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Post by chowderhead54 on Sept 28, 2023 13:37:25 GMT -6
Nice to see another model latching onto a pattern switch..heck the ggem would spark some serious interest in 6-8 weeks..loaded moisture Sw..and 1041HP pushing in...awww to dream 😀 😳 😄 😉
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 28, 2023 13:40:18 GMT -6
This is an Omega sucky weather pattern 🥵 We better get a good winter! ❄️ The amount of blocking this summer and early fall is encouraging, but it's gotta line up right to deliver the goods |
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 28, 2023 15:51:51 GMT -6
The NHC forecast graphic playback for TS Philippe has been comical. TS Rina forming behind it has really put wrench in the forecast cog with some Fujiwhara monkey business going on.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 29, 2023 13:06:23 GMT -6
12z ggem is quite the shot of winter next weekend.
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Post by mosue56 on Sept 29, 2023 15:10:54 GMT -6
What’s that mean, WSC Chicago?
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Post by John G -west belleville on Sept 29, 2023 15:29:46 GMT -6
AC back on for the first time since Labor Day
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 29, 2023 15:33:05 GMT -6
86*/70* it feels like full blown summer out...enough already!
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 29, 2023 15:54:33 GMT -6
86*/70* it feels like full blown summer out...enough already! Right!!!!! |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 29, 2023 15:54:59 GMT -6
12z ggem is quite the shot of winter next weekend. Winter or Fall? Lol |
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 29, 2023 19:29:32 GMT -6
  Harvest Moon over Ferguson, Missouri Friday, September 29th 2023
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 29, 2023 21:49:02 GMT -6
12z ggem is quite the shot of winter next weekend. Winter or Fall? Lol Temps in the mid 20s across parts of Missouri would be more winter than fall. Clearly, overdone though. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 30, 2023 2:51:10 GMT -6
Temps in the mid 20s across parts of Missouri would be more winter than fall. Clearly, overdone though. Wow! |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 30, 2023 12:50:09 GMT -6
It feels like July outside. No thanks!
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 30, 2023 14:58:47 GMT -6
It feels like July outside. No thanks! Well the way things are looking next weekend will feel like November. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 30, 2023 20:39:58 GMT -6
I was just looking at potential analogs to this season for both Chicago and Saint Louis.
I was struck by how terrible 2017 was for STL. It was basically a repeat of 2012 which I vividly remember.
Did Saint Charles have a big storm that year so it looks worse for kSTL?
2020 was also horrible, but I was gone by then.
The last 8 years average out terrible and it is a testament to the community how lively the blog is in spite of the horrid winters.
The prior 8 years average out nicely so maybe we have a nice period to look forward to.
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Post by ElburnDave on Sept 30, 2023 21:09:36 GMT -6
So sorry the Cubs choked.
(removes tongue from cheek)
😂
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 1, 2023 10:16:23 GMT -6
Hey Chris with the new month and that possible pattern shift coming up think it’s time for a new thread?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 1, 2023 10:30:31 GMT -6
12z gfs and ggem give outlying areas a shot at mid to upper 30s next weekend.
First real shot of fall.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 1, 2023 17:34:17 GMT -6
Climate Models hinting at a Modoki/Central Based La Nina by next Summer. Looks hot and dry here again if that's the case. Regardless it seems this El Nino won't have much staying power and evaporates by the time we're looking at the April Solar Eclipse.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 1, 2023 20:24:17 GMT -6
Climate Models hinting at a Modoki/Central Based La Nina by next Summer. Looks hot and dry here again if that's the case. Regardless it seems this El Nino won't have much staying power and evaporates by the time we're looking at the April Solar Eclipse. Let's get though Winter first before we think about next Summer. Don't even want to think of hot weather anymore. 😫 Lol |
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Post by ComoEsJn on Oct 2, 2023 7:26:11 GMT -6
looking ahead at some of the longer-term stuff, is Dave's "warm October" already falling apart?
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 2, 2023 9:58:42 GMT -6
Not at all. This weekends cool down will be temporary. But very enjoyable.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 2, 2023 16:26:13 GMT -6
On todays episode of how not to storm chase and almost get killed:
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 2, 2023 18:03:21 GMT -6
Hi Chris, would you kindly check your PMs please? No hurry, just wasn't sure if you missed it.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Oct 2, 2023 20:49:10 GMT -6
Repeat after me, "don't core punch."
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 3, 2023 14:44:03 GMT -6
Screenshot from this afternoon at Grand Targhee ski resort in Wyoming
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Oct 4, 2023 8:05:58 GMT -6
Rain looks a lot healthier on radar this morning than I was expecting closer to! 🌧️ 🎃🌧️
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 4, 2023 11:35:29 GMT -6
So much for the rain drying up and not coming till overnight. We need it, but the theme this late summer / fall is for it to dry up over the metro haha! That's what I thought it would do. This is rare. I just went out to start my bike ride, but had to eventually come back. Sprinkles turned into rain. Always a disappointment to cut your ride short (road cyclist talk). Thought I could sneak in a outdoor lunch ride before the rain. Is the rain in Union now going to be steady or light rain in STL? 😊
Edit! Happy to see it was steady rain as I am forced to ride on my inside trainer on Zwift!
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Post by amstilost on Oct 4, 2023 12:26:13 GMT -6
I started to burn a pile of leaves with my grandson while he was jumping in it and I'm taking it away from the side and taking them into the ditch. Then we started to feel a few raindrops then a few more next thing I know I look over at the concrete driveway and it's getting damp but the fire is still going pretty good, then it started raining a little harder and put the fire out. I should have started it maybe 15-20 minutes sooner than I did and I would have had it all burned. This was still a little sketchy even with the hose next to me and I knew rain was on our doorstep cuz it's still pretty dry.
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 4, 2023 12:54:24 GMT -6
I started to burn a pile of leaves with my grandson while he was jumping in it and I'm taking it away from the side and taking them into the ditch. Then we started to feel a few raindrops then a few more next thing I know I look over at the concrete driveway and it's getting damp but the fire is still going pretty good, then it started raining a little harder and put the fire out. I should have started it maybe 15-20 minutes sooner than I did and I would have had it all burned. This was still a little sketchy even with the hose next to me and I knew rain was on our doorstep cuz it's still pretty dry. Wow yeah sounds like you were caught off guard too with the rain! I didn't think the stuff on the radar was going to make it to the ground! Looks like tomorrow is going to be wet for sure till the afternoon. Then strong NW winds (strong cold air advection) something we haven't seen in a awhile it seems! |
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