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Post by amstilost on May 15, 2022 13:53:40 GMT -6
After watching the radar of this system coming in toward me for an hour I can't believe how little rain we got. Is there a different mode that the National Weather Service uses on their radar? It sure looked like we were going to get a lot more rain than we did. But I am not kidding I am dumbfounded by how little rain we got while watching the radar on the National Weather Service site. I guess I got to quit griping if I'm not going to pay for anything I got no reason to gripe.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 15, 2022 13:55:15 GMT -6
After watching the radar of this system coming in toward me for an hour I can't believe how little rain we got. Is there a different mode that the National Weather Service uses on their radar? It sure looked like we were going to get a lot more rain than we did. But I am not kidding I am dumbfounded by how little rain we got while watching the radar on the National Weather Service site. I guess I got to quit griping if I'm not going to pay for anything I got no reason to gripe. Got some sprinkles here lol. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 15, 2022 14:04:27 GMT -6
Nice hailer east, southeast of Belleville now moving almost due east. Probably some nickels or even quarters in there.
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on May 15, 2022 14:06:35 GMT -6
Not a single drop of rain here in Arnold the last 3 days, I think this is 10+ days without rain now.
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Post by REB on May 15, 2022 14:07:16 GMT -6
Hail…..said the woman with skylights.
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Post by Jeffmw on May 15, 2022 14:09:29 GMT -6
So who wants to bet Memorial Day Weekend will be cool and wet.
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 15, 2022 14:26:17 GMT -6
Belleville cell probably should have been warned. Metro east crime page has a few pics of quarter sized hail
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 15, 2022 14:29:16 GMT -6
Big ol' nothingburger in Brighton...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 15, 2022 14:36:44 GMT -6
Not a single drop of rain here in Arnold the last 3 days, I think this is 10+ days without rain now. Ended up with a quick 5 minute shower here, enough to wet the concrete. I think we’ve been missed by storms in every direction the last week. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 15, 2022 14:40:50 GMT -6
Another feisty storm here in Perryville at the moment. Crazy intense lightning, strong wind, and more hail. More dimes with this one than last night. A few a little bigger than that.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 15, 2022 15:03:42 GMT -6
It's getting to the point where a garden variety thunderstorm is notable here anymore...let alone severe weather.
Hopefully this week brings some soaking rain. Things have really dried out after the past 5-6 days of heat. It definitely looks unsettled with good potential for locally heavy rainfall.
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on May 15, 2022 16:04:17 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 15, 2022 17:29:23 GMT -6
GFS sure is bullish with the potential tropical development into the Gulf towards next weekend...even the GEFS mean shows a coherent trof lifting north between Yucatan and Cuba. The large scale pattern looks favorable, with a ridge building over FL and an ejecting trof into the Plains that would provide an outflow channel over this theoretical storm.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 15, 2022 17:36:41 GMT -6
I got a rock
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 15, 2022 19:32:00 GMT -6
GFS sure is bullish with the potential tropical development into the Gulf towards next weekend...even the GEFS mean shows a coherent trof lifting north between Yucatan and Cuba. The large scale pattern looks favorable, with a ridge building over FL and an ejecting trof into the Plains that would provide an outflow channel over this theoretical storm. I'm going to Destin memorial day |
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Post by ElburnDave on May 15, 2022 19:42:22 GMT -6
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 15, 2022 20:50:21 GMT -6
Perfect temps and clear skies for the eclipse
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 15, 2022 21:04:05 GMT -6
Perfect temps and clear skies for the eclipse Still have partly to mostly cloudy skies in Belleville, but have been able to catch a few glimpses. Hoping to get better conditions in the next hour |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 15, 2022 21:33:33 GMT -6
Here’s my bad iPhone photo of the eclipse  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 15, 2022 22:05:44 GMT -6
Slightly better photo  |
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 15, 2022 22:06:07 GMT -6
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Post by RyanD on May 15, 2022 22:11:45 GMT -6
I got a few pics of the Eclipse with my Panasonic Lumix DSLR. It is crazy how much better they are than a cellphone camera especially due to the optical zoom.  |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 16, 2022 4:26:47 GMT -6
Great pics guys. I was at work during it. But did manage to step out a few times.
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Post by jmg378s on May 16, 2022 7:30:47 GMT -6
Honestly this is getting to be a chore watching the severe weather potential this year (and recent past years). It seems we just can't be pessimistic enough with forecasts for our area. And then much of our severe (including significant severe) comes when it is more uncertain. Having said that, taking a huge risk of being wrong again, I think there are a few days to keep an eye out this week. At this point probably Friday looks the most interesting. SPC has highlighted this day for our area the last two days. I actually don't think rain & clouds are going to be a hinderance this time; however, I am still a bit surprised SPC has be introducing threat areas this far out given that the mid-level jet and instability don't appear to be overlapping very much on this day except perhaps in a very narrow corridor that may include our area.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on May 16, 2022 7:38:45 GMT -6
I kinda like the cellphone pics, they are interesting with the added light & noise.  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 16, 2022 8:07:01 GMT -6
Honestly this is getting to be a chore watching the severe weather potential this year (and recent past years). It seems we just can't be pessimistic enough with forecasts for our area. And then much of our severe (including significant severe) comes when it is more uncertain. Having said that, taking a huge risk of being wrong again, I think there are a few days to keep an eye out this week. At this point probably Friday looks the most interesting. SPC has highlighted this day for our area the last two days. I actually don't think rain & clouds are going to be a hinderance this time; however, I am still a bit surprised SPC has be introducing threat areas this far out given that the mid-level jet and instability don't appear to be overlapping very much on this day except perhaps in a very narrow corridor that may include our area. Agreed...you'd think I would have learned by now not to hedge towards increased risk of severe these days. That said...multiple rounds of storms are looking likely this week. Elevated hailers and flash flooding look to be the primary threat until the weekend when the longwave trof ejects out. Like you said, the mid-level jet max spreads into the region...but will the instability be able to overlap it? It didn't happen yesterday, with the stronger winds aloft lagging the forcing and instability plume. We'll see. The pattern looks to stay active into next week as well. |
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Post by amstilost on May 16, 2022 9:00:14 GMT -6
Great pics of the Moon I got out last night and looked, 1/3 covered. it was around 10 or a little before.
Also my 13 year old granddaughter was asked to and sang the National Anthem at St Francois Fairgrounds for the opening race of the season. I didn't get a chance to get there but I've heard her before. I already know she did great.😊😍👍
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Post by Jeffmw on May 16, 2022 11:50:12 GMT -6
What are the early conditions for Memorial Day weekend. If the models go out that far yet.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 16, 2022 14:47:58 GMT -6
What are the early conditions for Memorial Day weekend. If the models go out that far yet. Right now it looks like it will continue to be unsettled into next week and into the holiday weekend... But that's pretty far out. It will change I'm sure. |
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Post by jmg378s on May 16, 2022 15:54:45 GMT -6
In case you were wondering Albert Pujols now has a career ERA of 36.00.
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