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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 23:01:27 GMT -6
GEM wants us to wait another 2 weeks
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 22:58:33 GMT -6
I'm guessing this isn't historic in any sense, but it is shocking how little the temperature has moved over the last week plus. The range in temperature over the last 9 days has been a low of 24 to a high of 44, a 20 degree swing that would be a typical swing on a single day, not over 9 days. In addition, if you take out the 26th, the range is only 13 degrees (low of 24 and high of 37). I really can't remember a period of several days where the temperature has moved this little. The sun came out on Sunday i.imgur.com/cFGlbEU.pngKCOU Obs
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 14:38:28 GMT -6
"Blizzard of '82" was a more appropriate headline than "Winter Event in '82 with 5 F***ing hours of Thundersnow!!". Jim Cantore would have gone crazy. Actually imagine this board if that happened today though... we'd all be going crazy. The frivometer would probably open a worm hole to a new dimension.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 13:36:44 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 12:52:41 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 10:41:26 GMT -6
12z ICON looks much more like last night's EURO as well.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 0:42:01 GMT -6
Looks like a good trend from the EURO. It seems to be favoring the other solutions by slowing the system down and giving it time to spin up.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 0:39:07 GMT -6
EURO comes on shore stronger than the GFS. Vort max is ~200-250 miles further south. Looks like a weak piece of energy comes out of the pacific to pull this thing into "digging" territory. Still ejects in a bit of a sheared mess.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 30, 2020 0:22:49 GMT -6
EURO comes on shore stronger than the GFS. Vort max is ~200-250 miles further south.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 23:14:23 GMT -6
GEM and the ICON look like carbon copies of each other. Handle both waves very similarly.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 23:13:38 GMT -6
GEM looks good
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 19:57:07 GMT -6
Based on forecast discussion tonorrow night could be dicey as well Do tell Overnight warm front expected to produce FZDZ Thursday night into Friday morning.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 16:58:03 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 14:35:38 GMT -6
Any thoughts on the temperatures for Monday? NWS is showing 61 ish for Sunday. Everything is pointing for another shot at the 50s through the afternoon... cold front comes in Monday night on GFS, Tuesday morning on the EURO.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 14:22:19 GMT -6
Let's also not forget King GEM who held the trend for today's storm earlier in the weekend.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 12:37:50 GMT -6
ahh yes, the "lol" phase has arrived
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 11:18:12 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 10:39:32 GMT -6
Much different look from the GEM... it loads the H5 spin into the 4 corners and seems to eject much slower... GFS goes for more of the shear play.
GEM would favor an overrunning icing event with a longer period of WAA.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 10:32:57 GMT -6
perhaps a similar setup to what we saw in November... mostly frontogenetic forcing... good plume of moisture from the pacific too. Kuchera ratios are 21:1 according to the GFS.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 7:41:59 GMT -6
Hey shrap... how's it accumulating on that side of our DMA...? Sorry Sam, just seeing this. Just went out and measured we have right at 1.7" looking at radar I think we will hit 2 before it ends. All good! I let our in-house met know. Appreciate it!
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 29, 2020 7:40:30 GMT -6
I'll echo Friv. These darker bands are producing decent snowfall rates. Mostly fine sized stuff but plenty of flakes.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 28, 2020 23:07:51 GMT -6
Hey shrap... how's it accumulating on that side of our DMA...?
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 28, 2020 13:11:11 GMT -6
Models definitely backed off the cold next week .after a day or two below normal, they are Pretty much average temps behind the front. They do seem stormer though, with various northern and southern storms. Just like the rest of this year I’ll take a marginal storm with snow or ice over bitter cold and dry. this HAS been the trend this year.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 28, 2020 11:27:07 GMT -6
Really kinda sucks this thing is just going to fall to bits as it approaches. Beautiful storm atm. i.imgur.com/lI9Sgnn.jpg
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 27, 2020 21:14:47 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 27, 2020 20:24:59 GMT -6
What’s the downside to just letting Europe invest in the weather and using their stuff? Sounds like we are bad at it. Kind of like soccer Gotta be patriotic and American and stuff
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 27, 2020 20:11:10 GMT -6
And absolutely no average Joe is going to think any differently, even if that article is shoved into their face, about how they think investing in NWP is a complete and total waste of money. Not sure others in the current administration think too highly of that kind of data either.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 27, 2020 12:56:47 GMT -6
GFS/Euro have been pretty persistent in developing a large-scale baroclinic zone into the middle of next week. Looks like a classic, Wisconsin to New Mexico cold front. Just need some moisture to ripple up and I think we have a shot at something.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 26, 2020 22:48:40 GMT -6
is there a data distribution that allows you to look at several different model all on one screen? (That scrolls through all of them together)
I know COD has a compare models function... but I am looking for it all in one
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 26, 2020 20:52:32 GMT -6
Hats off to the GEM for playing ball on this one.
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