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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 13, 2022 14:55:16 GMT -6
To be honest guys, we could nit pick everything about every storm. I mean there is always a garentee change in the evolution with each storm. I still think the placement of the SPC severe weather zones looked good. Especially with the Slight risk and Enhanced risks. I mean come on, we've talked numerous times about those two zones these past several yrs. I could care less if I in. Slight or Enhanced zone. I feel like they are one in the same.
What I'm getting at is. I don't think anyone should crap on our local METS with their forecasts. They were all pretty on par. The moderate risk was south and southeast. That to me, was where they expected the "greater" severe weather to be. And it is/was. Now it may not of been "as" bad as they thought down that way. But going by current conditions down there. I see tornado warnings. Now was the moderate risk a bit too far north. Maybe...but I seen severe thunderstorm warnings just south of the STL area earlier. So....why are folks complaining on Facebook??? That was well advertised!
Now, I know I'm going to get back lash for staying this. But with both Spring or Winter seasons. I always want the most extreme here. So for me. I was disappointed NOT being in the Moderate risk. Lol
Before anyone says anything...No I don't want destruction. NO I don't want loss of life. I get that that sounds contradictory. But I love ALL WEATHER. So obviously I get hyped up with tornadoes, hail, intense lightning. And a good snowstorm.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 13, 2022 15:17:02 GMT -6
FROPA
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 13, 2022 15:33:02 GMT -6
Ideal frontal timing at peak diurnal heating. If we kept a clear warm sector things could of been very ugly around here today. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 13, 2022 15:36:47 GMT -6
Ideal frontal timing at peak diurnal heating. If we kept a clear warm sector things could of been very ugly around here today. Very much so..."we dodged a bullet" |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 13, 2022 15:37:19 GMT -6
Pretty stout looking couplet just passed N of Mayfield, KY...
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Apr 13, 2022 15:49:02 GMT -6
Crazy that they're is a very dark dark low cloud shelf pushing into Madison county just North of Edwardsville.  5 минут назад минус |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Apr 13, 2022 15:53:50 GMT -6
Wow temp just dropped like a rock.
Incredible.
Instantly from mild, humid, muggy to very chilly
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 13, 2022 17:30:53 GMT -6
Wow temp just dropped like a rock. Incredible. Instantly from mild, humid, muggy to very chilly Very sharp frontal boundary...temp has fallen off 30* today |
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399 
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Post by lunchladyd on Apr 13, 2022 17:54:34 GMT -6
Well I will tell you, it was quite the stormy day here in Silex. We had torrential rain, and wind. It was right when the kids were dismissing from school. Roads were washed out, and water pouring over the road in low lying areas. The cuivre river is bank full.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 13, 2022 18:08:50 GMT -6
That’s all everyone talked about yesterday and this morning, news/schools sent out texts/ work everyone was talking about “severe storms and tornadoes “ great to get the word out, but at my office everyone is now talking about how over hyped the forecast was. Someone just mentioned today was like most of our winter storms that get predicted and never materialize… We didn’t even get thunder or lightning, no wind just some light to moderate rain. And they should have been talking about it because the threat was real. Had they not been talking about it and the worst occurred, who knows...I do know darts would be thrown our way for NOT talking it up. It was a good forecast, based on good science and good old shool tools. We will do our best to learn something from this, but Im not sure how much it will change in the future. The reality is that forecasting high end events will always come with the risk of a high end bust. There is NEVER a sure thing... just different levels of maybe. And at a level 3 out of 5... we were still only half way up the maybe list (does that even make sense lol?) |
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Post by dschreib on Apr 13, 2022 18:21:33 GMT -6
Has the drought started yet? Asking for a friend.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 13, 2022 18:41:44 GMT -6
These setups are a no-win situation...either it busts and everybody is wailing and gnashing teeth or it doesn't and everybody is wailing and gnashing teeth.
Wash, rinse, repeat.
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 13, 2022 18:48:08 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 13, 2022 18:51:31 GMT -6
Minot, ND
Heavy Snow and Windy
25°F
-4°C
Humidity 96%
Wind Speed NW 32 G 40 mph
Barometer 29.57 in (1004.7 mb)
Dewpoint 24°F (-4°C)
Visibility 0.06 mi
Wind Chill 8°F (-13°C)
Last update 13 Apr 6:56 pm CDT
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 13, 2022 19:28:22 GMT -6
They need bigger shovels up there.
