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Post by guyfromhecker on Oct 9, 2018 11:15:12 GMT -6
Deep convection has pretty much gone 360°. Let's see if it explodes outward on that south and east side over the next couple of hours
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Post by jmg378s on Oct 9, 2018 11:21:03 GMT -6
Guy, he may be moving too fast to accomplish that? Which may be a blessing for the Panhandle residents!
On the other hand timing and speed could be problem too; if he does bomb out it leaves little time for an eyewall replacement cycle or renewed shear/dry air to knock him back.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 9, 2018 11:27:15 GMT -6
Looks like the eye is really starting to clear out
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 9, 2018 11:38:07 GMT -6
Yea, eye is becoming quite clear with intense convection sustaining itself all around. It's likely about ready to go kaboom.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 9, 2018 11:41:58 GMT -6
00z euro showing snow in Missouri this weekend. Pretty crazy The more I look at things the more I think someone in Missouri will see flakes flying this weekend. Pretty crazy to think about flakes flying in Missouri this early |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 9, 2018 13:17:33 GMT -6
Hmm..maybe Michael never will have that concentric eye after all. Each time when it looks to be very close, its like the southern half gets choked off.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 9, 2018 15:00:36 GMT -6
Michael up to 120mph, 957 pressure.
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Post by mchafin on Oct 9, 2018 15:40:40 GMT -6
Michael's not messing around.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 9, 2018 17:39:04 GMT -6
Wow Michael is exploding right now.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Oct 9, 2018 18:09:17 GMT -6
Wow Michael is exploding right now. Everything came together the last couple of frames. Tight eye and balanced convection all around |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 9, 2018 18:11:45 GMT -6
Wow Michael is exploding right now. Everything came together the last couple of frames. Tight eye and balanced convection all around Yup...I would expect a pretty good pressure drop at the 10:00 PM adovosory. This year and last year certainly making up for nearly a decade of quiet in the tropics. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 9, 2018 18:12:05 GMT -6
Wow Michael is exploding right now. Everything came together the last couple of frames. Tight eye and balanced convection all around Could go mid Cat 4 at this rate. Its forward speed and the Florida terrain will only exacerbate the wind damage which will be extreme. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 9, 2018 18:18:24 GMT -6
Ya Michelas satellite presentation went from “meh” to “uh oh” pretty rapidly. Hope those in the Florida panhandle are taking proper measures
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Post by guyfromhecker on Oct 9, 2018 18:20:44 GMT -6
Wonder how fast it is dropping now? Has to be pretty amazing right atm
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 9, 2018 18:39:53 GMT -6
No kidding. Michael is looking very good right now.
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Post by jmg378s on Oct 9, 2018 18:47:33 GMT -6
The large CDO is impressive with deep convection wrapping all the way around and IR temps occasionally down to -90C.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Oct 9, 2018 18:52:13 GMT -6
Kinda glad we didn't get orders to Eglin AFB. That would've sucked a bit.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 9, 2018 19:27:31 GMT -6
Latest Satellite and Reconnaissance data suggest Michael has reached CAT 4 status. Oh lord!!!
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Post by tedrick65 on Oct 9, 2018 19:33:51 GMT -6
Back to the local...it looks like the precip and cold front have hit a brick wall in central Missouri
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 9, 2018 19:40:46 GMT -6
Katrina was CAT 5 right?
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Post by jmg378s on Oct 9, 2018 19:57:49 GMT -6
Yes Katrina was a Cat 5 in the middle of the Gulf but it was "only" Cat 3 at landfall.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 9, 2018 20:04:15 GMT -6
Back to the local...it looks like the precip and cold front have hit a brick wall in central Missouri Yep pretty pathetic! |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 9, 2018 20:14:30 GMT -6
Man that thing has to be Cat 4 just based on satellite alone.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 9, 2018 20:21:58 GMT -6
Another issue with Michael is that the right front quadrant will likely make landfall head first into the coast since it will be moving NE at that time. I sure hope everyone got the hell out of there.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Oct 9, 2018 21:05:56 GMT -6
NHC held intensity at a strong Cat 3, but forecast to be Cat 4 at landfall, 130mph winds
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 9, 2018 21:24:07 GMT -6
NAM getting real close to some sloppy wet flakes mixing in north of I-70 on Friday evening as the disturbance moves off meanwhile temps would be locked down in the upper 30s to low 40s Friday, quite impressive and a real 180 from what will be a couple days ago. ICON not that far off from the NAM either.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 9, 2018 23:27:18 GMT -6
Am I just not seeing the lightning symbol on RadarScope or is there really no lightning in the band of rain moving into the metro area?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 0:02:42 GMT -6
Micheals up to a Cat 4 now with 130 mph winds
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 10, 2018 0:17:39 GMT -6
Hurricane Michael kind of appropriate name for October. (Michael Meyers) Also he's mean.  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 10, 2018 3:01:08 GMT -6
And he's gotten a little meaner. Winds at 140, expected to be 145 at landfall.
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