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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 19, 2018 17:40:20 GMT -6
Looks like a few scattered showers here again tonight. This is getting very old. The closed lows we have had though could be a good sign for the winter, as long as they don't take the same path, lol.
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Post by Tilawn on Aug 19, 2018 18:28:35 GMT -6
Not looking like much for rain tonight and tomorrow IMO. Same ole same ole and falls apart as it comes in.
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Post by dschreib on Aug 19, 2018 18:31:10 GMT -6
Looks like a few scattered showers here again tonight. This is getting very old. The closed lows we have had though could be a good sign for the winter, as long as they don't take the same path, lol. I'd be good with it. Only problem is it'll be 35* with a nice, cold rain. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 19, 2018 18:52:46 GMT -6
this winter with the solar phase and the enso cycle seems to line up well with a winter in the past 10 years. i was going to dig more on that but just havent had a chance and its just august so winter is the farthest from my mind. i do think the emerging drought is going to be key to snowfall patterns this year.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Aug 19, 2018 18:58:53 GMT -6
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 19, 2018 19:39:26 GMT -6
Currently looks better out west for rain. But will it hit a brick wall again.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 19, 2018 20:56:38 GMT -6
For those of you who use radarscope... the "hires" products are all down. You will need to switch over to the older "non-hires" stuff to see the latest storm positions.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 19, 2018 21:48:56 GMT -6
My hires products have been working fine all night on mobile and PC. Maybe I just got lucky
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Post by Tilawn on Aug 20, 2018 1:29:45 GMT -6
.5” what is in the gauge after the line come through here. Sure would like to see more though
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Post by REB on Aug 20, 2018 6:15:42 GMT -6
.42" here. I'm going to need to mow.
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 20, 2018 6:45:08 GMT -6
Well, model guidance overnight and this morning is suggesting storm activity primarily south or southeast of the immediate metro area. Seems to be a common theme these days.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 20, 2018 6:46:08 GMT -6
Where they develop (likely southern half of viewing area) today, there could be some quick-hitting severe weather. Then the next two days look fantastic.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Aug 20, 2018 7:14:18 GMT -6
SPC added an "enhanced" area for far southeastern MO, northeastern AR, extreme southern IL, Western KY and western TN.
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Post by cardsnweather on Aug 20, 2018 7:58:29 GMT -6
Late July-Early August looks HOT
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 20, 2018 8:03:21 GMT -6
Late July-Early August looks HOT Do you mean late August and early September? |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 20, 2018 9:06:00 GMT -6
Council Bluffs IA getting heavy thunderstorms causing major street flooding
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 20, 2018 9:39:00 GMT -6
Good olde classic supercells are increasingly likely this afternoon mainly south and east of I-44/I-64 today with tornadoes and some decent sized hail along with damaging winds. Could be a decent chase day for interested parties especially along and east of the Mississippi. St. Louis metro on north might or might not see much of anything which isn't a surprise to anyone.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 20, 2018 9:46:03 GMT -6
Who knows how this will behave. Very unusual to see a strong closed low spinning through the area this time of year. Definitely still a southeast half of viewing area situation though.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Aug 20, 2018 9:59:28 GMT -6
.35 last night according to the Davis on the roof. Happy to have that but certainly need much more.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Aug 20, 2018 10:34:45 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 20, 2018 10:43:12 GMT -6
Trending north just a tad. Enough to put the metro in the slight risk. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 20, 2018 10:51:43 GMT -6
That cluster is strengthening pretty quickly. Could get nasty for some folks this afternoon.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 20, 2018 10:59:50 GMT -6
Watch coming shortly per latest Meso.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 20, 2018 11:33:23 GMT -6
Have to wonder if there may be more of a severe threat further N/NW than expected considering the upper low is still across SW IA/NW MO. Going to be interesting to watch this develop.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 20, 2018 11:39:11 GMT -6
I assume the main show will be the cluster approaching from the SW. HRRR is about 4 hours behind if that's the case. It has a little time to blow up but so far has remained below severe limits.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Aug 20, 2018 11:49:11 GMT -6
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Aug 20, 2018 11:53:48 GMT -6
SPC has 5% tornado probability... I am surprised they went with a thunderstorm watch.
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Post by REB on Aug 20, 2018 13:04:12 GMT -6
Chris is still live on facebook
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Post by toddatfarmington on Aug 20, 2018 13:12:38 GMT -6
very efficient rain makers
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Post by cardsnweather on Aug 20, 2018 13:27:14 GMT -6
Late July-Early August looks HOT Do you mean late August and early September? lol.... Yes |
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