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Post by brendanwiese550KTRS on Oct 20, 2019 21:06:56 GMT -6
Possible Tornado in Dallas/Ft Worth. Next to zero live coverage on the Weather Channel. Why do they even exist? That is embarrassing.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 20, 2019 21:20:06 GMT -6
Just heard on the scanner that several houses are destroyed...... prayers for these people tonight!!
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Oct 20, 2019 21:29:10 GMT -6
On a side note... saw my first flock of snows heading south this afternoon. Looked like a good sized flock. They werent flying as high as they usually do, but they were sure making noise. I also found my first fresh buck scrape of the season. Fall is starting to get pretty interesting now!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 20, 2019 23:55:55 GMT -6
Couple of radar indicated tornado warned cells the NW corner of Ark. straight south of Springfield, MO.They are well out ahead of the strong line. Looking at the vectors that would generally be the part of the line that will be in East Central MO in a few hours
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Post by weatherman222 on Oct 21, 2019 0:31:17 GMT -6
Cell near Rogersville, MO looks impressive. The tornado warning text states "a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado" was located. Bad time of the day for this too.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Oct 21, 2019 2:46:11 GMT -6
I have no clue how the NWS put a slight chance category south of the river. Not knocking them down but the 12z/18z model suite pretty much said that south of the Missouri was going to get rocked by severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. In my opinion it was downplayed when this event was/is very serious still with several confirmed tornados.
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Post by weatherman222 on Oct 21, 2019 3:00:16 GMT -6
Nothing to report from our Severe Thunderstorm Warning. Storms are absolutely rocketing by at 75mph. Seems like a high shear low CAPE environment is setting up.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 21, 2019 3:14:28 GMT -6
Nothing to report here either. Some rain.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Oct 21, 2019 3:31:48 GMT -6
Looks like pretty much just rain and lightning for the most part. This thing weakened fast once it got to the Mississippi. It’s pouring outside though here still.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 21, 2019 5:45:09 GMT -6
On a side note... saw my first flock of snows heading south this afternoon. Looked like a good sized flock. They werent flying as high as they usually do, but they were sure making noise. I also found my first fresh buck scrape of the season. Fall is starting to get pretty interesting now! I was sitting out enjoying a fire friday evening and heard several flocks of specklebelly geese flying west to east..don't usually see them until November. |
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Post by Tilawn on Oct 21, 2019 5:50:40 GMT -6
.71” of rain overnight
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 21, 2019 6:53:53 GMT -6
This morning local Dallas media is estimating EF-1 with a few spots possibly EF-2.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Oct 21, 2019 6:57:09 GMT -6
.50”m storm total
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320 
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Post by Jeke on Oct 21, 2019 8:39:00 GMT -6
Slept through the storms and have no tree/limb damage. Did get 1.25" in rain gauge.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Oct 21, 2019 9:28:04 GMT -6
There was some lightning in North St. Pete. Garden variety. Rain wise the "storm" was a dud. .30 according to the Davis on the roof.
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Post by rb1108 on Oct 21, 2019 10:16:07 GMT -6
Felt/experienced my first earthquake ever yesterday. Weird feeling.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 21, 2019 10:31:45 GMT -6
Incredible 850 temps showing up on the 12z gfs for the last two days of October.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 21, 2019 10:33:53 GMT -6
Incredible 850 temps showing up on the 12z gfs for the last two days of October. It’s still teasing us with flakes just before Halloween to |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 21, 2019 10:42:11 GMT -6
Incredible 850 temps showing up on the 12z gfs for the last two days of October. It’s still teasing us with flakes just before Halloween to I would go hunting for lake effect snow if the gfs is right. Euro looked completely different last night. Dr. Cohen suggested another minor PV disruption with impacts around Thanksgiving. Looks like an early start again this year. |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 21, 2019 11:54:52 GMT -6
.39 is all i got in st.peters as well. It rain very hard for like 3 minutes then just sprinkly
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 21, 2019 11:59:24 GMT -6
Still interested in the first hard core freeze by Halloween and we could actually be close to it this upcoming weekend. If the gfs is right, we cld see a ping of sleet as well this coming weekend. As for snow chances on halloween, weve seen this before...a departing storm system along the oh valley...somebody in the area cld see some flakes. I do believe we bounce back to relatively warm temps in november and i think overall the month will average above normal for temps and precip. If this verifies, i wld think odds would lean us in favor for a colder winter than we typically have had in recent times, and along with it, at least slightly snowier than our average.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 21, 2019 12:57:24 GMT -6
Driving home from Cincinnati where I spent the weekend with my son for family weekend. Drove through some nasty rain and gusty winds just South of Indianapolis mid morning.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 21, 2019 13:13:54 GMT -6
I went back and reread some earlier posts abt the New Madrid fault...some things that i recall back in 4th grade being taught to us although i cannot recall details since that was abt 45 years ago...
1) there are typically over 200 small quakes per year
2) unlike the tectonic faults like in CA, small quakes do not relieve pressure in the New Madrid zone.
I dont know that there is an uptick in fault activity. Kfvs keeps posting "did you feel it" articles but they misrepresent times and magnitude often. I just think they have an intern working for them who has an unwarranted interest in earthquakes and watches the usgs site.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 21, 2019 13:15:49 GMT -6
12z euro now showing “Frankenstorm” for the Ohio Valley on Halloween
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 21, 2019 13:16:29 GMT -6
Euro has snow on October 30/31 around here to
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 21, 2019 14:49:44 GMT -6
Those trick or treaters! I think it rained on them last year too!
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 21, 2019 15:01:10 GMT -6
Lots of leaves blowing around today
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 21, 2019 15:02:00 GMT -6
I stayed up to monitor the storms for our house till 430am not even a warning for the Ferguson area. I feel cheated lol.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 21, 2019 15:50:54 GMT -6
Lots of leaves blowing around today Sunday the wife and were noticing that gum trees had started changing quickly. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 21, 2019 15:54:54 GMT -6
Amazing the difference between the GFS and EC by D4...EURO is insistent that the digging energy will become cut off near the TX panhandle while the GFS keeps the trof intact with a strong impulse lifting through Friday. GFS keeps a bit of precip going in the cold air...close to flakes or sleet/graupel while the EC is way too warm by the time the energy arrives. The large scale pattern should support the GFS as it's been pretty progressive overall.
The modified cA airmass that both models bring down towards Halloween is very impressive to say the least and could support snow showers if the upper low tracks close enough.
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