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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 19:40:59 GMT -6
absolutely bonkers. having to float until you sink would probably be one of the worst ways to go out.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 19:13:45 GMT -6
i.imgur.com/KzMTXHJ.pngThat is going to be one hell of a band of snow to be under tomorrow. Looks like the TSSN potential is high with bubbles of CAPE streaming off of lake michigan.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 18:40:25 GMT -6
Not to sound crazy but I swear we have snow flurries here in Shrewsbury right now. It’s 45 outside but I definitely recorded flurries. Wouldn't be surprised. Nice little frontogentic band has developed. Probably an extremely shallow layer of warm air at the surface. This is a big punch of cold air aloft. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 17:07:58 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 0:33:29 GMT -6
euro goes poof too.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 23:52:42 GMT -6
looks like the UKMET also lost the midweek storm.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 19:01:13 GMT -6
18z ICON looks good for next week.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 15:36:39 GMT -6
Looks like there will almost certainly be snowflakes flying out of the sky in STL Monday morning. NAM Nest sets up a beautiful river-enhanced band along the "nose" of Illinois border straight into the metro... At least that what it looks like it's doing. Sfc gusts are nearly parallel, up to 25-30 mph.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 0:45:57 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 0:37:51 GMT -6
It's also looking chunky with the midweek storm too. All sorts of new adjectives this winter season. Chunky? Us millennials have a different way of describing things. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 0:34:21 GMT -6
I will say this, this pattern is... wonky. It's definitely way too early to be calling anything off next week. There's so much sloshing around in the upper-levels with these big, elliptical vortices that all the models are going to be having fits until 48-72 hours up to the event. Still need to get through Sunday night too. this alone should say enough i.imgur.com/kQMZQ7z.png |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 0:31:33 GMT -6
It's also looking chunky with the midweek storm too.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 28, 2020 0:31:18 GMT -6
EURO hints there could be a Sunday night surprise south and east of STL. Nice spread of deformation precip northward. Suggest a mix possible.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 27, 2020 21:53:42 GMT -6
Seems like there's trend towards the upper low becoming a little more progressive, drastically dropping snow totals between IND and CLE. That cutoff and stall was gonna be key in getting those big amounts-- temperatures certainly were never going to help as they had a marginal look through the entire snow event,
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 27, 2020 21:51:52 GMT -6
What's going on with the 00z NAM run? I'm getting it fine on COD... something wrong with what it's printing out... or? |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 27, 2020 12:27:12 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 27, 2020 1:01:15 GMT -6
I'm just gunna have to take a seat after that euro run... And...? Let's just say... it's a bit outrageous, but fun to look at |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 27, 2020 0:46:08 GMT -6
I'm just gunna have to take a seat after that euro run...
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 26, 2020 20:59:29 GMT -6
NAM suggests light snow showers Monday morning along and east of the river.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 26, 2020 0:22:51 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 25, 2020 22:42:29 GMT -6
At least the GEM is trying to keep things interesting late next week.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 25, 2020 22:08:11 GMT -6
GFS lines up with the EURO.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 25, 2020 17:38:32 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 25, 2020 12:26:03 GMT -6
Yeeep. OHV per the EURO.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 25, 2020 0:38:50 GMT -6
send us some nice pics, WSC
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 25, 2020 0:26:16 GMT -6
big ol' whiff from the Euro
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 24, 2020 22:33:05 GMT -6
GEM still east.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 24, 2020 22:17:21 GMT -6
god that is one UGLY surface reflection. I think I'm counting... 3 centers?
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 24, 2020 22:09:32 GMT -6
That weird, sheared out ripple of vorticity that the GFS has finally resolved in a somewhat normal manner was obviously an error... for you model-heads, any idea what caused that? I see what you're talking about. I wonder if that is a post-processing artifact unique to COD? It kind of shows up on Pivotal too... Just looks like those earlier GFS refused to snap off that vort max, and instead sheared it out over about 1200 miles. Good ol gfs. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 24, 2020 22:07:57 GMT -6
unfortunately its phase is a bit messy and the main circulation takes a while to get going.
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