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Post by maddogchief on Mar 2, 2023 14:53:06 GMT -6
“Hey Siri, show me an image of pain”  Wow… |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 15:01:00 GMT -6
19z NBM has the low passing just north of Cape G
QPF in the metro is 2” with 3” in the southern counties
Wind gust are 40-50 mph across the area
Snowfall, shockingly, is zero
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 2, 2023 15:04:52 GMT -6
yeah this 3-6 inches I saw forecast somewhere about 4 days ago..pretty early, seems unlikely.
Never know I guess
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 16:04:03 GMT -6
yeah this 3-6 inches I saw forecast somewhere about 4 days ago..pretty early, seems unlikely. Never know I guess 21z rap hammers you and the southwestern viewing area. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 2, 2023 16:07:50 GMT -6
lemme hold my breath
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 16:27:48 GMT -6
It’s been 19 minutes, are you still alive? |
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 2, 2023 16:39:28 GMT -6
The temp profile during the height is razor thin IMO. This one literally could go one way or the other in my opinion.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 16:45:33 GMT -6
NAM looks to have shifted a bit SE with the 18z...SLP tracks from FAM to IND on that run and crashes the 130dm line across the Metro with precip still falling within the TROWAL/deformation.
We're still in the game, but need a hail mary.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 16:46:42 GMT -6
The temp profile during the height is razor thin IMO. This one literally could go one way or the other in my opinion. Yep...toss a coin or wait and see. I'm still going with 3-6"...I'm including rainfall in that forecast now...lol |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 2, 2023 16:46:57 GMT -6
It’s been 19 minutes, are you still alive? nope |
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Post by landscaper on Mar 2, 2023 16:47:04 GMT -6
I hope it switches over and hammers down like the RAP is showing, drops a quick 3-6” is that too much to ask for! Definitely probably not going to happen, but for once could we get a model bust that gives and doesn’t take away snow. Such a waste of a big storm , could be an absolute beast if we were 10 -15 degrees colder. I can’t even count how many great southern low nearly perfect track storms we’ve had this year that we’re rain due to lack of cold air
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 16:50:28 GMT -6
BRTN, if we get 3-6” I’m going to drive up to Brighton and buy you a steak dinner
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 16:52:41 GMT -6
Last storm like this we had 4-8" forecast with WSWs in place and got barely over an inch IMBY.
Expect the unexpected.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 16:56:04 GMT -6
BRTN, if we get 3-6” I’m going to drive up to Brighton and buy you a steak dinner I'll hold you to it, and I know just the place! Are we using KSTL or KBRT as the official measurement? I like my chances of at least a ground coating up here. St. Louis, maybe not so much. |
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 2, 2023 16:56:24 GMT -6
Here is to a suprise foot lol! Cheers yall
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 16:58:25 GMT -6
Radar coming alive to the SW but fighting some dry air on the leading edge with the NE wind...not a bad thing. The last storm didn't have much if any dry advection.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 17:11:59 GMT -6
RAP on the bombogenesis train with 1mb/hr deepening as the low crosses SE MO and hits sub-980mb in S IL.
This is the strongest cyclone I can remember hitting the region. Very noteworthy regardless of snow prospects.
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Post by mosue56 on Mar 2, 2023 17:16:29 GMT -6
We are all dreaming, wishing, hoping but there’s Lucy, Charlie and that football again! Sorry it’s not next weeks cold yet!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 17:20:09 GMT -6
There is some serious cold on all the models next week.
That is coming. No worries there.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 17:35:05 GMT -6
BRTN, if we get 3-6” I’m going to drive up to Brighton and buy you a steak dinner I'll hold you to it, and I know just the place! Are we using KSTL or KBRT as the official measurement? I like my chances of at least a ground coating up here. St. Louis, maybe not so much. Let’s use KBRT That’ll give you the better shot at verifying |
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Mar 2, 2023 17:36:57 GMT -6
When you measure your snow, go do it in the switchgrass, guaranteed to get the numbers...and a steak dinner...lol BRTN, if we get 3-6” I’m going to drive up to Brighton and buy you a steak dinner I'll hold you to it, and I know just the place! Are we using KSTL or KBRT as the official measurement? I like my chances of at least a ground coating up here. St. Louis, maybe not so much. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 17:41:45 GMT -6
There is some serious cold on all the models next week. That is coming. No worries there. Far as I can tell, the vortex looks to take up residence across New England next week. We may catch a clipper or some kind of funky overrunning deal. But at face value, cold and dry looks to be the rule. |
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Post by landscaper on Mar 2, 2023 18:14:41 GMT -6
Yep cold and dry for awhile
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 2, 2023 18:18:23 GMT -6
Nothing like wasted cold to start and end the season.
I’m almost to the point where I don’t want anymore snow. I don’t want the official records to get skewed. I want this season to stick out like a benchmark of BS
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 2, 2023 18:25:58 GMT -6
PDS warned storm in Mccurtain OK
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 18:37:21 GMT -6
Destructive severe warning for Dallas and a tornado warning as well
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 18:43:24 GMT -6
18z euro and 21z sref have a 975mb low.
I think we go 972mb and shatter the record.
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 2, 2023 18:51:30 GMT -6
That stupid warm front nosing into SD from Alberta is what just might finish this storm off. It’s killing any true cold air connection
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 19:32:09 GMT -6
60+mph winds showing up with the 00z HRR across the metro.
974mb low
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 19:34:31 GMT -6
18z euro and 21z sref have a 975mb low. I think we go 972mb and shatter the record. Over S IL though...pressures don't drop below 980mb at KSTL on those runs so we can't even break a silly pressure record, lol |
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