Midnight tonight as far as the main rain and storm event.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 6, 2022 18:16:04 GMT -6
flash flash boom boom here
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 6, 2022 18:27:10 GMT -6
Had some thunder here between 530 & 6. Some intermittent light rain since then
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 6, 2022 18:29:40 GMT -6
Just a few sprinkles here. Lightning to the south, east, and west at the moment. Been sneaking around all the storms so far.
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Post by mosue56 on Mar 6, 2022 18:39:40 GMT -6
Hearing what I think is distant thunder in Festus.
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 6, 2022 18:43:48 GMT -6
Streets are flowing , and lots of thunder in st.peters now
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 6, 2022 18:45:35 GMT -6
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Post by bear1 on Mar 6, 2022 19:44:12 GMT -6
.59" in the gauge IMBY.. Temp at 40°
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 6, 2022 21:37:57 GMT -6
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Mar 6, 2022 22:00:52 GMT -6
Wow the GFS, euro and gem all have a very similar look at H5 and all have a ton of energy affecting along a boundary that they currently is progressive with allowing an Arctic intrusion in part because the SE ridge is gone.
This is how we get major winter storm on a phasing system not having a SE ridge
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304
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Post by padlur on Mar 6, 2022 22:03:33 GMT -6
Just eclipsed 1.75 inches in Ballwin and still dumping. Creeks and low areas are full.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 6, 2022 22:11:21 GMT -6
Want to get your hopes up? Look at the 0z GFS.
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Post by landscaper on Mar 6, 2022 22:11:33 GMT -6
GFS really jumped on board tonight, looks like a nice hit of snow for the metro area
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