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Post by John G -west belleville on Nov 29, 2023 11:53:50 GMT -6
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Post by John G -west belleville on Nov 29, 2023 11:55:29 GMT -6
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Post by ComoEsJn on Nov 29, 2023 12:03:29 GMT -6
hahaha, there's WeatherFanatic asking about school closings
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Post by grizzlebeard on Nov 29, 2023 16:09:24 GMT -6
Must be instinct to check back in for the season so close to the anniversary date. Thanks to everyone for the free education over the years. You can't help but learn just by reading and following the thread as the next big one rolls in, and then misses us again.....LOL!
Can't forget CBTL posting a picture of lightning hitting the Sears Tower and claiming credit when it was easily found on a google search.....or of course Rosie's feet in every picture of the snowfall depth in her yard.
Also a shout out to the moderators who have the unenviable job of keeping this thing from going off the rails when folks are losing their marbles.
Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!
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Post by amstilost on Nov 29, 2023 20:10:11 GMT -6
Pretty cool reading that first page of the old blog. I couldn't go any farther though wouldn't let me look at any other pages.
Quick question on the map that St Louis National Weather Service has on the Weather Story tab. Can someone provide a good reason why the change in the color Graphics would occur? I first looked at the map I thought, "far out I,m getting Bullseye'd with some decent rain." Upon closer inspection this map uses the 'Light Greens' as the heavier amounts of precipitation and the 'Blue' as the lighter amounts. Why the change after decades using the other method? I have looked several times at that map to make sure I'm not making a mistake before posting this. Maybe it's the fact that it's a percentage chance of one inch of rain over the area vs. a qpf forecast. Still seems like confusing messaging to me.
Also, is that the forecasted track of the dreaded 'Dry Slot' that has the lower totals IMBY? Or maybe topography is playing a 'Grinch' like stingy roll?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 29, 2023 20:15:02 GMT -6
Pretty cool reading that first page of the old blog. I couldn't go any farther though wouldn't let me look at any other pages. Quick question on the map that St Louis National Weather Service has on the Weather Story tab. Can someone provide a good reason why the change in the color Graphics would occur? I first looked at the map I thought, "far out I,m getting Bullseye'd with some decent rain." Upon closer inspection this map uses the 'Light Greens' as the heavier amounts of precipitation and the 'Blue' as the lighter amounts. Why the change after decades using the other method? I have looked several times at that map to make sure I'm not making a mistake before posting this. Maybe it's the fact that it's a percentage chance of one inch of rain over the area vs. a qpf forecast. Still seems like confusing messaging to me. Also, is that the forecasted track of the dreaded 'Dry Slot' that has the lower totals IMBY? Or maybe topography is playing a 'Grinch' like stingy roll? I'm not sure about the colors. I know they have been doing a lot of social science research about colors and how they are perceived... plus how they are viewed by visually impaired individuals. I also know that some forecasters have their own colortables that work best for them and sometimes those sneak into those graphics. |
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Post by amstilost on Nov 29, 2023 20:24:31 GMT -6
Pretty cool reading that first page of the old blog. I couldn't go any farther though wouldn't let me look at any other pages. Quick question on the map that St Louis National Weather Service has on the Weather Story tab. Can someone provide a good reason why the change in the color Graphics would occur? I first looked at the map I thought, "far out I,m getting Bullseye'd with some decent rain." Upon closer inspection this map uses the 'Light Greens' as the heavier amounts of precipitation and the 'Blue' as the lighter amounts. Why the change after decades using the other method? I have looked several times at that map to make sure I'm not making a mistake before posting this. Maybe it's the fact that it's a percentage chance of one inch of rain over the area vs. a qpf forecast. Still seems like confusing messaging to me. Also, is that the forecasted track of the dreaded 'Dry Slot' that has the lower totals IMBY? Or maybe topography is playing a 'Grinch' like stingy roll? I'm not sure about the colors. I know they have been doing a lot of social science research about colors and how they are perceived... plus how they are viewed by visually impaired individuals. I also know that some forecasters have their own colortables that work best for them and sometimes those sneak into those graphics. The social science research aspect is interesting. |
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Post by kcwxdude on Nov 29, 2023 20:31:54 GMT -6
Long time lurker (10+ years) first time poster. Happy to finally join the forum and interact with all you fine folks that I’ve followed for years! Go CHIEFS!
