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Post by ajd446 on Dec 1, 2020 16:37:41 GMT -6
Looks like december may get quite warm
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 1, 2020 16:52:45 GMT -6
Hey John in Sullivan... check out your private messages  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 1, 2020 17:00:02 GMT -6
Looks like december may get quite warm Models look pretty wintry to me starting around the 12th... |
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331 
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Post by bob on Dec 1, 2020 17:16:58 GMT -6
Hey WC fo you think have a possibility this year of white christmas
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Post by landscaper on Dec 1, 2020 17:37:20 GMT -6
I definitely don’t see a quite warm December, most models show a decent pattern for winter weather around the 12-13th models continue to show a decent winter storm and good cold shot, not sure how long it will last. Between now and then temps near normal with average or below average precipitation
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 1, 2020 18:13:34 GMT -6
Hey WC fo you think have a possibility this year of white christmas I think we have a good shot of a winter storm between the 10th and 20th. We are in a weird situation after that where if we get the PV to split, Christmas is probably very mild, but then January is potentially awesome for cold and snow. On the other hand, if we have a reflective PV event in Mid December, our chances of a White Christmas are higher than average, but the down the road pattern may not be as good. I’m leaning towards a nice storm followed by a warmup in the days leading up to Christmas, but that’s just a gut feeling |
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Dec 1, 2020 18:16:28 GMT -6
Thanks WC!!!!
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sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Dec 1, 2020 18:45:23 GMT -6
Hey John in Sullivan... check out your private messages Received and replied 👍 |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 1, 2020 20:42:56 GMT -6
We have not heard from Friv yet this winter.... I hope all is ok Thanks for the thoughts and well wishes. I have been reading the board I think I feel spoiled from the last few November's where we've gotten snow so early. The pattern really sucks most of the deep cold is displaced in eastern Asia. and it gets dumped into the Pacific ocean relentlessly. Leaving the upper Arctic basin to continually create more cold in such a way that it cannot build an established a deep deep cold air mass that we need to park over North America. The little cut off system that basically disintegrates right on top of us does have the potential to whiten the ground especially over the southwestern half of the viewing area. I think folks along and Sound of 44/64 have a solid shot at a period or two of snow on the front end. And who knows on the back end. After that things suck hard for a while. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 1, 2020 20:50:15 GMT -6
We have not heard from Friv yet this winter.... I hope all is ok Thanks for the thoughts and well wishes. I have been reading the board I think I feel spoiled from the last few November's where we've gotten snow so early. The pattern really sucks most of the deep cold is displaced in eastern Asia. and it gets dumped into the Pacific ocean relentlessly. Leaving the upper Arctic basin to continually create more cold in such a way that it cannot build an established a deep deep cold air mass that we need to park over North America. The little cut off system that basically disintegrates right on top of us does have the potential to whiten the ground especially over the southwestern half of the viewing area. I think folks along and Sound of 44/64 have a solid shot at a period or two of snow on the front end. And who knows on the back end. After that things suck hard for a while. Glad to see you on here Friv .... always enjoy your input |
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sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Dec 1, 2020 21:15:38 GMT -6
Yes!!!
I know it is "getting to be that time" every year when Frivs makes his grand entrance 😁
Good to see ya again!
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 1, 2020 21:34:36 GMT -6
Good to hear from you Friv- hope all is well
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 1, 2020 22:48:07 GMT -6
The weekend of the 12th/13th looks like a possible big 4 corners (or somewhere near there) storm is a brewing. Fun tracking ahead hopefully!
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 1, 2020 22:48:17 GMT -6
Fantasy-land GFS continues to look interesting around mid-December.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 1, 2020 22:53:09 GMT -6
Yeah just a casual 982mb low pressure in the middle of country haha
Just one run on the fantasy range of 00z GFS, but that would be blizzard conditions especially for unclesam!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 1, 2020 22:59:02 GMT -6
Looks about right - wrapped up storm with low passing overhead and our region in the dry slot/warm sector lol. Obviously kidding, this is not even close to what the end result will be. I could actually see an overrunning type situation. Man it would be nice to have that classic winter storm out of the SW with cold air filtering in. Even if it’s ice, I don’t care. Just want a normal winter storm again. It’s been a long, long time.
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Dec 1, 2020 23:14:57 GMT -6
Looks about right - wrapped up storm with low passing overhead and our region in the dry slot/warm sector lol. Obviously kidding, this is not even close to what the end result will be. I could actually see an overrunning type situation. Man it would be nice to have that classic winter storm out of the SW with cold air filtering in. Even if it’s ice, I don’t care. Just want a normal winter storm again. It’s been a long, long time. Happy Birthday Ben, Hope to be tracking a Winter Storm with you all when I’m back in Ste. Gen over Christmas for a week. Mid month looking rather interesting for winter weather, so just your normal 2 more weeks! |
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Dec 1, 2020 23:24:10 GMT -6
Was able to hit the slopes for the first time in 3 years since living out here in Colorado. Captured some photos for you all up at Vail.  |
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Dec 1, 2020 23:24:49 GMT -6
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Dec 1, 2020 23:25:26 GMT -6
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Dec 1, 2020 23:25:48 GMT -6
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Dec 1, 2020 23:28:44 GMT -6
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Post by weatherj on Dec 2, 2020 2:13:53 GMT -6
Nice pics weatherfan.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 2, 2020 6:27:41 GMT -6
Nice pics. I miss snow. Frosty and chilly this morning, about as cold as yesterday morning.
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Post by birddog on Dec 2, 2020 7:11:15 GMT -6
18.3° yesterday morning and a balmy 17.6° this morning.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 2, 2020 7:12:08 GMT -6
gfs is bearing out what everyone or mostly everyone has been saying all along...a winter pattern in full force mid month, even a plains winterstorm. this is fantasy period but lets see how this plays out. i think we will see some fun in the 10 to 14 day period. the cold probably wont stick around....and i think the holiday will start out mild with an approaching weak cold front. still liking january into february as our main show with the best chances of snow and cold.
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 2, 2020 8:22:32 GMT -6
LA NWS going with a PDS Red Flag Warning / High Wind Watch for the next several days due to a developing Santa Ana event. Cites extremely dry vegetation, relative humidity as low as 5%, and wind gusts up to 70mph.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 2, 2020 8:52:01 GMT -6
While we wait out the pattern for another week there is still a chance for some light snow on Sunday.
A nice, compact 500mb vorticity lobe visits the region. Just have to see if any moisture is available.
Might be something the models pick up on a day or two in advance
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 2, 2020 9:16:43 GMT -6
I agree I could see a quick coating to 1 inch along the river sunday if timing is favorable.
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Post by snowday_lover on Dec 2, 2020 9:46:05 GMT -6
I'm feeling cautiously optimistic about some winter weather in my area early tomorrow morning.
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