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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 10, 2024 15:24:43 GMT -6
I wouldn't write off impacts from Francine locally...models show the ridge building pretty good over the top which should give it a nudge W/NW as it comes inland. The GEM and EC both bring significant rainfall to much of the region as it stalls across S MO/IL.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 10, 2024 18:13:13 GMT -6
Finally she's a Hurricane as of the 7A intermediate advisory. Winds at 75 mph
Pressure down to 982 from 987, so she's finally strengthening. Tonight will be telling how strong Francine gets, if we can keep that pressure falling then it could get interesting fast.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 11, 2024 9:04:27 GMT -6
Francine is currently a 90 mph category 1 hurricane and likely at its peak.
I’m hopeful we get beneficial rains from the system as it comes north but I have my doubts
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2024 14:55:59 GMT -6
Looks like Francine will hit New Orleans Afterall. Probably good news it didn't strengthen as much as it could have.
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Post by ajd446 on Sept 11, 2024 15:11:21 GMT -6
It's coming in so far east I have my doubts of any rain at all north of 44 and 70
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2024 15:20:50 GMT -6
It's coming in so far east I have my doubts of any rain at all north of 44 and 70 It's pretty much a bust for all but the southern most counties. Thinking the metro is lucky to pick up a trace to 0.15" might as well not rain at all and stay dry really. Hate the teases. That said it looks like Francine will still help break down the pattern as things look a bit more unsettled mid to late next week through the end of the month. A frontal passage every few days kinda of deal. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 11, 2024 15:31:33 GMT -6
It's coming in so far east I have my doubts of any rain at all north of 44 and 70 It's pretty much a bust for all but the southern most counties. Thinking the metro is lucky to pick up a trace to 0.15" might as well not rain at all and stay dry really. Hate the teases. That said it looks like Francine will still help break down the pattern as things look a bit more unsettled mid to late next week through the end of the month. A frontal passage every few days kinda of deal. Almost every model from this morning/mid-day disagrees...the center doesn't make it here but the moisture/energy channel does with several waves of showers over the weekend. It may not be a drought buster but beneficial rainfall looks pretty likely for much of the area. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2024 16:57:23 GMT -6
It's pretty much a bust for all but the southern most counties. Thinking the metro is lucky to pick up a trace to 0.15" might as well not rain at all and stay dry really. Hate the teases. That said it looks like Francine will still help break down the pattern as things look a bit more unsettled mid to late next week through the end of the month. A frontal passage every few days kinda of deal. Almost every model from this morning/mid-day disagrees...the center doesn't make it here but the moisture/energy channel does with several waves of showers over the weekend. It may not be a drought buster but beneficial rainfall looks pretty likely for much of the area. Maybe you're right, but it's gonna be tough. Not impossible, just difficult. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2024 17:00:27 GMT -6
RGEM/GEM is perhaps the most optimistic model rain wise at the moment. Euro seems more 'excited' about the weekend regarding rain chances locally as the remnants merge with a weak trough stalling over the Mississippi River.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 12, 2024 6:21:24 GMT -6
Models are starting to trend wetter, in particular the nam with a fairly steady fetch of showers and storms feeding in from the SE in Francine's old circulation through the better part of the weekend.
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 12, 2024 7:03:40 GMT -6
The NBM has 0.3" in St. Louis and 1.0" in Cape Girardeau.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Sept 12, 2024 22:34:57 GMT -6
Been back in America over a week now and finally feeling rain... 🌧️
46 days 13 Countries Been On The Trip Of A Lifetime!
Czech Republic 🇨🇿
Austria 🇦🇹
Germany 🇩🇪
Switzerland 🇨🇭
Luxembourg 🇱🇺
France 🇫🇷 #2024 Olympics
Iceland 🇮🇸
Norway 🇳🇴
Netherlands 🇳🇱
Belgium 🇧🇪
England 🏴
Wales 🏴
Ireland 🇮🇪
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Post by dschreib on Sept 13, 2024 6:24:56 GMT -6
Swingset Davis reporting in with 0.47" of much-needed rain in Marissa. Hardly a drought-buster, but at least I don't have to water everything today.
