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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 19:53:56 GMT -6
I mean you can’t help but laugh at this  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 19:57:09 GMT -6
Does it develop snow once the low moves into IL? The 18z run brought the 130dm line across the river.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 19:58:13 GMT -6
That's waaaaaay south of where it had the SLP just 12 hours ago...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 20:00:32 GMT -6
Does it develop snow once the low moves into IL? The 18z run brought the 130dm line across the river. It tries to. Sounding are extremely borderline like to say the least. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 20:09:44 GMT -6
3km NAM almost goes sub 970 with the low over Cape G
Even tries to spit out a dusting of snow in the metro
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 20:13:17 GMT -6
3km NAM almost goes sub 970 with the low over Cape G Even tries to spit out a dusting of snow in the metro Some 65mph wind gusts across the metro |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 20:20:26 GMT -6
Wonder if we'll see a short fused wind warning. Models show a 60-70kt LLJ on the backside of this beast...
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 2, 2023 20:28:14 GMT -6
We used to say the nam was useful within 54 hours.
For this storm that is down to 12 hours.
What a pitiful display.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 21:14:12 GMT -6
Sure seems like the old reliable "NW trend" is a thing of the past...
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 2, 2023 21:16:58 GMT -6
I see Dave posted that the March low pressure record is 982mb at KSTL set in 1924 ...we have a shot at coming close to that.
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 2, 2023 21:54:19 GMT -6
Sure seems like the old reliable "NW trend" is a thing of the past... We’ve been Southeasted twice this year. |
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Post by landscaper on Mar 2, 2023 21:58:56 GMT -6
Yes the Gem looks to have won the storm track war on this one, it’s amazing how far off the NAM suite was even 24 hours ago. It was way north west with 12+ inches in northwest Missouri and into Iowa, I doubt they see much at all .
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 2, 2023 22:01:03 GMT -6
The GEM is quickly becoming one of my favorite models
It has a cold bias yes, but it’s done really well recently with these systems
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Mar 2, 2023 22:55:48 GMT -6
Man, figures all the thunder and lightning is in southern Mo. Big ol batch of rain moving through the Southern viewing area now with nooooo lightning.
Dang, we can't even get that. Just plain old rain..........
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 3, 2023 0:13:11 GMT -6
Uh oh The euro says I’m going to owe BRTN a steak dinner  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 3, 2023 6:08:02 GMT -6
Models are now showing good cold air and a storm next week at this time.
Let’s try one more time.
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Post by landscaper on Mar 3, 2023 6:32:19 GMT -6
Of course they are were still 7-8 days out , let’s see how it looks in 6 -7 more days
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 3, 2023 6:42:17 GMT -6
00z euro has -30 F temp anomalies over the metro in the 7-10 day range.
Temperatures in the low teens.
SSW doing some serious work.
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Post by ElburnDave on Mar 3, 2023 7:24:00 GMT -6
I'll be in Jupiter. Bring on the cold next week!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 3, 2023 7:42:12 GMT -6
I'll be in Jupiter. Bring on the cold next week! I’m jealous! Was supposed to go to Spring Training in 2020, but we all know how that worked out. Hoping to go next year. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 3, 2023 7:46:10 GMT -6
12z RAP has this deepening to ~115dm and 977mb across S IL with a rapidly deepening mid-level low just SE of the Metro...this is the most ideal dynamical cooling setup if there ever was one...let's see what happens in a few hours.
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Post by ElburnDave on Mar 3, 2023 7:52:58 GMT -6
I'll be in Jupiter. Bring on the cold next week! I’m jealous! Was supposed to go to Spring Training in 2020, but we all know how that worked out. Hoping to go next year. We're looking forward to it, but we failed to consider the WBC when we planned our trip. Should get a good look at upcoming talent though. Also looking forward to some sand time after all the double-digit busts we've seen this winter, lol! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 3, 2023 7:56:34 GMT -6
RAP shows the changeover happening around or just after the lunch hour. But 925mb temps look pretty warm, so I dunno...we'll see  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 3, 2023 8:03:48 GMT -6
I’m jealous! Was supposed to go to Spring Training in 2020, but we all know how that worked out. Hoping to go next year. We're looking forward to it, but we failed to consider the WBC when we planned our trip. Should get a good look at upcoming talent though. Also looking forward to some sand time after all the double-digit busts we've seen this winter, lol! Getting to see Jordan Walker, Masyn Winn, and Tink Hence will be worth missing out on the usual established players. Have fun! |
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Post by amstilost on Mar 3, 2023 8:15:50 GMT -6
I'm not completely up on all the acronym abbreviations these days so I had to try and look WBC up. After glancing at 97 possibilities I don't know how you can try and fool us with the 'feigning' lack of thrilled excitement to have lucked into either WBC World Barista Championships or................. WBC World Beer Cup Be safe and have fun.  |
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Post by ElburnDave on Mar 3, 2023 8:24:26 GMT -6
I'm not completely up on all the acronym abbreviations these days so I had to try and look WBC up. After glancing at 97 possibilities I don't know how you can try and fool us with the 'feigning' lack of thrilled excitement to have lucked into either WBC World Barista Championships or................. WBC World Beer Cup Be safe and have fun. I'm down for the Barista Championships, but my wife might have other ideas. Should be a blast. Thanks for the well wishes, guys. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Mar 3, 2023 8:35:15 GMT -6
RAP shows the changeover happening around or just after the lunch hour. But 925mb temps look pretty warm, so I dunno...we'll see Most I us getting is 'slushy' looking rain or a few half melted 'missile flakes'. Northeastern counties have a shot at a brief change over before precip ends. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Mar 3, 2023 8:36:49 GMT -6
Also Monday has a shot of being our first 80*F day of the season, but I'd like to see the 850MB and 925MB a little warmer, but the potential is there.
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 3, 2023 8:52:32 GMT -6
RAP shows the changeover happening around or just after the lunch hour. But 925mb temps look pretty warm, so I dunno...we'll see It’s not looking likely IMO at this point. I’ve got 40 with a dew point of 38. Not much room to work with there. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 3, 2023 9:04:31 GMT -6
12z surface chart shows a 987mb low over the benchmark and a beautiful rainy deformation over us...peak Saint Louis weather
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