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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 23, 2019 10:58:03 GMT -6
The outflow boundary from yesterday morning has remained ft. he effective boundary this morning and is clearing holding back the severe convection and creating an effective oclussion...with a triple point over southcentral MO. There is just a mess of boundaries and interactions out there which is like throwing a pile of rocks into a quiet pond....there are ripples bouncing off everything making any specific forecast for timing and even location of rain a crap shoot. So what you’re saying is no real way to tell when, how much or how little rain for metro with the next wave?
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 23, 2019 6:52:27 GMT -6
Don’t look now. The Meremac is next
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 22, 2019 19:31:55 GMT -6
Is all the activity in northern no expected to take the same routes again?
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 21, 2019 15:28:07 GMT -6
Somebody is going to get a boatoad of rain tonight... and I am affraid it will be along the Missouri River. Hate to say it. But it could handle the water better than the Meremac at this point. No where for it to go once it hits Mississippi
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 15, 2019 14:12:21 GMT -6
Ride home is better. but i need the little weathermans room. Yes, I had a beer. A or lots? Yes it makes a difference
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jun 4, 2019 15:50:47 GMT -6
Can someone post a graphic or link that indicates the forecasted precip expected over the next stormy period we have coming up? From what I can see, it looks like the rain is going to fall mostly on and south of the STL metro, but I am wondering how much rain they are going to get in Iowa and in the Illinois River basin that will have to roll through the rivers here. Thanks. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gifThat’s a lot of rain
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 28, 2019 19:45:51 GMT -6
I can’t recall such a large area under FF warnings before. That’s incredible! Last time the Meremac record flooding occurred
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 28, 2019 7:25:11 GMT -6
I'm just eyeballing it but it looks to me like the pattern to the north of us has reached the point where the precip is intensifying as it gets over eastern Nebraska where the ground is so saturated, and then stay intense across Iowa and Northern Missouri and northern Illinois. Happened again last night as the storms approached Lincoln, NE. I remember that happening in 1993 and that was what really lit the fuse on the biggest flood problems Any one else seeing the same thing? This is starting to get talked about more and more. It’s very much something that has been noticed and no one likes. I’d be interested in finding a 7 day running total animated map for the Midwest from April til August in 93 and the same for this year so far. My gut says it would look nearly identical
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 26, 2019 10:32:59 GMT -6
Looking at Meremac at Arnold crest Monday through Sunday basically a flat line at 38.5 feet. That would mean it would remain at 38.5 feet for 7 days. Seems just weird given Mississippi River is not consistent during that time. Any thoughts why/how it’s consistent for so long?
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 21, 2019 22:01:08 GMT -6
For any of you who saw it... how did radar scope look on the air? perfect! I thought the cut aways of the initial tornado with velocity were great at illustrating it live on the fly. I may have been watching you drive north on 44 while I was driving south to keep track if I needed to take a pit stop before getting home.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 21, 2019 21:40:31 GMT -6
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 21, 2019 21:14:16 GMT -6
Tornado threat had moved out, Blues headed to Boston. Is it time to talk about the river forecasts again?
Mississippi is currently forecasted to get back up to 42 feet again and that doesn't take into account the next few days of rain
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 21, 2019 9:36:06 GMT -6
Here is the ribbon I am referring to... And if you adjust it at least a little bit south to account for slow recovery of the air mass and retreat of the outflow... this puts much of metro STl and points south in a tough position. Tough as in not much storms will be able to develop or as in wicked storms?
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 15, 2019 8:18:05 GMT -6
Still have large hail in the front yard
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 14, 2019 23:45:45 GMT -6
Here’s some of our photos in eureka by six flags: I too was asleep, with the flu and woke up to baseballs attacking our brand new roof
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 5, 2019 12:26:28 GMT -6
When do we get to see a new thread?
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 1, 2019 16:18:50 GMT -6
The Mississippi River is forecasted to crest at 42.5' in St. Louis and make a run for the 3rd highest crest on record. I didn’t think the Meremac was getting “that” high compared to recent high crest from the last 4 years Whoops reply to wrong post. Was meaning to ask about Meramec state park
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 1, 2019 14:16:46 GMT -6
The Mississippi River is forecasted to crest at 42.5' in St. Louis and make a run for the 3rd highest crest on record. I didn’t think the Meremac was getting “that” high compared to recent high crest from the last 4 years
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Apr 29, 2019 18:31:30 GMT -6
Newest GFS dumps a lot of water in the Meramec basin in short amount of time. Don’t wanna hear that! Calling out the elephant in the room, at least that’s how I feel. Good news is it’s not the absurd numbers that we have seen the last 3 years when we have had historic flooding, even if rivers are slightly on the high side currently. We all still suffer from ptsd for those who live along the Meremac but let’s not begin the panic we laugh at French toast shoppers for. Or I could be projecting
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Apr 25, 2019 11:46:37 GMT -6
If this was a snow def. band I would be irate lol. Reminds me of the early March storm in 2008. I literally just had that same thought
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Apr 18, 2019 8:39:05 GMT -6
Chris, check your messages please.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Mar 30, 2019 12:16:24 GMT -6
Flakes mixing in with rain in Eureka
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Mar 24, 2019 17:28:31 GMT -6
If you can watch Chris’s Facebook feed may be beneficial. It’s doing great job keeping people up to date.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Mar 2, 2019 18:50:51 GMT -6
Damn, if the HRRR and RAP are right, I'm gonna get about 2 hours of snow. lol, if the name is correct columbia gets the biggest shaft in recent memory
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Mar 1, 2019 8:35:21 GMT -6
Looks like fun. I’m supposed to be travailing to new jersey Monday.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 28, 2019 15:00:48 GMT -6
The added face picture in the banner is not vanity...it is to keep people from borrowing it for their own pages and me not getting credit should start water marking them to your facebook page, at least then you'll get views for clicks
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 25, 2019 17:24:22 GMT -6
NAM is drier. Still not sure how impactful this little event will be. Haven’t looked to closely at it yet Models have been all over with the track of the shortwave(s) with that system. Ensembles and consensus seem to favor S of I-70 which would fit the seasonal trend. Totally agree, that normally results in large amounts of chatter
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 25, 2019 16:24:40 GMT -6
Gfs shows a .3” bullseyes over Farmington and no one is saying anything?
What’s wrong?
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 19, 2019 21:21:36 GMT -6
Still more sleet than snow in eureka at 44 and 109 with nickel sized flakes mixing in. I’m at six flags and 44 and it’s snow here. Crazy
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 19, 2019 21:05:07 GMT -6
Thai best show how big some of flakes are in Eureka.
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