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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 19, 2022 16:13:20 GMT -6
WSC, are you driving or flying from Chicago to STL
Looking like Chicago might be shut down for a couple of days
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 19, 2022 16:14:48 GMT -6
WSC, are you driving or flying from Chicago to STL Looking like Chicago might be shut down for a couple of days Supposed to be driving… It’ll be interesting to see how things are Saturday, but not going to risk anything with the baby. Next week looks nice so could just come back for NYE |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 19, 2022 16:41:44 GMT -6
Furnace is in good shape. Fireplace is in good shape. Had to replace some panels which set me back a sum, so i need a couple small half hour fires to cure the panels before a big fire. But i dont hv a lot of fires. I find fireplaces not efficient at all. Now i wish i can just get my windows replaced. Next big expense probably this spring. Will have to do this winter. Triple bay facing north. Not good for windy cold. Lol.
Long term, i think its reasonable to expect a reload, repeat and rinse pattern. Im envisioning a 10 to 14 day of alternate cycles. Somebody mentioned 30 inches of snow wintet total not out of the question. I agree. Hopefully not the intense cold, but probably cold enough for lots of snow.
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ilnois
Wishcaster
Columbia, IL
Posts: 123
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Post by ilnois on Dec 19, 2022 17:00:27 GMT -6
Furnace is in good shape. Fireplace is in good shape. Had to replace some panels which set me back a sum, so i need a couple small half hour fires to cure the panels before a big fire. But i dont hv a lot of fires. I find fireplaces not efficient at all. Now i wish i can just get my windows replaced. Next big expense probably this spring. Will have to do this winter. Triple bay facing north. Not good for windy cold. Lol. Long term, i think its reasonable to expect a reload, repeat and rinse pattern. Im envisioning a 10 to 14 day of alternate cycles. Somebody mentioned 30 inches of snow wintet total not out of the question. I agree. Hopefully not the intense cold, but probably cold enough for lots of snow. I agree in general with the fireplace comment but my wood insert beats the heck out of just having my masonry chimney open... |
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Post by jeepers on Dec 19, 2022 17:21:12 GMT -6
Just one thing about high wind and fireplaces, I stopped doing fires on extremely windy days because once the fire burned low, the wind blew down the fireplace and blasted my kitchen area with ashes. At some point, will do an insert, but we just did most of our windows this year. So maybe next year. Windows took forever. Had them measured in March, they didn't come in until August, and then they cancelled installation twice. Got them finally installed mid November. It was worth the wait but the wait was long.
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Post by TK on Dec 19, 2022 17:21:18 GMT -6
$100 bucks Jim Cantore sets up in Chicago for Winter Storm Elliott....LOL
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 19, 2022 17:37:21 GMT -6
Maybe it won’t be as bad south of the watch,
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 19, 2022 17:44:12 GMT -6
Maybe it won’t be as bad south of the watch, i think that may be a true statement. But the going forecasts are still the same. |
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 19, 2022 17:54:41 GMT -6
$100 bucks Jim Cantore sets up in Chicago for Winter Storm Elliott....LOL Ah, the ole Jim Cantore kiss of death. |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 19, 2022 18:01:23 GMT -6
Yes Chicago is in the sweet spot for most models , they will likely see 6-12” with 30-50 mph winds. If I was the weather channel I would set up near Chicago too.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 19, 2022 18:14:04 GMT -6
18z Euro looks really good.
Seems a bit further SE with the low
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Post by jeepers on Dec 19, 2022 18:19:08 GMT -6
Yes Chicago is in the sweet spot for most models , they will likely see 6-12” with 30-50 mph winds. If I was the weather channel I would set up near Chicago too. Better hotels. Better food. Who wouldn't? lol |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 19, 2022 18:23:10 GMT -6
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 19, 2022 18:29:34 GMT -6
Pretty solid runs today. I think there’s still a little room for higher totals as well. 00z will be fun!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 19, 2022 18:35:47 GMT -6
Yeah, for a big snow, we want this rocket to slow down. I hesitate to use the word bullet.
