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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 22, 2023 13:03:13 GMT -6
Looks like the heat is building in the medium range. Will it hold or will the models back down once again? We're definitely riding the edge of the ridge...we start the work week out with some NW flow shortwaves and possibly a ridge runner or two nearby Mon/Tues...but the ridge does look to flex eastward for a couple/three days potentially before the NW flow comes in again with a front. We'll have to see if models pick up on any more ripples that would knock down the ridge a bit more than they show currently...been the trend all summer so far. It does seem like the summer pattern is maturing and allowing the heat to expand some though. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jul 22, 2023 18:59:49 GMT -6
Can tell the sun is setting already at 730pm the summer is ending fast.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 22, 2023 19:49:47 GMT -6
It'll be hot as hades all next week, I have the week off of work.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 22, 2023 19:53:47 GMT -6
It'll be hot as hades all next week, I have the week off of work. Lock it in, lol |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jul 22, 2023 19:58:31 GMT -6
MLB on Fox ended on time tonight . Won’t be cutting in on the news.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 22, 2023 22:34:20 GMT -6
pouring.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 22, 2023 23:59:01 GMT -6
Wasn’t expecting a storm tonight
Pouring rain and a couple claps of thunder
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 23, 2023 6:15:34 GMT -6
Nice noisy storm last night for sure
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Post by REB on Jul 23, 2023 8:30:14 GMT -6
Back to watering. Grass is also back to a four day "I need mowed" cycle. UGH
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 23, 2023 8:54:18 GMT -6
Im trying to understand why the NWS has no POPs this week.
It looks like an active NW flow pattern with severeal chances for storms.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 23, 2023 9:20:49 GMT -6
Either you mow or there's no rain. Can't have both.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 23, 2023 9:23:14 GMT -6
Did you read the disco?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 23, 2023 9:34:25 GMT -6
Im trying to understand why the NWS has no POPs this week. It looks like an active NW flow pattern with severeal chances for storms. GFS has storms around nearly every day this week..."guess we'll see" Those storms last night missed MBY to the SW and NE...once again Tuesday AM looks like the best bet for storms with a complex riding down the river and then again Friday/Saturday along the sagging cool front. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 23, 2023 14:33:08 GMT -6
C'mon storms in northern Missouri...keep moving southeast and don't fall apart. We could use some more rain before the heat gets here later this week.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jul 23, 2023 15:59:25 GMT -6
Looks like I'm finally going to get hit with rain.
Hoping you get some too BRTN!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 23, 2023 17:11:59 GMT -6
Looks like I'm finally going to get hit with rain. Hoping you get some too BRTN! Looks like a glorified sprinkle on radar...falling apart quickly |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 23, 2023 17:15:32 GMT -6
Trees and crops are gonna take a big hit this coming week around here if we don't get any appreciable rain tomorrow into Tuesday. It's about as dry as I've ever seen it...yet the drought monitor doesn't even have us in the D0 category...laughable
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 23, 2023 18:37:59 GMT -6
Trees and crops are gonna take a big hit this coming week around here if we don't get any appreciable rain tomorrow into Tuesday. It's about as dry as I've ever seen it...yet the drought monitor doesn't even have us in the D0 category...laughable It's gotta be hyper localized |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 23, 2023 18:48:58 GMT -6
Trees and crops are gonna take a big hit this coming week around here if we don't get any appreciable rain tomorrow into Tuesday. It's about as dry as I've ever seen it...yet the drought monitor doesn't even have us in the D0 category...laughable It's gotta be hyper localized It is for sure...areas just 5-10mi away have had several inches of rain while we've had next to nothing. Still sitting around an inch for the month. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jul 24, 2023 5:56:48 GMT -6
Looks like August is going to be the hottest month of the Summer relative to normal with average to below average rain chances. Some signs of a couple week's long heat waves in there. near the beginning of the month and towards the middle of the month. Could see some shots of Autumn arriving around September however especially after Labor Day.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jul 24, 2023 9:13:15 GMT -6
Looks like August is going to be the hottest month of the Summer relative to normal with average to below average rain chances. Some signs of a couple week's long heat waves in there. near the beginning of the month and towards the middle of the month. Could see some shots of Autumn arriving around September however especially after Labor Day. I swear sometimes I feel like I’m looking at completely different things than you. Start of August doesn’t look terrible currently. We will have a rough heat stretch to end July but I think August ends up very normal. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jul 24, 2023 9:48:42 GMT -6
Looks like August is going to be the hottest month of the Summer relative to normal with average to below average rain chances. Some signs of a couple week's long heat waves in there. near the beginning of the month and towards the middle of the month. Could see some shots of Autumn arriving around September however especially after Labor Day. So we could have a taste of Fall Early September? |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 24, 2023 10:11:14 GMT -6
lol
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 24, 2023 10:40:58 GMT -6
Looks like August is going to be the hottest month of the Summer relative to normal with average to below average rain chances. Some signs of a couple week's long heat waves in there. near the beginning of the month and towards the middle of the month. Could see some shots of Autumn arriving around September however especially after Labor Day. Summer is gonna be like summer. September is gonna have tastes of fall and summmer. October is gonna be more fall like, but might get warm once or twice. November is full fall, but it might snow. Oh and water is still wet. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 24, 2023 11:25:57 GMT -6
Looks like overnight storms are gonna favor the W side of the river...awesome
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ilnois
Wishcaster
Columbia, IL
Posts: 123
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Post by ilnois on Jul 24, 2023 12:01:40 GMT -6
Looks like overnight storms are gonna favor the W side of the river...awesome I'm requesting a bit of education - what models are you evaluating in saying this? I imagine your response may be CAMs but could you elaborate further? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 24, 2023 13:05:14 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 24, 2023 16:32:30 GMT -6
Looks like overnight storms are gonna favor the W side of the river...awesome I'm requesting a bit of education - what models are you evaluating in saying this? I imagine your response may be CAMs but could you elaborate further? NAMs...3km, 12km and 40km all show the overnight convection staying west of the river. I haven't looked at the HRRR or RAP yet. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 24, 2023 16:41:21 GMT -6
Bastardi used to say there was a correlation between a -AAO during the S hemisphere winter and a -AO the following N hemisphere winter. If that's the case...batten down the hatches |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 24, 2023 17:02:57 GMT -6
Latest NAMs/CAMs have virtually no storms overnight anywhere now...and basically nothing for the next 4 days.
I sure hope that's wrong.
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