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Post by ajd446 on May 1, 2022 7:59:52 GMT -6
Thursday is my day of concern this week. However this spring as far as rainfall has been great. We have not had any flooding issues more than nuisance type to this point and no real big rainers that keep you from getting gardens ready at work.
And this has been the best spring for lawns. They are very healthy and the cold weather has really kept the weeds down. Really in my eyes its been the perfect spring just a little cool at times
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Post by Snowman99 on May 1, 2022 8:16:00 GMT -6
Your eyes need fixed. Look into lasik. I hear it does wonders.
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Post by ajd446 on May 1, 2022 8:31:50 GMT -6
I don't know snowman its been a nice spring. Been gradual with no jump into summer. Better than most year's.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on May 1, 2022 8:35:34 GMT -6
In my opinion a perfect spring would not have 20 mph winds every day…. I love to fish and it’s not been easy at all
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 1, 2022 9:31:47 GMT -6
This has been a harsh, cold spring...far from ideal, IMO. Worst morel season since 2012 for me.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 1, 2022 9:58:05 GMT -6
My perfect spring is warm with frequent thunderstorms….so pretty much the opposite of what we’ve had to far lol
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 1, 2022 10:32:12 GMT -6
12Z GFS shows 90 in metro St. Louis on May 9th... Delicious
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Post by ajd446 on May 1, 2022 10:37:50 GMT -6
Everyone is different. And thats ok. It has beem a slow spring, but it reminds me of the springs in chicago at my great grandparents so it was Nostalgic for me lol with out having to travel up north.
But I respect everyones view.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 1, 2022 10:47:11 GMT -6
Looks like Blackberry Winter will be a solid one right after next Sunday and Monday's heatwave... Brrr.
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Post by dgl1004-Moberly, MO on May 1, 2022 11:03:38 GMT -6
Cards moving up tomorrow’s start time to 12:15 due to forecast.
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Post by Snowman99 on May 1, 2022 12:17:25 GMT -6
Everyone is different. And thats ok. It has beem a slow spring, but it reminds me of the springs in chicago at my great grandparents so it was Nostalgic for me lol with out having to travel up north. But I respect everyones view. Spring in Chicago=cold, windy and miserable. Lol
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 1, 2022 12:39:39 GMT -6
Everyone is different. And thats ok. It has beem a slow spring, but it reminds me of the springs in chicago at my great grandparents so it was Nostalgic for me lol with out having to travel up north. But I respect everyones view. Spring in Chicago=cold, windy and miserable. Lol Hey now Snowy... you're the one who loves it cold...so you should be in heaven! I do agree with ajd... everyone has their idea of what a good spring (and winter) looks like. For me, this has been cooler than I would like... amd gloomier. Not many pure sunny, warm days. And while rain has been close to normal... it has been a lot more unsettled than I would like... lots of days with light rainfall totals and clouds.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 1, 2022 13:10:20 GMT -6
Absolutely a tornado in Perry county yesterday…again. I took a short drive up the road this morning and saw the path. Lots of large trees taken down and one barn demolished. Looks like a multi-vortex situation..a couple areas looked like EF-2 whereas most was EF-1 looking. Still a big cedar tree top and sheet of metal laying along I-55. Those were thrown several hundred yards. As Chris said, only 100-200 yards north of the 2017 beast.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 1, 2022 20:13:13 GMT -6
Absolutely a tornado in Perry county yesterday…again. I took a short drive up the road this morning and saw the path. Lots of large trees taken down and one barn demolished. Looks like a multi-vortex situation..a couple areas looked like EF-2 whereas most was EF-1 looking. Still a big cedar tree top and sheet of metal laying along I-55. Those were thrown several hundred yards. As Chris said, only 100-200 yards north of the 2017 beast. Official survey was set at EF0.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 1, 2022 21:07:03 GMT -6
Absolutely a tornado in Perry county yesterday…again. I took a short drive up the road this morning and saw the path. Lots of large trees taken down and one barn demolished. Looks like a multi-vortex situation..a couple areas looked like EF-2 whereas most was EF-1 looking. Still a big cedar tree top and sheet of metal laying along I-55. Those were thrown several hundred yards. As Chris said, only 100-200 yards north of the 2017 beast. Official survey was set at EF0. What are your thoughts? Some of those trees were really big. I would have thought at least EF-1.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 1, 2022 21:14:39 GMT -6
I rated it EF1 with top winds of 90... they said EF0 at 85. That's only 5 mph difference... and EF1 starts at 86MPH.
We aren't off by much.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 2, 2022 7:32:17 GMT -6
SPC just released another hyper focused moderate risk of severe storms for northeastern Oklahoma, but shifted the slight risk well away from the area, still on the cusp of a marginal risk in metro St. Louis mainly overnight.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 2, 2022 10:20:33 GMT -6
ICON with 100*F next Monday... What's more overbaked then the CMC/GEM and or NAM... It's the ICON. Not gonna happen, but funny and also proof we're getting closer to the Summer season.
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2022 12:11:12 GMT -6
That is a tiny 15% tornado area on the SPC outlook. Is it just me, or do these small areas always seem to be in Oklahoma? Is the areal density of tornadoes and other severe types more predictable in OK or what?
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2022 12:59:58 GMT -6
Not seeing much if any severe potential around here through Wednesday. Thursday/Thursday night has some potential but there seems to be some uncertainty on if the warm front will make it through the area by the ideal afternoon period. But even if, it is looking like...and everyone knows how this usually plays out by now...clouds/storms may linger through afternoon and be a big mitigating factor. Think it wise of SPC to leave outlook south of the area for now.
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 2, 2022 13:27:49 GMT -6
www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0171.htmlTornado watch covering nearly 2/3 of the state of OK and southern KS * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail expected with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 2, 2022 15:09:13 GMT -6
www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0171.htmlTornado watch covering nearly 2/3 of the state of OK and southern KS * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail expected with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Half surprised they didn't call it a PDS Watch at it pretty much is. Maybe they don't do that anymore?
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 2, 2022 15:11:43 GMT -6
NAM's on board for a noisy night especially between 11PM and 2AM it seems.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 2, 2022 16:08:14 GMT -6
Awfully potent looking setup across OK and KS today for sure but it seems like strong divergence and forcing is favoring QLCS development overall.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 2, 2022 17:20:22 GMT -6
Awfully potent looking setup across OK and KS today for sure but it seems like strong divergence and forcing is favoring QLCS development overall. Storms tended to cluster and grow upscale into a line pretty quickly. That's really been limiting the tornado threat so far.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 2, 2022 18:56:51 GMT -6
Wow, look at that hook!
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 2, 2022 19:00:33 GMT -6
Doesn't look good for Seminole, OK!!
Possible huge tornado on the ground.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 2, 2022 19:10:29 GMT -6
Wow, look at that hook! Not sure why my image is blurry. I tried uploading it 3 times! Lol
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
Member is Online
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Post by modracer on May 2, 2022 20:45:42 GMT -6
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Post by jmg378s on May 2, 2022 22:14:15 GMT -6
That is amazing footage. That was rated mid/high end EF3 with winds of 155mph. Saw some pics of a home or two scoured down to the subfloor (clearly poor construction). Winds about same as high end Cat 4 hurricane, but you can clearly see the power of the upward vertical velocity of tornadoes and why hurricane winds have no comparison to tornadoes. Amazing there were no fatalities.
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