As for today, Glenn made a great comparison this evening...it was like the game jenga. Lots of blocks are needed to build an outbreak... pull the wrong one and it falls apart. And pull the same piece out today... it collapses. Do it tomorrow... it does not. It's jist how crazy weather can be.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 13, 2022 19:28:24 GMT -6
Minot, ND Heavy Snow and Windy 25°F -4°C Humidity 96% Wind Speed NW 32 G 40 mph Barometer 29.57 in (1004.7 mb) Dewpoint 24°F (-4°C) Visibility 0.06 miWind Chill 8°F (-13°C) Last update 13 Apr 6:56 pm CDT |
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 13, 2022 19:30:38 GMT -6
wow
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 13, 2022 20:40:32 GMT -6
One day the mythical blizzard will be seen in St. Louis. One day. Will I even be alive to see it?
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Post by amstilost on Apr 14, 2022 7:31:41 GMT -6
Wow, what an absolutely mesmerizing radar video from Minot with the snow. If only.......
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Post by John G -west belleville on Apr 14, 2022 9:13:33 GMT -6
One day the mythical blizzard will be seen in St. Louis. One day. Will I even be alive to see it? I think we will as weather is getting more extreme. |
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Post by jeepers on Apr 14, 2022 9:41:59 GMT -6
One day I’m just going to get on a plane prior to a blizzard and rent an Airbnb to watch the show. Part of my weather bucket list.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 14, 2022 12:22:51 GMT -6
One day I’m just going to get on a plane prior to a blizzard and rent an Airbnb to watch the show. Part of my weather bucket list. That's how I feel about lake effect snow lol. And maybe a classic plains tornado outbreak. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 14, 2022 12:53:12 GMT -6
One day I’m just going to get on a plane prior to a blizzard and rent an Airbnb to watch the show. Part of my weather bucket list. That's how I feel about lake effect snow lol. And maybe a classic plains tornado outbreak. I think this is the 10 year anniversary of the last really large plains outbreak. Read it somewhere anyway. |
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Post by jeepers on Apr 14, 2022 12:54:23 GMT -6
Also on my list! Add Northern Lights in Norway...
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Post by John G -west belleville on Apr 14, 2022 13:17:57 GMT -6
That's how I feel about lake effect snow lol. And maybe a classic plains tornado outbreak. I think this is the 10 year anniversary of the last really large plains outbreak. Read it somewhere anyway. Its the ten year anniversary of my last trip to the plains. I was accompanied by Bellevillewxguy and a former member of this board. If I recall correctly it was a high risk day during a multiple day duration event. The original target was extreme south central nebraska. That target busted the same way yesterday did here, and we were forced to make a huge correction mid-day after storms started firing in extreme southwest Kansas. Ended up on a great tornado around Great Bend, Ks that lifted just before Salina, Ks. One of the best nature experiences you can get. Chris, its worth it to head out on a big day, but the bigger the day the bigger the traffic jam. This storm was on a Saturday and the police did a great job at keeping the main convoy at a safe distance, but some of the higher profile media guys blasted much closer and disregarded law enforcement. From a photogenic standpoint, this storm was as good as it gets. A distant second was the Litchfield, IL tornado the year before. From a science prospective, the Mills Mall tornado in 2014 was memorable because it was 5 percent risk day, and I was able to watch the tornadogenesis cycle from start to finish while on the phone with Chris. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 14, 2022 13:26:47 GMT -6
My bucket list: Multi day legit blizzard, Plains picturesque tornado chase, extreme lake effect snow event, major hurricane, but not too major lol, northern lights in Alaska or Norway, and achieving world peace. I'm afraid I will not live long enough.  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 14, 2022 15:00:46 GMT -6
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Apr 14, 2022 20:34:07 GMT -6
   Hurricane Zeta 119 mph winds I was in Gulfport Mississippi Was a neat experience My truck tire was pooped from debris We stayed at the casino (island view) all night they canceled our Rooms on us but we could still gamble and eat/drink... |
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Apr 14, 2022 20:47:05 GMT -6
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Post by cozpregon on Apr 14, 2022 21:29:12 GMT -6
Already have my hotel room in Cape Girardeau for the April 8 2024 solar eclipse- 4+ minutes of totality
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