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Post by amstilost on Nov 29, 2023 20:39:14 GMT -6
Long time lurker (10+ years) first time poster. Happy to finally join the forum and interact with all you fine folks that I’ve followed for years! Go CHIEFS! Welcome aboard. I was excited as heck when I was 'accepted' into this wonderful group. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Nov 29, 2023 21:13:05 GMT -6
I'm not sure about the colors. I know they have been doing a lot of social science research about colors and how they are perceived... plus how they are viewed by visually impaired individuals. I also know that some forecasters have their own colortables that work best for them and sometimes those sneak into those graphics. The social science research aspect is interesting. It's a probability of 1 inch occurring map. Confusing to me as well. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 29, 2023 22:37:29 GMT -6
This isn’t ideal for snow  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 29, 2023 23:50:41 GMT -6
Insanely warm over North America, wow. You’d sure think it would flip at some point and when it does it’ll probably be pretty harsh.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 30, 2023 6:07:32 GMT -6
Yeah models are looking mild again towards the second week of December with that trof in the NE Pacific dominating. Definitely not much if any potential for anything frozen in sight.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 30, 2023 8:30:56 GMT -6
December was always expected to be a craptastic month for Winter Lovers, so no surprise there. Those that were predicting some Winter action have generally focused towards the second half of the season, late January into March. So plenty of time for something to happen, but the Holidays don't look to be it. At any rate that's a classic Omega Block on 920's post if I ever saw on. Impressive seeing a ridge go from Mexico all the way to the North Pole. Biggest cold stays trapped in Russia and parts of Europe for awhile anyway.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 30, 2023 8:49:33 GMT -6
Dr. Cohen thinks a stretched PV is the most likely outcome in the 3rd or 4th week of December following this Canadian warming.
Next 2 weeks are ruined, but will be crucial to the rest of the season what happens immediately after.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 30, 2023 9:08:53 GMT -6
I guess I wasn't keeping up on the changes the last 18-24 hours in the weather. I was expecting it to be raining when I woke up this morning but it must have slowed down and I wasn't paying attention. I sure hope we're still going to get a decent (not flooding) rain. Then again, my percentage for one inch of rain is rather low.🤪🤪
Let me be the first to welcome in December in 14 hours and 47 minutes from now.😊
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Post by dschreib on Nov 30, 2023 9:49:18 GMT -6
If anyone wants to send me an early birthday present (Dec 4), PM me for my Venmo. Youngest got accepted into the Wash U DPT program a couple weeks ago. It actually evens out, considering she'll be able to live at home for the next three years...which is an added bonus! I tried a $1000 cover charge with 2 drink minimum for Thanksgiving, but nobody ponied up.
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Post by rb1108 on Nov 30, 2023 10:05:28 GMT -6
I would gladly take a mild first half of December for cold and wet just in time for the holidays. One can hope and dream.
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Post by dschreib on Nov 30, 2023 10:18:37 GMT -6
I would gladly take a mild first half of December for cold and wet just in time for the holidays. One can hope and dream. Something autocorrected "snowy" to "wet" during your post. Did you click "OK to use current location"? |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 30, 2023 11:31:30 GMT -6
Rain's about to kick in across the metro in the next hour or so. Looks showery, so the big gully washer won't be till likely evening and overnight.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 30, 2023 11:33:06 GMT -6
12Z GFS brings us some snow in about 10-12 days.  Might be something wintry about that time, but it looks brief and the pattern quite transitory, back and forth warm and cold shots, but nothing to extreme for the time of year. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 30, 2023 11:58:27 GMT -6
If anyone wants to send me an early birthday present (Dec 4), PM me for my Venmo. Youngest got accepted into the Wash U DPT program a couple weeks ago. It actually evens out, considering she'll be able to live at home for the next three years...which is an added bonus! I tried a $1000 cover charge with 2 drink minimum for Thanksgiving, but nobody ponied up. Congrats! That's awesome news! We will open up the gofundme after the holidays lol. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 30, 2023 13:08:00 GMT -6
Signal for a big storm at D10.
My guess is a cutter with severe storms possible across the southern states and a plains blizzard.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 30, 2023 13:39:37 GMT -6
Rain's about to kick in across the metro in the next hour or so. Looks showery, so the big gully washer won't be till likely evening and overnight. 135 pm and I have light rain. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 30, 2023 15:48:46 GMT -6
Signal for a big storm at D10. My guess is a cutter with severe storms possible across the southern states and a plains blizzard. Climo would support that...early/mid-December seems to be our prime "second severe season" lately. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 30, 2023 17:02:57 GMT -6
Signal for a big storm at D10. My guess is a cutter with severe storms possible across the southern states and a plains blizzard. Climo would support that...early/mid-December seems to be our prime "second severe season" lately. Right. Especially since it seems like we are a month or so behind season norms. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 1, 2023 6:20:59 GMT -6
Today is 17th anniversary of the ice storm of 2006.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Dec 1, 2023 8:22:44 GMT -6
1.01 for the inch to verify.
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Post by tedrick65 on Dec 1, 2023 8:26:21 GMT -6
Only made it to 0.71" in High Ridge
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Post by amstilost on Dec 1, 2023 8:31:30 GMT -6
.625" of liquid 7 miles west of De Soto. I'll take it that would probably be 5-6" of snow for when we ever get out of this pattern. Since, for some reason, the Storm Total Accumulation isn't working on NWS weather site, I'll just wait for everyone to post higher amounts around me like it was snow.🤔🤣🤣🤣
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Might be something wintry about that time, but it looks brief and the pattern quite transitory, back and forth warm and cold shots, but nothing to extreme for the time of year.
