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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 21:57:10 GMT -6
00z gfs is a touch southeast of 18z.
STL on north gets hammered
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2024 21:57:32 GMT -6
Well the gfs looks like it came a bit se for tuesday. Really has snow cranking over the west plex
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2024 21:58:10 GMT -6
That a good looking GFS run for the metro
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2024 22:00:51 GMT -6
Wow 12 to 18 for the metro, with a 2 foot total for Snowman in Union!! Lock that in for him.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 5, 2024 22:02:41 GMT -6
GEM staying with S track and nice hit for everyone.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 22:03:12 GMT -6
Wow 12 to 18 for the metro, with a 2 foot total for Snowman in Union!! Lock that in for him. You should probably use Kuchera or the snow depth products given the temperature setup. More like 6-10 with locally more. Still a great run |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2024 22:04:02 GMT -6
GFS also still showing gust to 40-50mph on the backside
Get a few inches or heavy wet snow and tree limbs are in trouble
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 5, 2024 22:04:37 GMT -6
Wow 12 to 18 for the metro, with a 2 foot total for Snowman in Union!! Lock that in for him. Where are you getting 12-18 for the metro? Almost anyone east of river and S of 70 in Illinois isn’t getting over 4-5”. This will not be 10:1 ratio unless you are in a death band. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 5, 2024 22:06:25 GMT -6
It's really a nice area. I was told the flagpole on the other side of Foley over in Signal Hill is the highest elevation in St Clair county. have you heard that? Is it true? Signal Hill is 450ish feet. Turkey Hill out by freeburg is 614 feet. That's the highest |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 5, 2024 22:08:35 GMT -6
The compass on my phone says Marisss is 490 feet
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2024 22:10:29 GMT -6
Yes on the 10 to 1 sorry, but yes 6 to 10 plus on the missouri side of the river. It is more of a struggle east of downtown
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 5, 2024 22:10:42 GMT -6
Let’s remember before we get to crazy 4 days out that the GFS didn’t even have tonight’s snow until this morning lol
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 5, 2024 22:10:53 GMT -6
Just looking at QPF on GEM... it has drifted more to the northwest on this run. This is confirmed as well by trends at 850, 700 and the surface. All centers have wiggled about 50 miles or so (rough guess) to the northwest. Well within the general noise range at this point.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 5, 2024 22:11:42 GMT -6
Approaching 2”
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 22:14:55 GMT -6
00z gfs and 00z ggem both have another potential big storm next Friday as well.
That is getting real now
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2024 22:15:16 GMT -6
Good trends, if these models merge in the middle for tuesday we are set for the most part.
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 5, 2024 22:16:51 GMT -6
GFS surface and 850mb lows are a bit north of where we want them to be but because the system becomes vertically stacked up to 700mb as it moves through our area it puts the 700mb low track very close to our wheelhouse.
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Post by blueblood on Jan 5, 2024 22:18:12 GMT -6
Just pouring mini hamsters in east belleville. You seeing this Reb?
And it's great to hear from you again Friv....as stated earlier...you've really been missed!
Also...99....still thinking about you. Continuing to pray for you and your family.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 22:18:19 GMT -6
My goodness, 00z gfs looks like the GHD blizzard 😂
972mb low just south of STL.
Unbelievable
This is for next Friday to be very clear.
The Tuesday storm looks small in comparison to that lol
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 5, 2024 22:18:41 GMT -6
It's really a nice area. I was told the flagpole on the other side of Foley over in Signal Hill is the highest elevation in St Clair county. have you heard that? Is it true? Signal Hill is 450ish feet. Turkey Hill out by freeburg is 614 feet. That's the highest I thought that was some BS... I hell you are going up hill on West main until much further into Belleville so yeah lol. Anyways it's coming down quite well I just can't see anyone getting 4". It will be really lucky if anyone gets 3". |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 5, 2024 22:19:09 GMT -6
Im not sure we actually want a storm like that on friday the gfs has. Thats gotta be a record storm lol
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 5, 2024 22:19:26 GMT -6
My goodness, 00z gfs looks like the GHD SLEETIZARD 😂 972mb low just south of STL. Unbelievable This is for next Friday to be very clear. FIXED |
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Post by MakeitRain on Jan 5, 2024 22:20:27 GMT -6
I’m not sure I will be able to “make it rain” with this one. CMC is lookin hot.
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Post by thechaser on Jan 5, 2024 22:20:41 GMT -6
0z GFS is actually insane. Like what am I even looking at here.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 22:21:57 GMT -6
My goodness, 00z gfs looks like the GHD SLEETIZARD 😂 972mb low just south of STL. Unbelievable This is for next Friday to be very clear. FIXED Lol, depends where you were located. Glad to have you back! What the gfs shows is the biggest storm I’ve ever seen modeled for the metro. A truly unprecedented model run, especially inside 7 days. |
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steve
Wishcaster
Wentzville, Mo
Posts: 228 
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Post by steve on Jan 5, 2024 22:25:13 GMT -6
Do we know if the latest data runs included the Hurricane flight planes ?
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Post by RyanD on Jan 5, 2024 22:26:14 GMT -6
S+ in Waterloo. Gotta be getting close to 2". Roads in my subdivision are snow packed.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 5, 2024 22:26:32 GMT -6
Do we know if the latest data runs included the Hurricane flight planes ? Yes, it should have been included. Outside of the nam being the nam (always wrong at 84 hours), no real changes so far. |
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Post by stegenwx on Jan 5, 2024 22:28:55 GMT -6
No way we southerners get hosed Tuesday AND Friday right? Riight?!
GFS vs GEM / North vs South twice in 4 days is pretty interesting and definitely not boring.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 5, 2024 22:29:17 GMT -6
Hit 2" at my place and still coming. Everything is covered now except under the densest bushes and trees that still have any foliage. I think Belleville has a 33% of hitting 4", but really liking that 3" to 3.5" at least until compaction settles in. Have a feeling tomorrow that the grocery stores will be dead, at least in the morning. Sadly I don't go in until almost Noon, so it'll be picking up then for sure. Looks like I'll miss the bread, milk, butter, and eggs runs on Monday and Tuesday ahead of whatever that system brings.
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