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Post by dschreib on May 25, 2022 9:43:25 GMT -6
Today is the 11 year anniversary of my wife and I barging into a stranger's house on the way home because the other option was to drive into some serious rotation on radar. Ironically, it happened about the same place we hit the high winds going home last week--just south of Freeburg by the overpass.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 25, 2022 10:09:04 GMT -6
So is that skinny little line what's coming this way?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2022 10:10:39 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 11:42:57 GMT -6
Not sure why SPC went with a SLGT outlook further NE and not closer to the mid-level low...instability looks to be a bit higher east of the river but large-scale ascent/forcing is going to be necessary to offset weaker lapse rates and marginal instability IMO. I think the highest risk for tornadoes today is pretty well right along and just east of the river, extending westward along the MO river valley near the warm/occluded front and triple point. It's a pretty conditional setup, but definitely some potential for tornadoes today.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on May 25, 2022 11:50:32 GMT -6
The sun has popped out a few times down this way and it gets hot and muggy really quick
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Post by dgl1004-Moberly, MO on May 25, 2022 12:04:25 GMT -6
The sun has popped out a few times down this way and it gets hot and muggy really quick I think it has popped out once here in Moberly today but it has looked like it could again pretty much at any time. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2022 12:16:48 GMT -6
Not sure why SPC went with a SLGT outlook further NE and not closer to the mid-level low...instability looks to be a bit higher east of the river but large-scale ascent/forcing is going to be necessary to offset weaker lapse rates and marginal instability IMO. I think the highest risk for tornadoes today is pretty well right along and just east of the river, extending westward along the MO river valley near the warm/occluded front and triple point. It's a pretty conditional setup, but definitely some potential for tornadoes today. If we can keep surface winds backed today I could see some spin ups with this line. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 25, 2022 12:24:30 GMT -6
Suns out guns out? Already a little humid, sun keeps poking out from the clouds
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 25, 2022 12:30:36 GMT -6
This setup seems more like a tropical setup in some ways to me.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 25, 2022 12:32:33 GMT -6
Well if we see anything while we are driving to dinner for our 37th anniversary I’ll be sure to share! Hope it’ll be just fine! Congratulations on 37 years!! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 12:46:54 GMT -6
Vis sat shows pockets of clearing moving north into the region ahead of the developing arc of storms...an hour or two of broken sunshine will boost instability quite a bit.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2022 13:16:39 GMT -6
Hodographs ahead of that line showing good SRH  |
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Post by mosue56 on May 25, 2022 13:22:17 GMT -6
Sunny peeking in Festusland!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 25, 2022 14:26:35 GMT -6
Holy cow!
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Post by Snowman99 on May 25, 2022 14:29:32 GMT -6
ahhh..an exclamation post with nothing to explain it. Guessing time. Is it aliens? Is it a tornado? Is it another school shooting? Is it snowing in May. We may never know
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 25, 2022 14:42:53 GMT -6
Hmm, first time seeing a Lake wind advisory. That a new one?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 15:31:05 GMT -6
Storm near Millstadt starting to take on supercell structure.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 16:26:10 GMT -6
Strong storm in Brighton...50mph at least along the leading edge
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 25, 2022 16:38:07 GMT -6
Nothing here since this morning.
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Post by REB on May 25, 2022 16:52:09 GMT -6
Up to .39” since midnight. High temp of 82.4*. We just keep getting these brief downpours.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 17:02:55 GMT -6
Here comes round 2...from the W this time
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 17:20:44 GMT -6
Not much wind this round but torrential rain.
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Post by amstilost on May 25, 2022 17:34:39 GMT -6
Well if we see anything while we are driving to dinner for our 37th anniversary I’ll be sure to share! Hope it’ll be just fine! Happy Annivesary, My wife and I celebrated 41 years back in Dec. It is amazing how fast 'time flies'. I always tell my wife it feels like it's been 41 minutes.........................................................................................................................under water. Feel free to use this on your hubby tonight.  |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on May 25, 2022 18:30:20 GMT -6
Rained 3 times for about 30 seconds each time …… swing and miss down this way
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2022 19:02:06 GMT -6
1.60” in Arnold today
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2022 20:50:06 GMT -6
Tomorrow seems like a good setup for hailers underneath the mid-level cold core...with 700mb temps around 0* it won't take much of an updraft to get hail production. It's questionable that these would approach severe threshold...but worth watching.
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Post by mosue56 on May 25, 2022 21:13:21 GMT -6
Blues won in OT
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Post by MakeitRain on May 26, 2022 1:59:31 GMT -6
A monster in the gulf coming sooner than you think!
this one will be remembered as the climate lockdown hurricane.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on May 26, 2022 6:01:50 GMT -6
Wow, just got black in East Belleville.
You can see heavy rain against the background.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on May 26, 2022 6:48:16 GMT -6
Tomorrow seems like a good setup for hailers underneath the mid-level cold core...with 700mb temps around 0* it won't take much of an updraft to get hail production. It's questionable that these would approach severe threshold...but worth watching. Wow that's only 10-11K feet above the ground. That's ripe for golf ball+ hailers |
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