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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 5, 2024 12:10:03 GMT -6
Was sunny an hour ago. Darker clouds have moved in in a hurry.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2024 12:11:33 GMT -6
Euro QPF through tonight  |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 5, 2024 12:29:43 GMT -6
The HRRR and Rap are both showing 1-2 inches tonight….. Rap is a little further west
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2024 12:38:35 GMT -6
Euro is excited about tonight too.. But then wagons north for Tuesday.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 5, 2024 12:44:38 GMT -6
Blizzard next Friday on euro.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2024 12:55:28 GMT -6
Blizzard next Friday on euro. As long as we cash in on one of these... it will be frustrating to miss both. Unlikely to get both... but one.. we should get one! |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 12:55:54 GMT -6
Blizzard next Friday on euro. With another storm behind it. Something will hit |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 5, 2024 12:58:36 GMT -6
Euro paints me with 3" snow tonight and an additional 1" from Tuesday's storm. Waiting to see what, if any, changes the Hunter Aircraft input has on the models tonight. Forever the Optimist  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2024 12:59:26 GMT -6
Oh... that is a nasty one! I dont remember a recent time when we had so many fantasy storms in the cue. Surely out of the 50 fantasy inches of snow forecast we might get one good storm lol.
Some time I am going to do a study to calculate the amount of fantasy snow shown 7-10 days out vs how much actually falls. I bet the average is less than 1%.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 5, 2024 13:00:54 GMT -6
I like the look of the later ones a lot more. Tuesdays system has all the ingredients of the typical headache storm around here. I think N areas see some heavy snow on the backside, however.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 5, 2024 13:23:57 GMT -6
Wow, ya I agree. I can't recall a time where these models showed storm after storm for these parts. One of them definitely better hit us good.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 5, 2024 13:36:07 GMT -6
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Jan 5, 2024 13:42:11 GMT -6
All of these systems in a row remind me of heading to the roulette table and convincing myself after 15 black numbers in a row, the next one HAS to be red. Only to be black again. Let's hope we hit on one of these or we all may lose our minds collectively
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 5, 2024 13:55:01 GMT -6
All of these systems in a row remind me of heading to the roulette table and convincing myself after 15 black numbers in a row, the next one HAS to be red. Only to be black again. Let's hope we hit on one of these or we all may lose our minds collectively I was thinking something along the same lines. Maybe we're all candidates for gamblers anonymous? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 14:04:30 GMT -6
All of these systems in a row remind me of heading to the roulette table and convincing myself after 15 black numbers in a row, the next one HAS to be red. Only to be black again. Let's hope we hit on one of these or we all may lose our minds collectively I once lost 19 consecutive hands of blackjack at the Casino Queen . Odds are around 1 in 525,000 samples. So, I think we can get a couple storms. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2024 14:05:46 GMT -6
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Post by REB on Jan 5, 2024 14:05:49 GMT -6
We were supposed to be in Yellowstone today. Medical issues with relative caused us to cancel. Bird feeders are filled, heated bird bath is full, fire is going. I'm ready.......come what may.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 5, 2024 14:16:36 GMT -6
We were supposed to be in Yellowstone today. Medical issues with relative caused us to cancel. Bird feeders are filled, heated bird bath is full, fire is going. I'm ready.......come what may. I need to put my feeders out. Ty for the reminder. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 5, 2024 14:19:07 GMT -6
That is crazy that we have 3 potential snow makers (including the minor event tonight) in the next 7 days.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 5, 2024 14:23:18 GMT -6
Look...if the Detroit Pistons can pull it together and end their futility streak then there is no reason we shouldn't be able to. I'm just saying.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 5, 2024 14:34:18 GMT -6
Park Hill, MO to Belleville, IL to Decatur, IL seems to be where models are honing in on the best chances of a sloppy 1-3" of snow by sunrise Monday and that's using the Kuchera and Snow Depth Change methods. 10:1 popping out nearly 5" for some, but ratios are closer to 7:1 for most of the event when snowfalls.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 14:47:40 GMT -6
18z nam is finally in range for the first part of next week’s storm.
It takes the lead as the new northern outlier.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 5, 2024 14:49:08 GMT -6
Both the EPS and GEFS have cohesive closed 850 mb lows for system #3 for next Friday. I'm just saying.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 5, 2024 14:58:39 GMT -6
Not snow related, but I just read that on Aug 28th, 1990, the CAPE near where the Plainfield IL F5 hit... was over 8K!!!!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 15:00:52 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2024 15:03:20 GMT -6
Both the EPS and GEFS have cohesive closed 850 mb lows for system #3 for next Friday. I'm just saying. Not trying to put the cart before the horse, but that system interest me more from a boom standpoint than Tuesday. It will actually have some real arctic air to work with. |
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Post by thechaser on Jan 5, 2024 15:03:55 GMT -6
We've already been placed under a WSW out here in western Kansas for the system next week. Text says 3"+ of snow with 55-60 mph wind gusts. Just hoping I don't lose power. haha.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 5, 2024 15:07:18 GMT -6
Both the EPS and GEFS have cohesive closed 850 mb lows for system #3 for next Friday. I'm just saying. Not trying to put the cart before the horse, but that system interest me more from a boom standpoint than Tuesday. It will actually have some real arctic air to work with. Ya what sucks for me is I work weekends. I was so happy that Tuesdays storm was bigger then tonight's. But now storm 3 "could" be the better one. Lol |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 5, 2024 15:13:08 GMT -6
Not trying to put the cart before the horse, but that system interest me more from a boom standpoint than Tuesday. It will actually have some real arctic air to work with. Ya what sucks for me is I work weekends. I was so happy that Tuesdays storm was bigger then tonight's. But now storm 3 "could" be the better one. Lol And I work inside with NO windows. Hoping I can at least look out a docking door. I'm actually going to test for a better position for myself within the company. I have developed issues with my feet the past couple of yrs. And my job title the last 2 yrs had me walking all over the 550,000 Sq ft building. I literally was doing 30,000 steps give or take everyday Fri-Sun. Anyways, point is this NEW position has me at a smaller building right next door. And while I will be walking over there, I'll be driving a fork truck and freakin golf cart to and from the bigger plant. Off my feet alot more. Plus I'll be going outside several times a day. So being that I'm a weather fanatic. It's PERFECT. LOL |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 5, 2024 15:16:35 GMT -6
Look...if the Detroit Pistons can pull it together and end their futility streak then there is no reason we shouldn't be able to. I'm just saying. |
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