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Post by REB on Sept 13, 2024 6:29:27 GMT -6
.18" so far. UGH
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Post by ajd446 on Sept 13, 2024 6:30:25 GMT -6
.01 of drought busting rain in st.peters lol
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 13, 2024 7:06:13 GMT -6
Swingset Davis reporting in with 0.47" of much-needed rain in Marissa. Hardly a drought-buster, but at least I don't have to water everything today. It's been so dry out here lately the honeysuckle and other underbrush is wilting...don't see that too often. Nice to see water falling from the sky, albeit not nearly enough. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 13, 2024 7:29:07 GMT -6
Well we've got some rain, better then none, but a literal drop in the bucket. Hopefully the weekend especially along and east of the Mississippi can cash in as the moisture feed on the eastern side of the trough axis funnels in more moisture, but it's a hit and miss kind of deal.
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Post by tedrick65 on Sept 13, 2024 7:45:10 GMT -6
0.14" in High Ridge
However, I am a big fan of cloudy days this time of year and it looks like we should get that.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 13, 2024 8:40:20 GMT -6
0.23” in Arnold….meh
Hopefully we can get some more significant and widespread rain this weekend
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 13, 2024 9:40:29 GMT -6
0.23” in Arnold….meh Hopefully we can get some more significant and widespread rain this weekend Let's hope so. We could hardly get less than we've gotten the less than the last 2+ weeks. |
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Post by let it snow11 on Sept 13, 2024 10:09:02 GMT -6
.25" in my gauge near Bonne Terre since last night. Much more needed as others have said.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 13, 2024 14:21:58 GMT -6
Looks like rain chances have diminished along and east of the Mississippi River, now just dry and warm/hot the rest of the weekend-next week.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 13, 2024 15:18:46 GMT -6
Looks like rain chances have diminished along and east of the Mississippi River, now just dry and warm/hot the rest of the weekend-next week. Third time's a charm, they say... |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 13, 2024 17:54:58 GMT -6
At least winter is looking promising  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 13, 2024 18:54:59 GMT -6
At least winter is looking promising Doesn't show March on there... That's when we'll get nailed... I have a 'feeling'. XD |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 13, 2024 18:57:10 GMT -6
All might of spoke too soon about no rain... Got a decent band of heavy showers and a few storms spinning up the Mississippi River especially the Illinois side.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 13, 2024 19:16:26 GMT -6
Don't look now, but there is a solid cluster of rain (some heavy) with embedded thunderstorms that is pulling around the eastern rim of the circulation and it does appear to be more north than any previous rainfall. This is taking aim on metro STL.
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Post by dschreib on Sept 13, 2024 19:22:46 GMT -6
Don't look now, but there is a solid cluster of rain (some heavy) with embedded thunderstorms that is pulling around the eastern rim of the circulation and it does appear to be more north than any previous rainfall. This is taking aim on metro STL. That's a healthy blob of moisture headed through. Just picked up a quick ~.25" in Marissa. Up to .71" with more on the way. |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Sept 13, 2024 19:30:20 GMT -6
Don't look now, but there is a solid cluster of rain (some heavy) with embedded thunderstorms that is pulling around the eastern rim of the circulation and it does appear to be more north than any previous rainfall. This is taking aim on metro STL. Pouring in Waterloo, had to halt HS football for 30 mins due to lightning..it's slowing now but was pouring for 15-20...looks like another healthy batch just ese of us maybe 30-45 mins out if she holds! |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Sept 13, 2024 19:32:42 GMT -6
Don't look now, but there is a solid cluster of rain (some heavy) with embedded thunderstorms that is pulling around the eastern rim of the circulation and it does appear to be more north than any previous rainfall. This is taking aim on metro STL. Pouring in Waterloo, had to halt HS football for 30 mins due to lightning..it's slowing now but was pouring for 15-20...looks like another healthy batch just ese of us maybe 30-45 mins out if she holds! Coming right up 64 from the ESE..lol crazy pattern...these tropical bands..just opposite of winter.. |
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