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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 11, 2022 10:31:08 GMT -6
Well, it looks like the warm front will have no problem lifting through Sun PM into Monday so 3 solid days of intense heat and humidity is looking likely. The good news is that there should be a decent breeze each day but with near 100* temps that only goes so far. Hopefully the front can come through early Thursday and knock down that inferno ridge.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 11, 2022 12:34:35 GMT -6
Showers and storms popping, mainly southeast of the metro though, of course.
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Post by jmg378s on Jun 11, 2022 12:59:16 GMT -6
Wondering same thing about no heat watch...
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jun 11, 2022 13:03:42 GMT -6
Hot Weather Is Fine By Me!🍉🍑🍅
We sell way more produce when it's hot out...
I think because people don't want to cook inside, so more grilling & salads. Plus Watermelon just taste better when it's blazing hot and the watermelon is super cold!!!
And I race @ I-55 Raceway In Pevely & my car runs better on a dry track!
I'll be in the lime green Marvin the Martin car tonight! #21
Racing Starts & 7 come watch!
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jun 11, 2022 13:14:14 GMT -6
Hot Weather Is Fine By Me!🍉🍑🍅
We sell way more produce when it's hot out...
I think because people don't want to cook inside, so more grilling & salads. Plus Watermelon just taste better when it's blazing hot and the watermelon is super cold!!!
And I race @ I-55 Raceway In Pevely & my car runs better on a dry track!
I'll be in the lime green Marvin the Martin car tonight! #21
Racing Starts & 7 come watch!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 11, 2022 13:22:23 GMT -6
18z HRRR tries to bring a southward moving MCS through here early tomorrow morning. Something to keep an eye on. I’ve seen a few models hinting at the same possibility.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 11, 2022 13:44:42 GMT -6
Looks like they're just going with an Advisory starting tomorrow... For the Heat.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 11, 2022 13:55:59 GMT -6
18z HRRR tries to bring a southward moving MCS through here early tomorrow morning. Something to keep an eye on. I’ve seen a few models hinting at the same possibility. Seems like even some of the globals are picking up on that MCS genesis across S IA and moving it down the river valley. Hopefully we can get a good soaker...the rain missed MBY by about 2 or 3 miles yesterday evening. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 11, 2022 17:07:13 GMT -6
That cluster of storms near DSM is probably going to become our MCS of interest over the next several hours...corfidi vectors definitely support it tracking into the region if it holds together. Short-range models are kind of all over the place with it though.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 11, 2022 20:12:28 GMT -6
From Beatrice, NE this afternoon.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 11, 2022 20:18:22 GMT -6
Doesn't look very MCVish...
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 11, 2022 23:03:47 GMT -6
Ya looks to have faded away...
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 12, 2022 6:24:17 GMT -6
The record highest low for today is 78 F set in 2016. We were 1 F away from tying that record this morning and 3 F higher than last night's NBM forecast. We're not off to a great start if you despise heat.
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ilnois
Wishcaster
Columbia, IL
Posts: 123
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Post by ilnois on Jun 12, 2022 7:04:46 GMT -6
I see we are in a Slight risk for today. What should I make of that?
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 12, 2022 7:19:45 GMT -6
Everyone barricade themselves in an ac building for the next 4 days. Don't go outside, you will vaporize, repeat, you will vaporize. Or turn into a big puddle of goo.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 12, 2022 7:22:31 GMT -6
None of the models seem to have a good grasp on that convection to our north in western IL. If that can turn left and tap into the CAPE reservoir across MO, watch out.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 12, 2022 7:26:36 GMT -6
Models not handling the clust of storms in NE well. It will become very unstable with the heat and humidity hear. The spc decided to add a slight risk for that cluster of it holds together. If the cap doesn't get too strong we could see some interesting stuff this afternoon.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 12, 2022 7:41:45 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 12, 2022 8:04:13 GMT -6
Not sure that cluster is going to make it into the Metro unless it backbuilds strongly but the 12z NAM has little to no CIN this afternoon so more development looks possible. There may be a conditional tornado threat if that cluster leaves behind a boundary near the river for storms to interact with later today.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 12, 2022 8:40:06 GMT -6
Echo tops are hitting 60k feet on that stuff in IL. Looks like it’s tapping into the extreme SBCAPE.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 12, 2022 8:43:10 GMT -6
Warning in Macoupin county has a considerable tag for 2" hail and 70 mph winds
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 12, 2022 9:56:02 GMT -6
Not sure why my weather radio went off for the cell in Illinois???
Not even close to me.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 12, 2022 10:11:27 GMT -6
In Carlyle, watching this close. Decided at 10 to take the kayacks out. May wait an hour.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 12, 2022 10:46:59 GMT -6
In Carlyle, watching this close. Decided at 10 to take the kayacks out. May wait an hour. Really dying out quickly as it outruns the stronger instability. Are you at Hazlet? |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jun 12, 2022 11:20:22 GMT -6
I can't wait until we have a backyard with a doggy door. There is no air moving. Instant sweat going outside.
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Post by REB on Jun 12, 2022 11:45:38 GMT -6
Tilawn,
I hope you are much better and ……soon.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 12, 2022 12:00:07 GMT -6
Storms taking off in the metro area.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 12, 2022 12:18:29 GMT -6
And just like that, they are quickly dissipating as they move into Illinois, Boo!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 12, 2022 12:37:16 GMT -6
Looks like the NAM underestimated the CINH...700mb temps are getting pretty toasty. Might not see much more today with the ridging starting to build in. Did get a little downpour earlier but now it's just sticky humid...dewpoint was already 75* before the rain.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 12, 2022 12:44:51 GMT -6
Looks like the NAM underestimated the CINH...700mb temps are getting pretty toasty. Might not see much more today with the ridging starting to build in. Did get a little downpour earlier but now it's just sticky humid...dewpoint was already 75* before the rain. She's a strong/intense heat dome!!! |
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