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Post by Tilawn on Jan 6, 2024 9:50:59 GMT -6
Any news from the hurricane hunters yet? Their data was injected into the models last night already |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 6, 2024 9:52:42 GMT -6
Gfs is now going north. But I agree I would not care if we only get rain tuesday for the storm next friday to be epic
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 6, 2024 9:57:27 GMT -6
WSC...holy smokes..wow I don't think I've seen the Icon do that with any storm..in its short existence. That would be pure 🔥
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 6, 2024 9:57:37 GMT -6
meh
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 6, 2024 9:58:58 GMT -6
Here is the 13z NBM for the Tuesday system  |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 6, 2024 10:01:55 GMT -6
Yeah, lets get tuesday overwith so we can get to friday
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Post by mchafin on Jan 6, 2024 10:04:25 GMT -6
Are we “two-weeking” ourselves through Tues to get to fantasy-land next weekend already?
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Post by mchafin on Jan 6, 2024 10:05:21 GMT -6
WSC...holy smokes..wow I don't think I've seen the Icon do that with any storm..in its short existence. That would be pure 🔥 ICON on Tropical Tidbits looks stuck at hour 90. Where you all seeing it? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 6, 2024 10:07:07 GMT -6
WSC...holy smokes..wow I don't think I've seen the Icon do that with any storm..in its short existence. That would be pure 🔥 ICON on Tropical Tidbits looks stuck at hour 90. Where you all seeing it? Weather.us Also, storm would be Friday, not late next weekend. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 6, 2024 10:13:30 GMT -6
The GFS sure is purdy for the Friday system
I also dont think we should just write off Tuesday by any means
We just saw last night how systems can throw a last minute curve ball
And Tuesdays system is very powerful and dynamic
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Post by freezyfree on Jan 6, 2024 10:15:32 GMT -6
Barnhart, MO is a winter wonderland. I’d love to keep that going Tuesday!
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 6, 2024 10:18:42 GMT -6
Are we “two-weeking” ourselves through Tues to get to fantasy-land next weekend already? I think it's more like "two-daying" this go around. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 6, 2024 10:21:45 GMT -6
I have no words for that GFS run at D6.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 6, 2024 10:23:11 GMT -6
I have no words for that GFS run at D6. GHD mulligan |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 6, 2024 10:29:16 GMT -6
I have no words for that GFS run at D6. GHD mulligan Luckily I was where you are now for GHD. And this time there will be a nice swath of snow from Co Mo to Kirksville tk Chicago. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 6, 2024 10:29:27 GMT -6
My genuine hope is that everyone in our area can get one good one. You guys can have Tuesday. I’ll take Friday!!
Early on we are seeing the gem is not our most trusted model this season. Once gfs went north to join with euro they pretty well led the charge.
Last night’s over performer though is a great sign of things to come in my opinion.
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 6, 2024 10:29:56 GMT -6
I have no words for that GFS run at D6. GHD mulligan |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 6, 2024 10:30:38 GMT -6
Friday......GFS!GFS!GFS!
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 6, 2024 10:31:59 GMT -6
Are we “two-weeking” ourselves through Tues to get to fantasy-land next weekend already? I don’t think D6 is really fantasy land. GHD storm was a 20+ page a day storm for 8+ days. |
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Post by dschreib on Jan 6, 2024 10:32:29 GMT -6
If that total snowfall map would verify over the next 10 days, I'd forgive every winter for the past decade or so.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 6, 2024 10:33:12 GMT -6
That's a significant N jump on the 12z GFS...probably 50-75mi NW from earlier runs. Still supports some wrap around snow, but the 850mb low tracking just north of the Metro is far from ideal and may delay the changeover.
Be interesting to see if the GEM budges with this cycle.
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Post by dschreib on Jan 6, 2024 10:33:55 GMT -6
That's a significant N jump on the 12z GFS...probably 50-75mi NW from earlier runs. Still supports some wrap around snow, but the 850mb low tracking just north of the Metro is far from ideal and may delay the changeover. Be interesting to see if the GEM budges with this cycle. It did. |
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Post by weatherj on Jan 6, 2024 10:34:14 GMT -6
It started as snow over here around 8 pm, but then changed to a rain/snow mix soon after with no accumulation on any surfaces. I am happy to see you guys cash in on the extra bonus you got last night. Tuesday looks like next to nothing where I am but hoping you metro guys and NW can get lucky. I think we all get our turn before the end of the month.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 6, 2024 10:35:37 GMT -6
gem still a bit southbut further north than previous on tuesday..way north and rain friday. Hshahaha
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 6, 2024 10:41:42 GMT -6
This loaded gun pattern is probably the best I've seen since the famous 2013-2014 season. Looks like it keeps on giving into almost February. Sure there will be shifts in the models with individual systems, but overall you really can't ask for a better pattern. Weak/ening PV should keep us pretty good into March, but there will be a milder period at the end of January into mid February before possibly returning to a colder snowier pattern after President's Day into St. Patrick's Day in March. Should be a pretty quick flip to Spring with El Nino gone by then and La Nina pattern setting up by April if not May and it looks moderate to strong with a Modaki Look to it (coldest waters in the central Pacific as opposed to an east based one off of South America).
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Post by dschreib on Jan 6, 2024 10:43:01 GMT -6
gem still a bit southbut further north than previous on tuesday..way north and rain friday. Hshahaha Only a state or so north of the GFS. Carl Spackler: It's no big deal.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 6, 2024 10:44:28 GMT -6
Are we “two-weeking” ourselves through Tues to get to fantasy-land next weekend already? I think it's more like "two-daying" this go around. Ha. I was just being difficult |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 6, 2024 10:45:06 GMT -6
gem still a bit southbut further north than previous on tuesday..way north and rain friday. Hshahaha Gem is off it's rocker for Friday. With the cold air mass coming it, I'd be worry about surpression then over shooting. GFS actually looks a bit more realistic and not just because it gives us the most snow, but seems to handle the polar air mass coming in. Truth is likely somewhere in the middle, which is why I'm personally more interested in the Friday system as that would put the I-44/I-70 corridor in the sweet spot if you took the difference between the 2, but Tuesday could still end with a 2-5" event for the metro area on the backside. Friday could be double digits but too far out to talk about numbers specifically. Just saying it has the potential, but we know how that goes... |
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Post by mchafin on Jan 6, 2024 10:45:34 GMT -6
Are we “two-weeking” ourselves through Tues to get to fantasy-land next weekend already? I don’t think D6 is really fantasy land. GHD storm was a 20+ page a day storm for 8+ days. I was just being difficult |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 6, 2024 10:47:25 GMT -6
12Z ICON is pretty close to what I think Friday could look like. Almost to the letter.
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