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Post by ElburnDave on Dec 19, 2022 19:10:00 GMT -6
Chicago NWS disco mentions possible 1-2’ totals in banding and winds gusting over 55mph. Not really looking forward to working on my holidays with this one. Would really like to spectate from my couch. WSC, we’re heading down to STL for New Years as well. Sounds like the best bet.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 19, 2022 19:24:52 GMT -6
Chicago NWS disco mentions possible 1-2’ totals in banding and winds gusting over 55mph. Not really looking forward to working on my holidays with this one. Would really like to spectate from my couch. WSC, we’re heading down to STL for New Years as well. Sounds like the best bet. Stay safe out there! You weren’t here for the GHD storm, right? Sounds like that is the benchmark unless you want to go way back to the 70s. |
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 19, 2022 19:26:34 GMT -6
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Post by ElburnDave on Dec 19, 2022 19:41:36 GMT -6
Chicago NWS disco mentions possible 1-2’ totals in banding and winds gusting over 55mph. Not really looking forward to working on my holidays with this one. Would really like to spectate from my couch. WSC, we’re heading down to STL for New Years as well. Sounds like the best bet. Stay safe out there! You weren’t here for the GHD storm, right? Sounds like that is the benchmark unless you want to go way back to the 70s. No, I came just in time for the blizzard in 2015, but I’ve heard stories. Elburn had something like 84” in 2011 and most of it was on the ground at once. Something like 3 solid months of snow cover. They ran out of places to put it. Thanks for the well wishes! Should be interesting! |
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Post by thechaser on Dec 19, 2022 19:47:50 GMT -6
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Post by stegenwx on Dec 19, 2022 19:51:30 GMT -6
Guess the NWS is favoring the more NW track? That simple?
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Post by jeepers on Dec 19, 2022 19:54:33 GMT -6
Omg, that's terrible.
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 19, 2022 19:55:08 GMT -6
Maybe that’s why St. Louis is not under the Watch yet. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 19, 2022 19:56:27 GMT -6
from the afd: Snow/liquid ratios are also uncertain with some
guidance as low as 7:1 and others showing upwards of 20:1.
I figure the winds will tear apart the dendrites. qpf looks to be in the neighborhood of about .30, but that could include about 30 minutes of light rain/sleet at onset as we may be just south of freezing here. Hopefully tonight confidence grows in whatever track. Main thing is that this thing is zipping along; As Chris said (or maybe somebody), these clipper systems tend to move faster than progged. if you lay down for a nap, you could miss it.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 19, 2022 19:56:57 GMT -6
It doesn’t make sense …. On that map I am at T -1inch but my point forecast is for 1.4 ……
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 19, 2022 19:57:28 GMT -6
21z sref creeping the snow totals up for STL.
The mean is now up to 3 inches with some big members in there.
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Post by landscaper on Dec 19, 2022 19:58:26 GMT -6
Definitely going very conservative on their snow totals, T-1” for downtown, yikes, it will be interesting to see how that works out
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Post by pbc12871 on Dec 19, 2022 20:02:47 GMT -6
I have to work all day Thursday. It'll snow.
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Post by landscaper on Dec 19, 2022 20:05:58 GMT -6
WSC , that’s good to see a little increase in in SREF , it would be nice to see the GFS and GEFS come in closer to the GEM
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Post by amstilost on Dec 19, 2022 20:21:11 GMT -6
Yes Chicago is in the sweet spot for most models , they will likely see 6-12” with 30-50 mph winds. If I was the weather channel I would set up near Chicago too. Better hotels. Better food. Who wouldn't? lol My wife and I were in Chicago in early November visiting a nephew. I guess we had pre-conceived notions about Chicago and we were so wrong. I'm not a city person but I would go back in a heartbeat. Our nephew had a townhouse on the 11th floor of a 42? story building. The food was amazing, the people were amazing. Sure seems like it gets a bad rap on the news. We rode the river boat history tour, Sears Tower or whatever it has changed to, numerous restaraunts via Uber. I highly recommend it. The visit was right after a frontal passage with heavy winds the previous 2 days. Skies were crystal clear. |
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