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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 8, 2019 9:36:16 GMT -6
Too young to remember that one...I think. Well, was there significant snow in the southern part of the viewing area? Totals? I remember a big one toward the end of winter when I was just a wee little feller. Here you go from the nws archives. IT WAS AWESOME. FEBRUARY 24TH: 1891: A tornado causing F2 damage formed 3 miles west of Troy. The funnel was "a spectacular sight, half a mile high, with a long kite tail". A farm home was unroofed, and a bed from the second story landed across the road. 1956: A tornado causing F4 damage was responsible for 16 injuries in St. Louis and St. Clair counties. 1993: Between the 24th and 25th, 13.1 inches of snow fell at Columbia. This is the 5th greatest 24-hour snowfall total on record for this location. 11.7 inches of snow fell at St. Louis making it the 12th greatest 24-hour snowfall total for that location. Do you or anyone else remember if the southern areas were hit hard too? I just remember a sunny day (the day after) and building a snowman. Strange how the mind remembers details from way back then. Being 4 or 5 would make sense. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 9:37:53 GMT -6
The 12Z GFS is running
Please show a 8-12" powerhouse.
To bring excitement to a fervor.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 9:39:16 GMT -6
Here you go from the nws archives. IT WAS AWESOME. FEBRUARY 24TH: 1891: A tornado causing F2 damage formed 3 miles west of Troy. The funnel was "a spectacular sight, half a mile high, with a long kite tail". A farm home was unroofed, and a bed from the second story landed across the road. 1956: A tornado causing F4 damage was responsible for 16 injuries in St. Louis and St. Clair counties. 1993: Between the 24th and 25th, 13.1 inches of snow fell at Columbia. This is the 5th greatest 24-hour snowfall total on record for this location. 11.7 inches of snow fell at St. Louis making it the 12th greatest 24-hour snowfall total for that location. Do you or anyone else remember if the southern areas were hit hard too? I just remember a sunny day (the day after) and building a snowman. Strange how the mind remembers details from way back then. Being 4 or 5 would make sense. Yes. On Feb 15th the Southern 1/3 got 10-12" Belleville got 7.5" storm one and 10-11" storm two. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 8, 2019 9:42:55 GMT -6
12z icon brings the 0.75+ QPF line north of St. Charles.
This thing moves at a snail's pace.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 8, 2019 9:45:44 GMT -6
the February 1993 storm is one of my Top 10 favorites ever (others in that category include the ice-skating-rink storm of the very early 90's, the January 1999 snow and ice storm, March 2008's 14 inches IMB storm, the 2010 Christmas Eve Snowstorm, the 2013 Palm Sunday foot of snow, and the January 2014 Arctic Blast. I'm sure I'm forgetting a few). The worst storms were probably, in order of Horrible: (3) the 2006 Ice Storm - my mom was out of power for over a week and camped out with us, not a fun storm (2) the 2011 Blizzard Warning That Wasn't and (1) the 2009 Merry Muddy Christmas Eve.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 9:48:02 GMT -6
The GfS is likely going to be more amped up this run
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 9:48:50 GMT -6
12z icon brings the 0.75+ QPF line north of St. Charles. This thing moves at a snail's pace. Yeah... Nice phasing |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 8, 2019 9:55:34 GMT -6
the February 1993 storm is one of my Top 10 favorites ever (others in that category include the ice-skating-rink storm of the very early 90's, the January 1999 snow and ice storm, March 2008's 14 inches IMB storm, the 2010 Christmas Eve Snowstorm, the 2013 Palm Sunday foot of snow, and the January 2014 Arctic Blast. I'm sure I'm forgetting a few). The worst storms were probably, in order of Horrible: (3) the 2006 Ice Storm - my mom was out of power for over a week and camped out with us, not a fun storm (2) the 2011 Blizzard Warning That Wasn't and (1) the 2009 Merry Muddy Christmas Eve. The ice skating rink was actually a series of storms that hit every few days; mostly on weekends and over the holidays so schools didn't miss much. But it was definitely strange for people to be able to skate in their yards |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 9:59:57 GMT -6
The GfS is a little drier.
3-5".
But it's really good track.
It has issues with organization.
But the potential is awesome here....
It's goin to snow guys
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 8, 2019 10:05:04 GMT -6
12z gfs has finally caught onto the dry air.
That is the predominant limiting factor with this setup.
Still on track for a 2-5 inch event.
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 8, 2019 10:06:58 GMT -6
The Corner is cooking now for the next few days!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 8, 2019 10:10:45 GMT -6
Yea GFS back down to reality which is stil a really nice system...something we could all be happy with.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 8, 2019 10:10:52 GMT -6
When will we get a full sample of the southern energy? When does it come ashore? Or has it already?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 10:11:19 GMT -6
 Gfs qpf |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 10:11:41 GMT -6
When will we get a full sample of the southern energy? When does it come ashore? Or has it already? Tomorrow night |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 8, 2019 10:12:20 GMT -6
When will we get a full sample of the southern energy? When does it come ashore? Or has it already? Tomorrow night Thank you! |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 10:15:48 GMT -6
Icon qpf  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 8, 2019 10:18:44 GMT -6
12z ggem is impressive.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 10:25:09 GMT -6
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 8, 2019 10:31:58 GMT -6
Tropical Tidbits. Warning criteria for basically everyone. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 8, 2019 10:34:03 GMT -6
Tropical Tidbits. Warning criteria for basically everyone. Yeah. 6-9" SW 5-7" immediate metro 3-5" North Eastern side |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 8, 2019 10:36:48 GMT -6
I'll take the Canadian please haha. Overblown I'm sure but good to see the models holding onto some high numbers as we approach.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 8, 2019 10:40:09 GMT -6
I like the trends, and I especially like that football season is almost over...
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 8, 2019 10:43:24 GMT -6
Icon qpf I take this solution please lol |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 8, 2019 10:49:44 GMT -6
Getting more confident that the numbers i tossed around yesterday are going to be the numbers to stick with.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 8, 2019 10:49:53 GMT -6
12z GEM is a thing of beauty! Source: Tropicaltidbits.com  |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 8, 2019 10:52:12 GMT -6
Still concerned that Southern and Southeast Missouri could have some temp variation with some sleet/rain that might impact those high end totals.
**Metro looks like a lock it in at this point with many in the 4”+ range.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 8, 2019 10:55:25 GMT -6
While there is always uncertainty with the track of these things, this one is slightly more predictable because we aren't following the exact track of a defined surface low. That's when things get crazy because they wobble all over the place in the days leading up.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 8, 2019 10:56:24 GMT -6
Still concerned that Southern and Southeast Missouri could have some temp variation with some sleet/rain that might impact those high end totals. **Metro looks like a lock it in at this point with many in the 4”+ range. I'm a little concerned about this too, but the upper air temps are on our side. Nothing wrong with steady snow at 33-34 degrees when you have that going for you. Time of year is a major plus here too. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 8, 2019 10:59:33 GMT -6
Where precip onset is earliest, mainly central and southeast mo, yes, it will take some time for cold air to carch up, and may not hv as much dry air for evap cooling, so yeah, those areas may have mixing issues especially at onset. All of metro has the risk of tail end drizzle as subsidence sets in but this is more typical in semo.
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