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Post by REB on Jul 1, 2020 9:51:31 GMT -6
Rain has started here.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 1, 2020 10:08:28 GMT -6
Just enough rain to get the patio wet. Sprinkles at the moment.
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Post by Tilawn on Jul 1, 2020 10:53:24 GMT -6
Just about a 1/4” in Washington and Marthasville
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2020 10:57:21 GMT -6
Hrrr has struggled mightily with this whole system. I think all the convective models struggled with this system. Can’t really blame them though. It’s an odd ball of a setup It really is. This shear zone setup with embedded MCVs and outflows everywhere seems to be creating a "slosh effect". |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 1, 2020 13:51:12 GMT -6
Are we finally done with the rain for a few days?
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Post by REB on Jul 1, 2020 15:00:15 GMT -6
.31” today..
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 1, 2020 17:09:30 GMT -6
Looks like our little friend may have one more spin up left in it  |
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ilnois
Wishcaster
Columbia, IL
Posts: 123
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Post by ilnois on Jul 1, 2020 17:38:27 GMT -6
Looks like our little friend may have one more spin up left in it What do you think that means for precip chances and when? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 1, 2020 17:50:55 GMT -6
If it spun up like that again there would be another round of rain and storms near the circulation like the NAM shows. Hard to say if it will spin up again
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 1, 2020 20:10:20 GMT -6
Between the 8th and 15th of July looks like we might have many days of 95-105F highs, low 80s for lows.
With chances MAJOR TO SEVERE MCS/DERICHOS ROLLING OVER THE TOP OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGING.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 2, 2020 4:31:58 GMT -6
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Post by cardsnweather on Jul 2, 2020 5:49:49 GMT -6
Between the 8th and 15th of July looks like we might have many days of 95-105F highs, low 80s for lows. With chances MAJOR TO SEVERE MCS/DERICHOS ROLLING OVER THE TOP OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGING. Models Already starting to back off that. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 2, 2020 8:04:59 GMT -6
A few days ago the Arctic Circle got above 100F. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 2, 2020 9:21:22 GMT -6
Copying this from the SPC page on Facebook
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 2, 2020 15:17:09 GMT -6
Were also on pace to have one of, if not the lowest number of hail reports in atleast the last 15 years  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 2, 2020 18:48:09 GMT -6
Getting a few big raindrops. Nothing significant so far.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 2, 2020 19:12:49 GMT -6
Now we're getting a deluge. Radar shows it blowing up on top of me and not really moving.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 2, 2020 20:11:48 GMT -6
Lasted 20-30 minutes.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 2, 2020 20:16:12 GMT -6
Got all the mowing done this evening. It is nasty out. Had to cold shower it was so hot and humid.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 3, 2020 9:11:11 GMT -6
Wondering if this wall of water on the meremac in Steelville is gonna make it to us. Would really suck as we have a big fireworks display on the beach tomorrow.
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Post by REB on Jul 3, 2020 9:40:28 GMT -6
Watered and filled all of the feeders. It is really miserable outside.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 3, 2020 13:07:59 GMT -6
I mowed from 10 to 1130 ish... "it sucked" is an understatement.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Jul 3, 2020 13:15:01 GMT -6
The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete reported .38" from the little deluge reported by "guyatacomputer" yesterday evening.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 3, 2020 13:38:57 GMT -6
The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete reported .38" from the little deluge reported by "guyatacomputer" yesterday evening. That's impressive considering how little we got earlier in the week. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jul 3, 2020 14:51:49 GMT -6
Man, was that a tough grass cutting today. But I tell you what, glad I did it. It is storming good here now. Actually got rained on while finishing up. It felt great!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2020 15:05:52 GMT -6
Looks like a possible FF event developing out towards Troy and Warrenton...pretty well-defined convergence zone on the NE fringe of the MCV out to the west.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 3, 2020 15:16:00 GMT -6
Looks like a possible FF event developing out towards Troy and Warrenton...pretty well-defined convergence zone on the NE fringe of the MCV out to the west. I was concerned about that too for a bit, but it looks like to me that a cold pool of sorts is organizing with a more pronounced southwest moving outflow keeping the focus for heaviest rain from stalling out very long. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 3, 2020 16:23:46 GMT -6
Looks like a possible FF event developing out towards Troy and Warrenton...pretty well-defined convergence zone on the NE fringe of the MCV out to the west. I was concerned about that too for a bit, but it looks like to me that a cold pool of sorts is organizing with a more pronounced southwest moving outflow keeping the focus for heaviest rain from stalling out very long. Yep...the slow storm motion was concerning...but the cold pooling did seem to break up the deeper convection and kick it out. That event this morning along the Meramec was impressive...and cancelled my plans for floating/fishing that stretch. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 3, 2020 16:29:00 GMT -6
I was concerned about that too for a bit, but it looks like to me that a cold pool of sorts is organizing with a more pronounced southwest moving outflow keeping the focus for heaviest rain from stalling out very long. Yep...the slow storm motion was concerning...but the cold pooling did seem to break up the deeper convection and kick it out. That event this morning along the Meramec was impressive...and cancelled my plans for floating/fishing that stretch. That stinks. I tried to sound somewhat of an alarm for that area without going over the top. I know some people like to camp down on the sandbars and such along the river and that had me really concerned. And obviously floating when the river is rising rapidly is not such a good idea. It has crested there in Steelville and is now falling. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 3, 2020 16:29:45 GMT -6
Awaiting the 5 foot rise and fall here for tomorrow probably. Not a drop here but that storm this morning was crazy up river.
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