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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Nov 22, 2023 7:56:34 GMT -6
Is anyone having issues getting here on their laptop? I can only get access from my phone I've not been able to get on here for 3 days... (from phone) |
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Post by tedrick65 on Nov 22, 2023 8:45:24 GMT -6
Is anyone having issues getting here on their laptop? I can only get access from my phone I've not been able to get on here for 3 days... (from phone) If you are using a browser instead of Tapatalk from a phone, you may need to clear your browser cache and cookies (and app data cache) to get morethanweatherstl.com to work again. morethanweatherstl.proboards.com should always work. |
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Post by weathermom on Nov 22, 2023 9:16:31 GMT -6
I am glad I can see the site again. I rarely post, but I look at it almost every day, even in the summer.
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Post by rb1108 on Nov 22, 2023 9:32:55 GMT -6
No expert here, but long-range it appears the weather could get cold and active later next month maybe just in time for Christmas. Is anyone else seeing these possible indications? Or is it just dreaming of a White Christmas?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 22, 2023 11:01:55 GMT -6
Models coming in this morning looking a little more favorable for our first flakes Sunday morning. Would be nice to see a few flying around.
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Post by REB on Nov 22, 2023 12:13:47 GMT -6
Wishing you all a Happy Thanksgiving. 🦃
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 22, 2023 13:46:44 GMT -6
No expert here, but long-range it appears the weather could get cold and active later next month maybe just in time for Christmas. Is anyone else seeing these possible indications? Or is it just dreaming of a White Christmas? Things look relatively cool with some PV stretching through early November. Then, things likely turn mild, potentially very mild across the northern US and Canada. This potential “Canadian Warming” can be a precursor to a larger PV disruption, but they are no fun while they are happening. |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Nov 22, 2023 14:06:46 GMT -6
No expert here, but long-range it appears the weather could get cold and active later next month maybe just in time for Christmas. Is anyone else seeing these possible indications? Or is it just dreaming of a White Christmas? Things look relatively cool with some PV stretching through early November. Then, things likely turn mild, potentially very mild across the northern US and Canada. This potential “Canadian Warming” can be a precursor to a larger PV disruption, but they are no fun while they are happening. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 22, 2023 14:08:40 GMT -6
With the EPO going positive next week, id expect December to start off mild  |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Nov 22, 2023 14:11:56 GMT -6
WSC you are on it. The MJO goes into an unfavorable phase for the first half of December, it even looks a bit "torchy" but it does move to phase 7 and 8 at EOM..maybe enough time to save us...but it's only one indicator but I like using it in the Winter it's been correct more times than not but this EL NINO might give models, and indicators some fits. Yes love me a Good PV Split that dumps Cold into the Central US. The ongoing drought does worry me some..
Oh well for another day. Just finished up with all my prep for Tomorrow..now onto some spiced egg nogg😜😄🙂 Happy Thanksgiving to you and all on the Corner!! Enjoy and be safe everyone!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 22, 2023 16:31:45 GMT -6
Happy Pre-Thanksgiving! I hope everyone has their grocery shopping down and preps underway for the big feast (or feasts).
As I sit here and ponder the forecast, I have to say that I'm starting to think with a continued subtle...but steady...shift to faster (and thus colder timing) of the forcing Saturday night (more than Sunday morning) that we may see some minor accumulations of snow on grassy surfaces along and north of I-70 in Missouri. In fact, the latest trends bring it down closer to I-44 in MO and I-70 in IL. This will be a very fast burst of forcing ahead of the shortwave and the position of the vortmax typically does not favor snow... but more of a mix of showery precipitation. However, the forecast soundings show the wet bulb temps solidly below freeing once we reach saturation...with saturation up through the DGZ. Soooooo.... all of this boils down to a quick moving burst of rain/sleet showers at the onset that will very quickly/briefly switch to snow showers. I'd say up to 1/2" may be possible on grassy surfaces before it melts away due to the still warm ground conditions.
And... because it's St. Louis... it all happens at night. Which is a key factor to adding the consideration for very minor accumulations. If this were daylight... I'd say forget it. But at night, without the extra kick from the solar radiation... I think we could see a dusting to 1/2 in a few spots.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 22, 2023 16:38:09 GMT -6
Ya the 18z GFS doesn’t look half bad with the little system this weekend.
