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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2024 7:35:41 GMT -6
The HRRR and NAM have most of the snow squalls popping up north of St. Louis.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2024 7:42:23 GMT -6
I am definately concerned for damaging backside winds. Thats the big story with the temp crash.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2024 7:45:28 GMT -6
The 96 hour forecast from the EPS of the 850 mb low position was off by 220 miles.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 12, 2024 7:46:06 GMT -6
Whoa! What did I miss? Lol Summer reruns |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2024 7:57:41 GMT -6
The 96 hour forecast from the EPS of the 850 mb low position was off by 220 miles. Just another soul crushing winter system. I think this is the third or fourth “massive disappointment” winter storm stretching back to early last year. If we don’t get anything early next week I may check out the rest of this winter. |
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lolek
Weather Weenie
Home & Work: Chesterfield, MO
Posts: 8 
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Post by lolek on Jan 12, 2024 7:58:21 GMT -6
I can feel the pressure changing. Damn knees... I have the same problem. Knees, shoulders, hips, spine, fingers...just about every joint in my body. Same but add migraine |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2024 7:58:22 GMT -6
Well.This crapfest week sure hasnt helped me keep my mind on other things..like the weather. Just makes it more crappy. Can't buy snow around here. Now the "promising pattern that has to cash in" is ending, with absolutely nothing. Zero degree temps and bare pipe bursting ground. Good times. I think my mom is keeping the snow away, she hated it lol.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2024 8:01:53 GMT -6
quite foggy here in the middle of nothingness.
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Post by Madaboutweather on Jan 12, 2024 8:14:08 GMT -6
I have the same problem. Knees, shoulders, hips, spine, fingers...just about every joint in my body. Same but add migraine I'm experiencing it all.... ugh. |
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Jan 12, 2024 8:15:40 GMT -6
Fog has really socked in here in O'Fallon. Just more insult to injury to make this winter even gloomier LOL
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bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Jan 12, 2024 8:15:50 GMT -6
Pretty easy to make out the edge of the arctic front. 48 degrees in STL, 10 around Kansas City. Looks like the leading edge has passed Jefferson City.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2024 8:18:53 GMT -6
The HRRR and NAM have most of the snow squalls popping up north of St. Louis. This sounding from the 3km NAM this evening in the metro looks favorable for snow squalls. There is even some surface instability.  |
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 12, 2024 8:40:03 GMT -6
We had about 6" overnight but has switched to moderate sleet now. How is it in the city, WSC?
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2024 8:40:29 GMT -6
I know some one posted it a bit back, what is the lowest January Pressure in St.louis?
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Post by amstilost on Jan 12, 2024 8:40:49 GMT -6
The 96 hour forecast from the EPS of the 850 mb low position was off by 220 miles. That is quite a bit for the 'King'. Going to see a pretty radical Plunge in the skill scores when Dr Maue posts them. I wonder if all the models are going to be that bad in that 4-day range. The last thing that the Harp people need is some 'good evidence' to base there 'theories' on.🤔🤔🤪 On the other hand the skill scores will probably jump up dramatically for the correct call of the system Sunday going through Arkansas. This is seriously beyond frustrating though. This bare ground insane cold crap is for the birds, as all of our 'birds' are sticking out of our front doors saluting the models, and winter in STL in general.🤪🤪🤬 Thankfully, I have not noticed any joint pain or any evidence yet of the barometric change. As I knock on wood. Are we back to Step One yet or we going to wait till this thing gets out of here this afternoon. BTW, I will try and get reports from my nephew that lives in downtown Chicago, just in case WSC 'stiffs' us.🤣🤣 |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 12, 2024 8:48:21 GMT -6
We had about 6" overnight but has switched to moderate sleet now. How is it in the city, WSC? Got a few inches out in the Skokie/Niles area. Hoping not to lose it to rain this afternoon. Don’t think I’ll even get 4 inches total, so pretty disappointed. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 12, 2024 8:51:23 GMT -6
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 12, 2024 8:52:25 GMT -6
We had about 6" overnight but has switched to moderate sleet now. How is it in the city, WSC? Got a few inches out in the Skokie/Niles area. Hoping not to lose it to rain this afternoon. Don’t think I’ll even get 4 inches total, so pretty disappointed. You need to get away from that lake! |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 12, 2024 8:54:15 GMT -6
.73" of rain. I must have been "dead to the world". I didn't hear a thing. Woke up. Looked at radar and didn't see anything. Checked the station and was surprised to be right at .75. didn't hear a thing |
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Jan 12, 2024 8:55:21 GMT -6
How does this even happen? Elevation? |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2024 8:58:37 GMT -6
With how calm it is. It is almost like we are in the eye of the storm lol
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 12, 2024 9:00:26 GMT -6
Got a few inches out in the Skokie/Niles area. Hoping not to lose it to rain this afternoon. Don’t think I’ll even get 4 inches total, so pretty disappointed. You need to get away from that lake! I was hoping 5 miles west would be enough, maybe we will get some lake effect later this winter to makeup for it. At least everything is covered. Just don’t want grass and -10F |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2024 9:01:16 GMT -6
The 96 hour forecast from the EPS of the 850 mb low position was off by 220 miles. Going to see a pretty radical Plunge in the skill scores when Dr Maue posts them. Maybe not. Those scores are for the whole hemisphere. I really wish they'd publish skill scores for specific regions. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2024 9:02:06 GMT -6
The HRRR and NAM have most of the snow squalls popping up north of St. Louis. This sounding from the 3km NAM this evening in the metro looks favorable for snow squalls. There is even some surface instability. Yeah, the soundings look good. But will cells pop up in the metro area? That's the question. Edit: 14Z HRRR has one or two going through the metro area. |
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 12, 2024 9:09:10 GMT -6
You need to get away from that lake! I was hoping 5 miles west would be enough, maybe we will get some lake effect later this winter to makeup for it. At least everything is covered. Just don’t want grass and -10F  |
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 12, 2024 9:11:31 GMT -6
You need to get away from that lake! I was hoping 5 miles west would be enough, maybe we will get some lake effect later this winter to makeup for it. At least everything is covered. Just don’t want grass and -10F  |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 12, 2024 9:19:21 GMT -6
Going to see a pretty radical Plunge in the skill scores when Dr Maue posts them. Maybe not. Those scores are for the whole hemisphere. I really wish they'd publish skill scores for specific regions. Yes, that would be some awesome extra data to be able to look at. You could even zero in more on any biases the models have, beyond the obvious 'hate bias' for STL. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 12, 2024 9:25:38 GMT -6
Seeing that Map literally makes me sick to my stomach……. It would be one thing if it was just this year but it’s been several…… down this way we just miss to the north or just to the south….. and then we have the miss to the west lol |
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TBreck
Weather Weenie
Posts: 1
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Post by TBreck on Jan 12, 2024 9:30:45 GMT -6
Was ripping pretty hard at the Naperville Marriott this morning. Has slowed down substantially. Waiting for American to cancel my flight for this evening.
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sgdragons
Wishcaster
Posts: 145
Member is Online
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Post by sgdragons on Jan 12, 2024 9:32:06 GMT -6
Would think that nice soaking rain last night and today would help our drought situation a bit. Mother Nature does what she wants.
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