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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 2, 2022 22:23:06 GMT -6
That is amazing footage. That was rated mid/high end EF3 with winds of 155mph. Saw some pics of a home or two scoured down to the subfloor (clearly poor construction). Winds about same as high end Cat 4 hurricane, but you can clearly see the power of the upward vertical velocity of tornadoes and why hurricane winds have no comparison to tornadoes. Amazing there were no fatalities. I came across a post on Twitter where somebody tracked a piece of debris in that clip and found it was traveling at roughly 225mph or EF5 wind speeds. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 2, 2022 22:26:03 GMT -6
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 3, 2022 7:12:32 GMT -6
That was some rain lastnight. Power outages too, and if i didnt know any better, a sudden big shift in winds.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 3, 2022 7:41:12 GMT -6
That was some rain lastnight. Power outages too, and if i didnt know any better, a sudden big shift in winds. Looked like an undular bore or gravity wave(s) with that skinny line that rolled through St. Charles County. You could see the rippling of to/from/to/from wind signatures in the velocity on radar. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 3, 2022 8:00:03 GMT -6
 You can see the waves within the velocity scan. The small scale interactions in the atmosphere that we can see on radar and satellite these days is simply amazing! |
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 3, 2022 9:15:56 GMT -6
I haven't seen any reports (yet) or pictures of anything that would lead me to believe we saw anything more than maybe 50-55 mph gusts with storms in St. Charles County. Lawn furniture blows around at about 40-50 mph... and bradford pear trees start splitting in the 40+ mph range when leafed out as well.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 3, 2022 10:24:25 GMT -6
All of that being said, I cannot entirely rule out a very small tornado you do in the lake Saint Louis area at about 12:53am. The TDWR has an interesting feature in that area.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 3, 2022 10:56:56 GMT -6
Looks like it's all about Summer now next week with agreement amongst almost all guidance suggesting above to well above average temps in the upper 80s to lower 90s next Monday through the weekend after next.
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Post by REB on May 3, 2022 13:33:36 GMT -6
.84 inches of rain but with the wind and a little sun was able to mow!
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Post by jmg378s on May 3, 2022 14:14:21 GMT -6
Model consensus on Thursday favors a surface low and warm front passing near or north of St. Louis. From a synoptic pattern recognition point of view this would probably favor some scattered severe reports at least up to the I70 corridor. However, models are showing a lot of convective activity and clouds persisting well into the midday or even afternoon Thursday. Some indications are that an outflow restricted effective warm front may get squashed down to the MO/AR border even. Shear looks ok at 30 or more kts, but will there be enough instability for severe storms prior to the system and it's associated cold front passing through?
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Post by Snowman99 on May 3, 2022 14:43:58 GMT -6
long answer no. maybe
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 3, 2022 14:59:22 GMT -6
I haven’t seen anything Thursday to get my attention besides the location of the surface low. Everything else looks blah.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 3, 2022 22:43:55 GMT -6
Not super jazzed about the severe weather potential for Thursday either. I think SPC's enhanced area is too far north. I'm ok with level-2/slt... but enhanced for our counties feels aggressive.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 3, 2022 22:45:50 GMT -6
I'm actually slightly interested in Friday's potential over central Illinois for some low top super cells... Probably just North of my viewing area but it is something to watch.
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Post by Steven Penrod- HLEW on May 4, 2022 5:57:52 GMT -6
Not super jazzed about the severe weather potential for Thursday either. I think SPC's enhanced area is too far north. I'm ok with level-2/slt... but enhanced for our counties feels aggressive. It was way scaled back. www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html |
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304 
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Post by padlur on May 4, 2022 6:33:35 GMT -6
Man next week looks like the proverbial summer switch gets flipped...50s and dreary to 90s and humid...where is the middle ground
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Post by mosue56 on May 4, 2022 6:39:18 GMT -6
We’ve had a few 80s and 70s so far this spring. I’m actually surprised the 90s have held off this long. Just hope it’s short lived and at least reverts to low 80s til June!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2022 13:46:06 GMT -6
Quite the expansion of the MDT risk today with the latest outlook
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 4, 2022 14:12:36 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 4, 2022 19:39:09 GMT -6
Some absolutely amazing video footage out of both TX and OK on some unfortunately destructive storms tonight
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 4, 2022 20:09:10 GMT -6
Some absolutely amazing video footage out of both TX and OK on some unfortunately destructive storms tonight 150kt G2G shear with that supercell near Vernon, TX...yikes |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 4, 2022 20:15:25 GMT -6
Some absolutely amazing video footage out of both TX and OK on some unfortunately destructive storms tonight 150kt G2G shear with that supercell near Vernon, TX...yikes The occlusion, the warning boxes, the motion.. WOW! |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 4, 2022 20:15:59 GMT -6
Locket TX may have taken a direct hit.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 4, 2022 20:20:22 GMT -6
Just wow  |
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Post by Snowman99 on May 4, 2022 20:20:40 GMT -6
so much rain coming on radar, blah
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 4, 2022 20:22:30 GMT -6
If that thing lifts and recycles, Vernon may get missed.
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 4, 2022 20:44:58 GMT -6
Locket TX may have taken a direct hit. Their is a pic of the tornado as it was going through Locket, very destructive looking tornado |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2022 20:55:58 GMT -6
The deviant motion of that Lockett tornado was nasty
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Post by Snowman99 on May 5, 2022 6:34:09 GMT -6
Very very wet. Around 2.5" so far
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 5, 2022 6:54:07 GMT -6
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