I’d be happy with a quick dusting
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Post by gfrig - Troy, MO on Nov 22, 2023 20:06:50 GMT -6
Hope everyone has a wonderful Thanksgiving. My door is open and an extra seat is available if anyone needs/wants a crazy, loud, and sometimes obnoxious but loving family to be with tomorrow  Happy Thanksgiving! |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 22, 2023 20:56:56 GMT -6
It's outside the reliability of the NAM... but the 00z is doing it's typical juicy thing. It brings a solid band of snow across the region for a couple hours leading up to sunrise Sunday morning.
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 22, 2023 21:05:24 GMT -6
Chris is doing the weather on Fox 2 now
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 22, 2023 21:30:44 GMT -6
It's outside the reliability of the NAM... but the 00z is doing it's typical juicy thing. It brings a solid band of snow across the region for a couple hours leading up to sunrise Sunday morning. 00z Icon largely supports it, rgem not so much. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 23, 2023 6:44:49 GMT -6
Happy and safe Thanksgiving everyone!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 23, 2023 6:46:49 GMT -6
It's outside the reliability of the NAM... but the 00z is doing it's typical juicy thing. It brings a solid band of snow across the region for a couple hours leading up to sunrise Sunday morning. UKMET looked pretty juiced too. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 23, 2023 6:48:05 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving!
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Post by amstilost on Nov 23, 2023 8:08:01 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving everyone, safe travels today.
I forgot to mention our deluge couple days ago only netted me 0.25".
Probably a good thing I couldn't get on here that day. I'm sure I only would have griped about it.🤪🤪 I sure hope the trajectory with that system isn't a harbinger of this winter.😳😳
I just had an issue getting on this morning on my phone using my bookmark. I ended up looking up more than weather.com and that loaded up so I deleted the old bookmark and bookmarked the new one and it seems to work fine.
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Post by tedrick65 on Nov 23, 2023 8:19:26 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving to all!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 23, 2023 8:30:51 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving everyone!!!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 23, 2023 8:48:22 GMT -6
12z nam gives those north of 70 a shot at 1-2 inches of accumulation Sunday morning.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 23, 2023 11:12:46 GMT -6
Models look warmer through the column. Looks like only the northern third of counties will see snow, or at least enough to stick on the grass. More of cold rain south of I-70 including much of the metro and some models are looking drier as well. Models flip flopping with how cold December will be or not. 12Z looks warmer where as it looked colder last night and yesterday. Looks like the dry trend continues however the next 2 weeks.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 23, 2023 11:15:06 GMT -6
12z Ukmet looks great for the northern counties.
3 inches with 10-1 ratios. Given temperatures, actual change in snow depth would be more like 1.5 inches.
Would get the ground covered if it happens like that!
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 23, 2023 11:47:37 GMT -6
lol. Happy Thursday
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 23, 2023 13:49:26 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving! I've done stuffed myself, now to try to get through 8 hours of work without falling asleep in my chair.
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 23, 2023 13:56:31 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving Everybody!! Hope you all have a blessed day. As far as the weekend snow chance, I like how Chris laid it out may be a dusting, but at least the first mood flakes of the season based on trends.
We really need to get the drought knocked down otherwise its going to be a variable winter temp wise, and quite dry.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 23, 2023 14:08:23 GMT -6
No expert here, but long-range it appears the weather could get cold and active later next month maybe just in time for Christmas. Is anyone else seeing these possible indications? Or is it just dreaming of a White Christmas? Things look relatively cool with some PV stretching through early November. Then, things likely turn mild, potentially very mild across the northern US and Canada. This potential “Canadian Warming” can be a precursor to a larger PV disruption, but they are no fun while they are happening. You posted this 5 minutes after I read Dr.Cohen's blog. Might get interesting, might not, lol. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 24, 2023 0:52:19 GMT -6
Been a busy day at my place. We hosted this yr. So this is alittle late.
Happy Thanksgiving gang. Hope everyone had a great day. Looking forward to some mood snow Sat.
Let's get this Winter crankin!
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Happy Thanksgiving!
