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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 24, 2023 18:20:25 GMT -6
So pretty  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 24, 2023 19:03:06 GMT -6
Seems to be a boundary visible on radar draped NW to SE across the Metro with a few tiny showers bubbling along it...maybe that'll get a few storms going once the LLJ picks up
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 24, 2023 19:47:30 GMT -6
Bastardi used to say there was a correlation between a -AAO during the S hemisphere winter and a -AO the following N hemisphere winter. If that's the case...batten down the hatches We are overdue for even a normal temperature winter, and even more overdue for a normal snowfall winter, IMO. But I'm pessimistic still for this winter. I can't wait for the social media posts to come out, stating we are going to have a historical winter...again. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 24, 2023 21:08:12 GMT -6
In other great news, ocean water temp off the Florida Keys was recorded at 101°F today
Granted this is in shallow, muddy, debris filled water. Still not great.
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Post by amstilost on Jul 25, 2023 14:39:58 GMT -6
Hopefully, looking at Upstream radar, the complex of showers/storms heading Southeast, I am hoping like the last two or three weeks this is going to blow through tonight and hopefully knock down the ridge that it won't be so hot Wednesday and Thursday.🙏🙏🤞🤞👍👍
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 25, 2023 16:56:34 GMT -6
I sure hope those showers and storms to the NW hold together into this evening after the sun sets. We need a good soaker desperately...
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Post by Jeffmw on Jul 25, 2023 17:16:40 GMT -6
Well in just 90 days think where we’ll be temp wise.
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 25, 2023 17:21:07 GMT -6
Four more months til Christmas, but even Sept and Oct is better than 100 deg
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 25, 2023 17:33:01 GMT -6
Four more months til Christmas, but even Sept and Oct is better than 100 deg Five months... |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 25, 2023 18:01:52 GMT -6
I think Friday is the best candidate for the warmest day of the year. NBM is showing 104 F. We've seen a high bias in the NBM already this year likely due to the GFS contribution and it showing dewpoints mixing out too much. I do think 100+ is still a good bet though. 99 will be pissed if we don't hit 100 at least once this year.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 25, 2023 18:46:47 GMT -6
Looks like we'll be lucky to get more than a quick shower this evening...that loose cluster has really weakened with the setting sun and warm mid-level temps.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 25, 2023 20:24:11 GMT -6
Looks like we'll be lucky to get more than a quick shower this evening...that loose cluster has really weakened with the setting sun and warm mid-level temps. A quick shower with a little bit of thunder is what I got. Did nothing except increase the humidity slightly. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 25, 2023 20:50:36 GMT -6
Some thunder. No rain. Pavement still dry. Thought we'd have a good pouring. It didn't happen. I live about halfway NNW, between the radar site, and I70. It seems according to the nws radar, I have very little hope of getting rainfall, as the echos seem to be drying up as they approach my area. Even more remarkable is those folks on the east side of the metro, look to remain mostly high and dry.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 26, 2023 5:46:08 GMT -6
Another magnificent skirt job for Brighton last night and this morning...
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 26, 2023 5:59:52 GMT -6
Another magnificent skirt job for Brighton last night and this morning... Wasn't expecting thunder this morning, but looks like a little rain here in a few minutes. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 26, 2023 6:15:17 GMT -6
Another magnificent skirt job for Brighton last night and this morning... I feel your pain …. We have had several winters like this …. It literally snows 5 miles away and we get nothing….. It’s maddening…. I hope your luck changes |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 26, 2023 6:33:31 GMT -6
4 of the next 7 days in my point forecast are 100 or above. Here we go...
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 26, 2023 6:34:17 GMT -6
One year ago today was that deluge in st charles county
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Post by amstilost on Jul 26, 2023 7:49:29 GMT -6
What is the NWS 'seeing' for their outlooks for August and the Seasonal Outlook for Aug-Oct. to be just below normal temp wise a tick north of us and above normal precip over us? Maybe tropical influences? The way the outline looks that doesn't seem like the cause. Almost looks like a Polar Vortex type plunge out of Canada. All Hail the NW flow. Drought Info PDF |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 26, 2023 9:31:24 GMT -6
One year ago today was that deluge in st charles county 7.72 inches fell at my house in Belleville one year ago today. .14 fell at my house today. What a difference a year makes. |
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Post by REB on Jul 26, 2023 10:02:04 GMT -6
One year ago today was that deluge in st charles county 7.72 inches fell at my house in Belleville one year ago today. .14 fell at my house today. What a difference a year makes. .11” here today |
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 26, 2023 10:31:14 GMT -6
Pretty good storms blowing up to the nw of metro. Hopefully they get here and knock the heat back a bit for a day
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Post by cardsnweather on Jul 26, 2023 10:47:05 GMT -6
That line looks very healthy. Should ride right into metro.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 26, 2023 11:05:04 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 26, 2023 11:10:26 GMT -6
Strong downbursts look likely with those storms with 30-35kts bulk shear, 3500-4000j/kg CAPE and very steep low-level lapse rates.
Could see another round this evening or later tonight as well as another disturbance drops SE across the region.
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 26, 2023 11:13:16 GMT -6
This may keep us from hitting 100 until friday
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 26, 2023 13:42:47 GMT -6
Nice hot down pour in St.Peters. sitting at 91 with heavy rain. Wierd day
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 26, 2023 14:04:17 GMT -6
This may keep us from hitting 100 until friday Explain your logic on that one. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 26, 2023 14:18:03 GMT -6
Meaning we keep getting clouds like this we wont hit 100
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 26, 2023 15:45:07 GMT -6
We got a whole five hundredths...break out the milk!
Warm mid-level temps sapped those storms badly...H7 temps 12-14*C
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