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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 27, 2023 16:48:08 GMT -6
This is the worst near-surface smoke/haze I've seen yet...vis is around 2mi here in Brighton.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 27, 2023 19:21:24 GMT -6
Smoke here in Belleville now. Wasn't much a half hour ago, but now it's hazy and visibility is down a bit too. Also smells a bit smokey too.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 27, 2023 19:33:43 GMT -6
Smoke here in Belleville now. Wasn't much a half hour ago, but now it's hazy and visibility is down a bit too. Also smells a bit smokey too. It's pretty bad |
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Post by WeatherGuyRyan on Jun 27, 2023 19:43:39 GMT -6
Smoky and smells like it out here in Shrewsbury. Was watering the plants! Interesting summer to say the least.
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 27, 2023 19:59:44 GMT -6
The smoke almost smells like chemicals outside
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Post by amstilost on Jun 27, 2023 20:17:56 GMT -6
I was just outside for the last hour or so with my grandson fishing at the pond it's a beautiful beautiful evening Crystal Clear Skies down here it doesn't appear to have made it this far yet. Hope it doesn't make it🤞🤞🤞
I have heard of Acapulco Gold but I never heard of Patchy Smoke before.🤪🤪🤪🤪😁
Edit: Also, grandson caught a beautiful bluegill and a 1 lb bass. He had a big catfish but it bent his hook and got loose. All I heard on the ride back to the out building on the four-wheeler was.."You didn't catch any fish Papa, you didn't catch any fish Papa."🤣🤣🤣
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Post by REB on Jun 28, 2023 9:52:10 GMT -6
Sprinkling in O’fallon
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Post by amstilost on Jun 28, 2023 10:19:11 GMT -6
Yep I just had probably 10 drops of rain hit my head 7 miles west of DeSoto. Man I hope that stuff out west around Columbia holds together.🤞🤞🙏🙏
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 28, 2023 10:35:41 GMT -6
GFS sure is spunky with rain and storms over the next few days into the weekend. Let's hope that happens and keeps our temps down.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jun 28, 2023 12:08:14 GMT -6
Feel like headachy congested junk, don't know if it's allergies or all this smoke. When walking the dog yesterday, just over the span of a half hour it rolled in and all the trees across the park took on a haze. I want rain, and I do hope this crud clears out soon.
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 28, 2023 17:17:27 GMT -6
This summer has been the weirdest In my life. Not that Im that old but in my 30 years I never saw smoke like we have had, and i have not been feeling myself either. I also dont remember an el nino developing like this this early in the year after a la nina. Its just been crazy the pattern and rapid onset drought we have had. Hope it eases soon with some rain starting this weekend.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 28, 2023 17:27:10 GMT -6
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 28, 2023 19:13:33 GMT -6
There is a large spread between the official NWS forecast and the NBM forecast. NWS is going with 101 F. NBM says 105 F. The big issue is how models are handling the PBL. The GFS mixes out the dewpoints and thus cranks the temperature up to 110 F. The ECMWF on the other hand keeps dewpoints high and caps the temperature at 94 F. Obviously the GFS is the cause of the higher forecast. That has to be the biggest spread between the GFS and ECMWF that I have ever seen.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 28, 2023 21:07:04 GMT -6
The GFS clearly has some thermo issues...NWS said it was showing mixing levels around 600mb...I think it's a safe bet that it's overdone.
It'll be interesting to see how far SW that complex can make it.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 29, 2023 6:06:41 GMT -6
That cell just S of Champaign has to be one of the strongest cells I’ve seen.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 29, 2023 7:04:18 GMT -6
I reckon we don’t have a prayer for that complex to affect us do we? Looks further south than models had it.
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 29, 2023 7:06:50 GMT -6
Enhanced risk for metro on north now
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 29, 2023 7:12:19 GMT -6
Enhanced risk for metro on north now Ya, looks like a possible derecho setting up  |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jun 29, 2023 7:38:13 GMT -6
OK this is kind of weird… I am in the enhanced risk area for storms today but yet the national weather service doesn’t have any precipitation chances?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 29, 2023 7:55:00 GMT -6
Yea, NWS hasn't updated the forecasts to reflect the updates.
Hopefully this thing can get a cold pool going behind it and force it to make that right turn. We need a river bender!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 29, 2023 8:44:35 GMT -6
I wish those storms in northern Missouri would make the turn to the right very soon and drop through here.
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Post by amstilost on Jun 29, 2023 8:55:07 GMT -6
Pretty wild how the complex in Indiana was heading east/southeast then some major developement and backbuilding on the southwestern edge that had almost cleared IL, then started building south and west along 64 back to the Miss. River and those cells heading south. I don't want severe weather, but what are the chances the complex in MO will do that and clip us?
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 29, 2023 9:14:27 GMT -6
www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1336.htmlShould stay well north of the Metro until Springfield, IL then turn southeast. NAM harps on about MCS development overnight for the I-70/I-64 corridor however. BRTN might get in on today's MCS derecho however.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 29, 2023 10:43:36 GMT -6
www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1336.htmlShould stay well north of the Metro until Springfield, IL then turn southeast. NAM harps on about MCS development overnight for the I-70/I-64 corridor however. BRTN might get in on today's MCS derecho however. Going to be closer than that |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 29, 2023 10:51:15 GMT -6
Staying north but at least someone in MO is getting rain. Hopefully this bodes well for our chances over the weekend.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jun 29, 2023 11:12:13 GMT -6
Hearing talk of firework cancellations if areas dont get soakers beforehand. Im thinking, most areas should go ahead and cancel. Things are not going to green up with any amount of rain. I know its a hard decision.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 29, 2023 11:14:54 GMT -6
www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1336.htmlShould stay well north of the Metro until Springfield, IL then turn southeast. NAM harps on about MCS development overnight for the I-70/I-64 corridor however. BRTN might get in on today's MCS derecho however. Going to be closer than that Refusing to dip south of I-70 though.
Getting dark clouds to the north from what I can guess is the outflow boundary down here in Belleville. Might get a gust of wind but sadly no rain.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2023 11:22:18 GMT -6
Astounding how often the Metro gets skirted.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 29, 2023 11:25:17 GMT -6
Astounding how often the Metro gets skirted. I have other adjectives to use at this point. Looks like something may have touched down south of Springfield. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 29, 2023 11:29:05 GMT -6
Dark clouds are almost overhead. It's going to miss me but not by much
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